MatchPulse
Non League Premier - Southern Central

Non League Premier - Southern Central — Home Advantage

England · 2026/27

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Hitchin Town+42%+48%+36%1.50/0.14
2Kettering Town+41%+25%+58%2.50/1.14
3Anstey Nomads+21%+19%+24%2.00/1.29
4Bishop's Stortford+18%+16%+21%1.25/0.43
5Alvechurch+17%-4%+38%2.00/1.71
6Leamington+16%+11%+20%0.86/0.50
7Halesowen Town+16%+13%+19%2.29/1.17
8Redditch United+14%+26%+2%1.83/1.00
9Stratford Town+13%+25%+2%1.11/1.00
10Worcester City+12%+3%+20%1.40/0.75
11Rushall Olympic+9%+6%+12%2.25/1.13
12Banbury United+8%+16%0%1.25/0.57
13Racing Club Warwick+2%+2%+1%1.00/1.71
14Bury Town+2%+7%-4%2.00/2.00
15Needham Market0%-19%+20%1.50/1.86
16Leighton Town0%+21%-20%0.67/0.25
17Leiston0%-8%+8%1.20/1.13
18Real Bedford-2%+5%-9%2.13/2.25
19Stourbridge-7%+16%-29%1.43/1.71
20Bromsgrove Sporting-11%-21%0%1.88/2.67
21Peterborough Sports-15%+3%-34%1.43/2.00
22Stamford-19%-45%+6%0.14/0.38

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), the average home win rate is 43% compared to 32% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Kettering Town shows the strongest home advantage, winning 75% of home games versus just 29% away (a difference of +46%). At the other end, Racing Club Warwick actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 13% versus 57% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Hitchin Town+48%1.630.57
2Redditch United+26%2.171.29
3Stratford Town+25%1.671.00
4Kettering Town+25%2.381.43
5Leighton Town+21%1.330.88
6Anstey Nomads+19%2.291.57
7Stourbridge+16%1.571.14
8Banbury United+16%1.381.00
9Bishop's Stortford+16%1.381.00
10Halesowen Town+13%1.711.33
11Leamington+11%1.571.25
12Bury Town+7%1.881.63
13Rushall Olympic+6%2.131.88
14Real Bedford+5%2.632.38
15Peterborough Sports+3%2.142.00
16Worcester City+3%1.201.13
17Racing Club Warwick+2%1.501.43
18Alvechurch-4%1.862.00
19Leiston-8%1.601.88
20Needham Market-19%1.752.57
21Bromsgrove Sporting-21%1.632.50
22Stamford-45%0.140.38

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Hitchin Town has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), netting 1.63 goals/match at home versus 0.57 away — a Scoring Advantage of +48%. In contrast, Stamford scores more away (0.38/match) than at home (0.14/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -45% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Kettering Town+58%0.501.86
2Alvechurch+38%0.571.29
3Hitchin Town+36%1.002.14
4Anstey Nomads+24%1.141.86
5Bishop's Stortford+21%1.502.29
6Leamington+20%1.572.38
7Worcester City+20%1.001.50
8Needham Market+20%1.251.86
9Halesowen Town+19%1.141.67
10Rushall Olympic+12%1.381.75
11Leiston+8%1.802.13
12Stamford+6%2.432.75
13Redditch United+2%1.501.57
14Stratford Town+2%1.781.83
15Racing Club Warwick+1%1.251.29
16Bromsgrove Sporting0%1.001.00
17Banbury United0%1.881.86
18Bury Town-4%1.631.50
19Real Bedford-9%1.501.25
20Leighton Town-20%2.831.88
21Stourbridge-29%1.570.86
22Peterborough Sports-34%2.291.13

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Defence Analysis

Kettering Town has the best home defensive record in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), conceding just 0.50 goals/match at home compared to 1.86 away — a Defence Advantage of +58%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Peterborough Sports concedes more at home (2.29/match) than away (1.13/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Stratford Town+68%0.890.17
2Hitchin Town+68%0.750.14
3Leighton Town+60%0.500.13
4Bishop's Stortford+56%0.500.14
5Banbury United+34%0.880.43
6Leiston+30%1.400.75
7Worcester City+23%0.800.50
8Kettering Town+22%1.130.71
9Halesowen Town+18%0.710.50
10Stourbridge+17%1.000.71
11Anstey Nomads+13%1.291.00
12Racing Club Warwick+1%0.880.86
13Bury Town0%0.880.88
14Alvechurch0%0.860.86
15Rushall Olympic0%1.381.38
16Redditch United-1%0.830.86
17Peterborough Sports-6%1.001.13
18Needham Market-7%1.131.29
19Real Bedford-11%1.001.25
20Leamington-34%0.430.88
21Bromsgrove Sporting-45%0.381.00
22Stamford-100%0.000.13

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Stratford Town has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), netting 0.89 goals/match at home versus 0.17 away — a Scoring Advantage of +68%. At the other end, Stamford shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.13 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Halesowen Town+56%0.291.00
2Anstey Nomads+50%0.431.29
3Kettering Town+33%0.501.00
4Real Bedford+33%0.501.00
5Stamford+32%0.711.38
6Hitchin Town+29%0.631.14
7Alvechurch+25%0.430.71
8Bishop's Stortford+23%0.631.00
9Needham Market+21%0.751.14
10Redditch United+18%0.500.71
11Leiston+17%0.801.13
12Stratford Town+11%0.670.83
13Leamington+6%1.001.13
14Banbury United-2%0.750.71
15Rushall Olympic-9%0.750.63
16Leighton Town-9%1.501.25
17Worcester City-12%0.800.63
18Bury Town-14%1.000.75
19Bromsgrove Sporting-20%0.500.33
20Racing Club Warwick-37%0.630.29
21Stourbridge-67%0.710.14
22Peterborough Sports-73%1.570.25

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Halesowen Town has the best home defensive record in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), conceding just 0.29 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +56%. Peterborough Sports struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.57/match at home versus 0.25 away (-73%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Redditch United+51%1.330.43
2Leamington+51%1.140.38
3Hitchin Town+34%0.880.43
4Anstey Nomads+27%1.000.57
5Kettering Town+27%1.250.71
6Rushall Olympic+20%0.750.50
7Real Bedford+18%1.631.13
8Stourbridge+14%0.570.43
9Bury Town+14%1.000.75
10Peterborough Sports+13%1.140.88
11Halesowen Town+9%1.000.83
12Leighton Town+5%0.830.75
13Racing Club Warwick+4%0.630.57
14Bishop's Stortford+1%0.880.86
15Stratford Town-3%0.780.83
16Alvechurch-7%1.001.14
17Banbury United-7%0.500.57
18Bromsgrove Sporting-9%1.251.50
19Worcester City-22%0.400.63
20Stamford-27%0.140.25
21Needham Market-35%0.631.29
22Leiston-70%0.201.13

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Redditch United has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), netting 1.33 goals/match at home versus 0.43 away — a Scoring Advantage of +51%. At the other end, Leiston shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.20/match at home against 1.13 away (-70%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Kettering Town+100%0.000.86
2Worcester City+63%0.200.88
3Alvechurch+60%0.140.57
4Hitchin Town+45%0.381.00
5Leamington+37%0.571.25
6Rushall Olympic+29%0.631.13
7Racing Club Warwick+23%0.631.00
8Bishop's Stortford+19%0.881.29
9Needham Market+18%0.500.71
10Bromsgrove Sporting+14%0.500.67
11Peterborough Sports+10%0.710.88
12Bury Town+9%0.630.75
13Banbury United+1%1.131.14
14Leiston0%1.001.00
15Stratford Town-5%1.111.00
16Redditch United-8%1.000.86
17Stourbridge-9%0.860.71
18Stamford-11%1.711.38
19Anstey Nomads-11%0.710.57
20Halesowen Town-12%0.860.67
21Leighton Town-36%1.330.63
22Real Bedford-60%1.000.25

Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Kettering Town has the best home defensive record in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.86 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Real Bedford struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.25 away (-60%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — England