Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · Regular Season - 20

Istiqlol

2º · 2.18 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 10d 23h

–

Eskhata

9º · 1.11 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 16d 2h

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Istiqlol and Eskhata meet in the Vysshaya Liga 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Istiqlol have recorded 10 wins from 17 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 0.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 18% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 24%; and clean sheets in 65% of games. Eskhata have won 28% of their 18 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Istiqlol and 0.87 for Eskhata. The models give Istiqlol a 60% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Eskhata win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Istiqlol

—

Eskhata

2º

Position

9º

2.18

PPG

1.11

65%

Win %

28%

1.35

Goals / game

1.28

0.35

Conceded / game

1.83

18%

BTTS %

67%

65%

Clean sheet %

11%

24%

Over 2.5 %

56%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Istiqlol

Home (8)

—

Eskhata

Away (9)

2.50

PPG

1.22

75%

Win %

33%

1.50

Goals / game

1.22

0.25

Conceded / game

1.67

14%

BTTS %

67%

86%

Clean sheet %

11%

29%

Over 2.5 %

56%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Istiqlol	Home	Away	Eskhata	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	65%	71%	60%	72%	67%	78%
Over 1.5 Scored	35%	43%	30%	39%	33%	44%
Over 2.5 Scored	12%	14%	10%	11%	22%	0%
Failed To Score	35%	29%	40%	28%	33%	22%

Goals Conceded

	Istiqlol	Home	Away	Eskhata	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	35%	14%	50%	89%	89%	89%
Over 1.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	50%	56%	44%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	22%	22%	22%
Clean Sheets	65%	86%	50%	11%	11%	11%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Istiqlol	Eskhata
Over 0.5	82%	94%
Over 1.5	41%	78%
Over 2.5	24%	56%
Over 3.5	6%	39%
Over 4.5	0%	17%
BTTS	18%	67%
BTTS & Win	12%	22%
BTTS & Draw	6%	22%
BTTS & Over 2.5	12%	56%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	12%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Istiqlol	Eskhata
Win 1st Half	41%	17%
Draw 1st Half	47%	44%
Loss 1st Half	12%	39%
Scored 1st Half	41%	39%
Conceded 1st Half	12%	61%
Win 2nd Half	35%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	47%	33%
Loss 2nd Half	18%	33%
Scored 2nd Half	41%	61%
Conceded 2nd Half	24%	61%
Over 0.5 HT	53%	72%
Over 1.5 HT	6%	39%

Recent Venue Form

Istiqlol (H)

Khosilot Farkhor1–0

Barki Tajik2–0

Khujand2–1

Parvoz3–0

Ravshan0–0

Regar-TadAZ1–0

Eskhata (A)

Sardor Tursunzoda1–1

CSKA Pomir0–1

Khatlon2–4

Parvoz2–1

Regar-TadAZ2–2

Istaravshan1–0

Head to Head · 13 matches

Istiqlol

77%

Draws

23%

Eskhata

92%

Over 1.5

12/13

62%

Over 2.5

8/13

38%

Over 3.5

5/13

46%

BTTS

6/13

16/05/26

Eskhata

0–0

Istiqlol

10/11/25

Istiqlol

6–2

Eskhata

26/04/25

Eskhata

1–1

Istiqlol

22/11/24

Eskhata

0–3

Istiqlol

19/05/24

Istiqlol

6–1

Eskhata

12/12/23

Istiqlol

4–2

Eskhata

30/06/23

Eskhata

0–3

Istiqlol

25/06/23

Istiqlol

5–0

Eskhata

05/10/22

Eskhata

1–1

Istiqlol

11/09/22

Istiqlol

2–0

Eskhata

10/11/21

Eskhata

0–3

Istiqlol

04/07/21

Istiqlol

5–1

Eskhata

16/05/21

Eskhata

0–2

Istiqlol

Vysshaya Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Regar-TadAZ	18	12	4	2	+16	40
2	Istiqlol	17	11	4	2	+17	37
3	Khosilot Farkhor	18	10	5	3	+17	35
4	CSKA Pomir	17	8	3	6	-1	27
5	Khujand	17	7	6	4	+5	27
6	Barki Tajik	17	7	3	7	-1	24
7	Ravshan	18	6	5	7	+4	23
8	Khatlon	18	5	8	5	+2	23
9	Eskhata	18	5	5	8	-10	20
10	Parvoz	19	4	3	12	-20	15
11	Sardor Tursunzoda	17	2	6	9	-8	12
12	Istaravshan	18	0	6	12	-21	6