Premier League — Home Advantage

Ethiopia · 2025/26

Ethiopia — Premier League 2025/26 — Detailed Stats

Competition

Home & Away Tables Form Table Home Advantage Away Advantage Draws Predictions

Goals

AVG Total Goals Scored Goals Conceded Clean Sheets BTTS Failed To Score xG (Expected Goals)

Over/Under

Over 0.5 ~ 5.5 Tables Under 0.5 ~ 5.5 Tables

1st Half Table 2nd Half Table Winning / Losing at HT

Home Advantage

#	Team	Home Advantage	Scored	Defence	PPG (Home / Away)
1	Kedus Giorgis	+22%	+15%	+29%	1.74/1.11
2	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+20%	+29%	+11%	1.68/0.79
3	Mebrat Hayl	+15%	0%	+31%	1.63/1.21
4	Negelle Arsi	+14%	+8%	+20%	1.68/1.47
5	Suhul Shire	+9%	0%	+19%	1.32/0.89
6	Awassa Kenema	+9%	+8%	+9%	1.53/1.11
7	Mekelle Kenema	+8%	+27%	-11%	1.16/1.00
8	Sidama Bunna	+5%	-12%	+22%	1.74/1.84
9	Mekelakeya	+4%	-26%	+33%	1.26/1.63
10	Dire Dawa Kenema	+4%	+8%	0%	1.11/1.11
11	Fasil Ketema	+4%	+7%	0%	1.63/1.26
12	Sheger Ketema	+2%	-18%	+23%	1.21/1.42
13	Adama Kenema	0%	-3%	+3%	1.21/1.21
14	Welayta Dicha	-1%	+8%	-10%	1.32/1.37
15	Ethiopia Bunna	-2%	+25%	-28%	1.32/1.37
16	Ethiopian Medhin	-2%	-13%	+10%	1.21/1.21
17	Bahardar	-11%	-7%	-14%	1.16/1.37
18	Hadiya Hosaena	-11%	+10%	-31%	0.89/1.63
19	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	-11%	-6%	-17%	1.11/1.32
20	Arba Minch Kenema	-21%	-20%	-22%	0.53/1.32

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Premier League (Ethiopia), the average home win rate is 31% compared to 29% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Ethiopia Nigd Bank shows the strongest home advantage, winning 47% of home games versus just 11% away (a difference of +37%). At the other end, Arba Minch Kenema actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 5% versus 32% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#	Team	Scoring Advantage	Home Scored / match	Away Scored / match
1	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+29%	1.53	0.84
2	Mekelle Kenema	+27%	1.00	0.58
3	Ethiopia Bunna	+25%	1.32	0.79
4	Kedus Giorgis	+15%	1.00	0.74
5	Hadiya Hosaena	+10%	0.89	0.74
6	Awassa Kenema	+8%	1.05	0.89
7	Welayta Dicha	+8%	1.05	0.89
8	Negelle Arsi	+8%	1.05	0.89
9	Dire Dawa Kenema	+8%	0.74	0.63
10	Fasil Ketema	+7%	0.79	0.68
11	Mebrat Hayl	0%	0.84	0.84
12	Suhul Shire	0%	0.63	0.63
13	Adama Kenema	-3%	0.89	0.95
14	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	-6%	0.79	0.89
15	Bahardar	-7%	0.68	0.79
16	Sidama Bunna	-12%	1.00	1.26
17	Ethiopian Medhin	-13%	0.68	0.89
18	Sheger Ketema	-18%	0.74	1.05
19	Arba Minch Kenema	-20%	0.63	0.95
20	Mekelakeya	-26%	0.84	1.42

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Premier League (Ethiopia), netting 1.53 goals/match at home versus 0.84 away — a Scoring Advantage of +29%. In contrast, Mekelakeya scores more away (1.42/match) than at home (0.84/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -26% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#	Team	Defence Advantage	Home Conceded / match	Away Conceded / match
1	Mekelakeya	+33%	0.58	1.16
2	Mebrat Hayl	+31%	0.47	0.89
3	Kedus Giorgis	+29%	0.58	1.05
4	Sheger Ketema	+23%	0.63	1.00
5	Sidama Bunna	+22%	0.47	0.74
6	Negelle Arsi	+20%	0.63	0.95
7	Suhul Shire	+19%	0.68	1.00
8	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+11%	1.05	1.32
9	Ethiopian Medhin	+10%	0.74	0.89
10	Awassa Kenema	+9%	0.79	0.95
11	Adama Kenema	+3%	1.00	1.05
12	Dire Dawa Kenema	0%	1.11	1.11
13	Fasil Ketema	0%	0.74	0.74
14	Welayta Dicha	-10%	0.89	0.74
15	Mekelle Kenema	-11%	1.05	0.84
16	Bahardar	-14%	0.84	0.63
17	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	-17%	1.11	0.79
18	Arba Minch Kenema	-22%	1.47	0.95
19	Ethiopia Bunna	-28%	1.32	0.74
20	Hadiya Hosaena	-31%	1.21	0.63

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Defence Analysis

Mekelakeya has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Ethiopia), conceding just 0.58 goals/match at home compared to 1.16 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Hadiya Hosaena concedes more at home (1.21/match) than away (0.63/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#	Team	Scoring Advantage	Home Scored / match	Away Scored / match
1	Mekelle Kenema	+43%	0.53	0.21
2	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+41%	0.63	0.26
3	Ethiopia Bunna	+36%	0.79	0.37
4	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	+33%	0.63	0.32
5	Bahardar	+25%	0.26	0.16
6	Welayta Dicha	+23%	0.42	0.26
7	Sheger Ketema	+23%	0.42	0.26
8	Negelle Arsi	+18%	0.53	0.37
9	Fasil Ketema	+17%	0.37	0.26
10	Awassa Kenema	+7%	0.42	0.37
11	Hadiya Hosaena	+7%	0.42	0.37
12	Dire Dawa Kenema	0%	0.26	0.26
13	Kedus Giorgis	0%	0.53	0.53
14	Suhul Shire	0%	0.37	0.37
15	Ethiopian Medhin	-18%	0.37	0.53
16	Adama Kenema	-29%	0.32	0.58
17	Sidama Bunna	-30%	0.37	0.68
18	Mebrat Hayl	-38%	0.21	0.47
19	Mekelakeya	-44%	0.37	0.95
20	Arba Minch Kenema	-47%	0.21	0.58

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Mekelle Kenema has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premier League (Ethiopia), netting 0.53 goals/match at home versus 0.21 away — a Scoring Advantage of +43%. At the other end, Arba Minch Kenema shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.21/match at home against 0.58 away (-47%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#	Team	Defence Advantage	Home Conceded / match	Away Conceded / match
1	Sidama Bunna	+80%	0.05	0.47
2	Mebrat Hayl	+75%	0.05	0.37
3	Mekelakeya	+50%	0.21	0.63
4	Negelle Arsi	+50%	0.16	0.47
5	Kedus Giorgis	+29%	0.26	0.47
6	Suhul Shire	+23%	0.26	0.42
7	Fasil Ketema	+20%	0.11	0.16
8	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+20%	0.42	0.63
9	Adama Kenema	+11%	0.42	0.53
10	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	+5%	0.47	0.53
11	Awassa Kenema	+5%	0.53	0.58
12	Dire Dawa Kenema	0%	0.63	0.63
13	Ethiopian Medhin	-8%	0.37	0.32
14	Sheger Ketema	-9%	0.32	0.26
15	Welayta Dicha	-12%	0.47	0.37
16	Mekelle Kenema	-20%	0.47	0.32
17	Ethiopia Bunna	-27%	0.74	0.42
18	Hadiya Hosaena	-37%	0.68	0.32
19	Bahardar	-47%	0.58	0.21
20	Arba Minch Kenema	-50%	0.95	0.32

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Sidama Bunna has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Ethiopia), conceding just 0.05 goals/match at home compared to 0.47 away — a Defence Advantage of +80%. Arba Minch Kenema struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.95/match at home versus 0.32 away (-50%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#	Team	Scoring Advantage	Home Scored / match	Away Scored / match
1	Kedus Giorgis	+38%	0.47	0.21
2	Mebrat Hayl	+26%	0.63	0.37
3	Adama Kenema	+22%	0.58	0.37
4	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+21%	0.89	0.58
5	Dire Dawa Kenema	+13%	0.47	0.37
6	Mekelle Kenema	+13%	0.47	0.37
7	Hadiya Hosaena	+13%	0.47	0.37
8	Ethiopia Bunna	+11%	0.53	0.42
9	Awassa Kenema	+9%	0.63	0.53
10	Arba Minch Kenema	+7%	0.42	0.37
11	Sidama Bunna	+4%	0.63	0.58
12	Fasil Ketema	0%	0.42	0.42
13	Mekelakeya	0%	0.47	0.47
14	Welayta Dicha	0%	0.63	0.63
15	Suhul Shire	0%	0.26	0.26
16	Negelle Arsi	0%	0.53	0.53
17	Ethiopian Medhin	-8%	0.32	0.37
18	Bahardar	-20%	0.42	0.63
19	Sheger Ketema	-43%	0.32	0.79
20	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	-57%	0.16	0.58

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Kedus Giorgis has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premier League (Ethiopia), netting 0.47 goals/match at home versus 0.21 away — a Scoring Advantage of +38%. At the other end, Welwalo Adigrat Uni shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.16/match at home against 0.58 away (-57%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#	Team	Defence Advantage	Home Conceded / match	Away Conceded / match
1	Sheger Ketema	+40%	0.32	0.74
2	Kedus Giorgis	+29%	0.32	0.58
3	Bahardar	+23%	0.26	0.42
4	Ethiopian Medhin	+22%	0.37	0.58
5	Mekelakeya	+18%	0.37	0.53
6	Awassa Kenema	+17%	0.26	0.37
7	Suhul Shire	+16%	0.42	0.58
8	Mebrat Hayl	+11%	0.42	0.53
9	Arba Minch Kenema	+9%	0.53	0.63
10	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	+4%	0.63	0.68
11	Dire Dawa Kenema	0%	0.47	0.47
12	Negelle Arsi	0%	0.47	0.47
13	Fasil Ketema	-4%	0.63	0.58
14	Adama Kenema	-5%	0.58	0.53
15	Mekelle Kenema	-5%	0.58	0.53
16	Welayta Dicha	-7%	0.42	0.37
17	Sidama Bunna	-23%	0.42	0.26
18	Hadiya Hosaena	-25%	0.53	0.32
19	Ethiopia Bunna	-29%	0.58	0.32
20	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	-41%	0.63	0.26

Premier League (Ethiopia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Sheger Ketema has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (Ethiopia), conceding just 0.32 goals/match at home compared to 0.74 away — a Defence Advantage of +40%. Welwalo Adigrat Uni struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.63/match at home versus 0.26 away (-41%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Ethiopia

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