Liga Pro — xG (Expected Goals)
Ecuador · 2026
Ecuador — Liga Pro 2026 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 30 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independiente del Valle | 28 | 50.0 | 1.78 | 25.7 | 0.92 | 73 | 33 | +23 |
| 2 |  Macara | 30 | 41.1 | 1.37 | 32.8 | 1.09 | 41 | 33 | -0.1 |
| 3 |  Universidad Catolica | 29 | 40.3 | 1.39 | 28.9 | 1.00 | 51 | 27 | +10.7 |
| 4 |  Mushuc Runa SC | 29 | 33.5 | 1.15 | 28.9 | 1.00 | 35 | 38 | +1.5 |
| 5 |  Orense SC | 27 | 32.9 | 1.22 | 32.8 | 1.21 | 36 | 47 | +3.1 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 32.8 | 1.09 | 38.3 | 1.28 | 25 | 37 | -7.8 |
| 7 |  Aucas | 28 | 32.0 | 1.14 | 25.7 | 0.92 | 33 | 28 | +1 |
| 8 |  Barcelona SC | 27 | 31.5 | 1.17 | 30.9 | 1.15 | 32 | 25 | +0.5 |
| 9 |  Emelec | 28 | 31.4 | 1.12 | 31.5 | 1.13 | 25 | 34 | -6.4 |
| 10 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 30.8 | 1.03 | 29.3 | 0.98 | 31 | 24 | +0.2 |
| 11 |  Leones del Norte | 29 | 30.7 | 1.06 | 40.9 | 1.41 | 31 | 32 | +0.3 |
| 12 |  Libertad | 29 | 30.4 | 1.05 | 46.8 | 1.61 | 33 | 34 | +2.6 |
| 13 |  Tecnico Universitario | 28 | 30.3 | 1.08 | 30.1 | 1.08 | 28 | 42 | -2.3 |
| 14 |  Guayaquil City FC | 28 | 27.9 | 1.00 | 39.0 | 1.39 | 33 | 36 | +5.1 |
| 15 |  Manta FC | 29 | 27.8 | 0.96 | 36.3 | 1.25 | 17 | 42 | -10.8 |
| 16 |  Delfin SC | 29 | 25.5 | 0.88 | 30.8 | 1.06 | 19 | 31 | -6.5 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.16
League avg xGA/g: 1.15
Best overperformer: Independiente del Valle (+23.0)
Biggest underperformer: Manta FC (-10.8)
Liga Pro (Ecuador) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Liga Pro (Ecuador) averages 1.16 xG per game this season. Independiente del Valle creates the most chances with 1.78 xGF per game, while Delfin SC creates the fewest with 0.88 xGF per game. Independiente del Valle is over-performing their xG (73 goals vs 50.0 xGF) — regression likely. Manta FC is under-performing (17 goals vs 27.8 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Ecuador
- Copa Ecuador xG— Division Underground
- Liga Pro Serie B xG— Division Pro
- Supercopa de Ecuador xG— Division Gold