York United vs Atlético Ottawa — Canadian Premier League
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
York United and Atlético Ottawa meet in the Canadian Premier League 2026 season on 25 October 2026. York United have recorded 7 wins from 28 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Atlético Ottawa have won 45% of their 31 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for York United and 1.64 for Atlético Ottawa. The models give York United a 42% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Atlético Ottawa win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
York United—
Atlético Ottawa7º
Position
3º
1.04
PPG
1.65
23%
Win %
50%
1.54
Goals / game
1.54
2.35
Conceded / game
1.58
75%
BTTS %
61%
11%
Clean sheet %
19%
64%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.3
Avg corners
3.8
13.3
Avg shots
8.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.2
3.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.5
Avg fouls
10.5
49.9%
Avg possession
54.3%
Home vs Away
York United
Home (13)
—
Atlético Ottawa
Away (13)
1.38
PPG
1.23
38%
Win %
38%
2.15
Goals / game
1.23
2.31
Conceded / game
1.85
80%
BTTS %
63%
13%
Clean sheet %
19%
73%
Over 2.5 %
75%
4.3
Avg corners
3.8
13.3
Avg shots
8.4
5.0
Avg shots on target
3.2
3.1
Avg yellow cards
2.1
49.9%
Avg possession
54.3%
Goals Scored
| York United | Home | Away | Atlético Ottawa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 93% | 77% | 77% | 73% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 47% | 8% | 42% | 53% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 8% | 23% | 33% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 7% | 23% | 23% | 27% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| York United | Home | Away | Atlético Ottawa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 87% | 92% | 81% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 53% | 54% | 55% | 47% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 40% | 46% | 32% | 20% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 20% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| York United | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 19% |
| BTTS | 75% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| York United | Atlético Ottawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
York United (H)L
Supra du Quebec1–2
Supra du Quebec1–2W
Cavalry FC3–1
Cavalry FC3–1L
Pacific FC3–4
Pacific FC3–4W
Vancouver FC3–1
Vancouver FC3–1DPacific FC3–3
Pacific FC3–3DSupra du Quebec1–1
Supra du Quebec1–1Atlético Ottawa (A)WPacific FC2–0
Pacific FC2–0W
HFX Wanderers FC1–0
HFX Wanderers FC1–0L
Forge0–3
Forge0–3LCavalry FC1–3
Cavalry FC1–3WSupra du Quebec2–1
Supra du Quebec2–1LVancouver FC1–3
Vancouver FC1–3Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.5
56 games
9.0
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | York United | Atlético Ottawa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 83% | 82% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 65% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 41% | 45% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 29% | 32% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 24% | 23% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 12% | 18% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 0% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | York United | Atlético Ottawa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.7 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 58% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 42% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 94% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 65% |
Head to Head · 29 matches
8
York United
28%
15
Draws
52%
6
Atlético Ottawa
21%
79%
Over 1.5
23/29
59%
Over 2.5
17/29
38%
Over 3.5
11/29
72%
BTTS
21/29
28/08/26York United
Atlético Ottawa
2–1York United17/07/26York United
Atlético Ottawa
1–1York United01/05/26Atlético Ottawa
York United
4–1Atlético Ottawa14/09/25Atlético Ottawa
York United
2–2Atlético Ottawa03/08/25York United
Atlético Ottawa
0–0York United08/07/25Atlético Ottawa
York United
3–4Atlético Ottawa22/06/25Atlético Ottawa
York United
0–0Atlético Ottawa11/06/25York United
Atlético Ottawa
2–1York United19/04/25York United
Atlético Ottawa
3–2York United27/10/24York United
Atlético Ottawa
2–2York United06/10/24Atlético Ottawa
York United
1–0Atlético Ottawa26/07/24Atlético Ottawa
York United
4–1Atlético Ottawa15/06/24York United
Atlético Ottawa
1–2York United13/04/24York United
Atlético Ottawa
2–1York United01/10/23Atlético Ottawa
York United
1–0Atlético Ottawa05/08/23York United
Atlético Ottawa
3–3York United09/06/23Atlético Ottawa
York United
2–1Atlético Ottawa29/04/23York United
Atlético Ottawa
0–1York United09/10/22York United
Atlético Ottawa
2–2York United24/07/22Atlético Ottawa
York United
0–3Atlético Ottawa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 54 |
| 2 | Forge | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +26 | 54 |
| 3 | Atlético Ottawa | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | -1 | 43 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | +2 | 34 |
| 5 | Supra du Quebec | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 32 |
| 6 | HFX Wanderers FC | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | York United | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -21 | 27 |
| 8 | Pacific FC | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | -27 | 14 |
Team Insights
York United- ●York United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 21 matches.
- ●York United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●York United have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●York United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●York United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●York United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●York United have scored in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●York United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●York United have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of York United's goals have been scored at home.
Atlético Ottawa- ●Atlético Ottawa have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Atlético Ottawa have scored in 11 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
York UnitedLAForge0–5
Forge0–5LHSupra du Quebec1–2
Supra du Quebec1–2WHCavalry FC3–1
Cavalry FC3–1LHPacific FC3–4
Pacific FC3–4DAVancouver FC3–3
Vancouver FC3–3LAHFX Wanderers FC1–4
HFX Wanderers FC1–4–ASupra du Quebec16/10
Supra du Quebec16/10–HAtlético Ottawa25/10
Atlético Ottawa25/10Atlético OttawaWAPacific FC2–0
Pacific FC2–0WHCavalry FC3–2
Cavalry FC3–2WAHFX Wanderers FC1–0
HFX Wanderers FC1–0LHSupra du Quebec0–2
Supra du Quebec0–2LAForge0–3
Forge0–3DHPacific FC0–0
Pacific FC0–0–HForge17/10
Forge17/10–AYork United25/10
York United25/10Top Scorers
York UnitedJ. Altobelli7 ⚽
T. Skublak5 ⚽
Steffen Yeates3 ⚽
Tomasz Noah Skublak3 ⚽
Luca accettola2 ⚽
L. Singh2 ⚽
Atlético OttawaB. Tabla14 ⚽
N. Fleuriau Chateau8 ⚽
E. Garcia6 ⚽
J. Assi3 ⚽
Kamron Habibullah2 ⚽
G. Antinoro2 ⚽
Cards Given
York UnitedT. Skublak6 🟨
S. Yeates4 🟨
Luke Singh4 🟨
Raúl López4 🟨
M. Ferrari3 🟨
O. Bassett3 🟨
Atlético OttawaManny Aparicio4 🟨
Sergei Kozlovskiy4 🟨
E. Garcia4 🟨
M. Aparicio4 🟨
S. Kozlovskiy4 🟨
D. Aguilar3 🟨