Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · Regular Season - 22

Istiqlol

2º · 2.16 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 1h

–

Istaravshan

12º · 0.33 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 5d 1h

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Istiqlol and Istaravshan meet in the Vysshaya Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Istiqlol have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 19% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 19%; and clean sheets in 62% of games. Istaravshan have won 0% of their 20 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 5%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Istiqlol and 0.79 for Istaravshan. The models give Istiqlol a 69% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Istaravshan win at 10%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 46%.

Season Statistics

Istiqlol

—

Istaravshan

2º

Position

12º

2.16

PPG

0.33

63%

Win %

1.32

Goals / game

0.76

0.37

Conceded / game

1.90

19%

BTTS %

65%

62%

Clean sheet %

19%

Over 2.5 %

40%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Istiqlol

Home (9)

—

Istaravshan

Away (10)

2.33

PPG

0.20

67%

Win %

1.44

Goals / game

1.00

0.33

Conceded / game

2.50

20%

BTTS %

78%

70%

Clean sheet %

20%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Istiqlol	Home	Away	Istaravshan	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	67%	70%	64%	65%	55%	78%
Over 1.5 Scored	33%	40%	27%	10%	0%	22%
Over 2.5 Scored	10%	10%	9%	0%	0%	0%
Failed To Score	33%	30%	36%	35%	45%	22%

Goals Conceded

	Istiqlol	Home	Away	Istaravshan	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	38%	30%	45%	95%	91%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	5%	10%	0%	50%	27%	78%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	20%	9%	33%
Clean Sheets	62%	70%	55%	5%	9%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Istiqlol	Istaravshan
Over 0.5	86%	95%
Over 1.5	48%	75%
Over 2.5	19%	40%
Over 3.5	5%	25%
Over 4.5	0%	15%
BTTS	19%	65%
BTTS & Win	10%	0%
BTTS & Draw	10%	30%
BTTS & Over 2.5	10%	40%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Istiqlol	Istaravshan
Win 1st Half	38%	0%
Draw 1st Half	48%	60%
Loss 1st Half	14%	40%
Scored 1st Half	38%	25%
Conceded 1st Half	14%	55%
Win 2nd Half	43%	10%
Draw 2nd Half	38%	40%
Loss 2nd Half	19%	50%
Scored 2nd Half	48%	50%
Conceded 2nd Half	24%	80%
Over 0.5 HT	52%	55%
Over 1.5 HT	5%	35%

Recent Venue Form

Istiqlol (H)

Eskhata1–1

Wathba0–2

Al Arabi2–0

Khosilot Farkhor1–0

Barki Tajik2–0

Khujand2–1

Istaravshan (A)

Sardor Tursunzoda0–2

Eskhata1–3

Khatlon1–1

Khosilot Farkhor2–5

Ravshan1–4

CSKA Pomir1–2

Head to Head · 23 matches

Istiqlol

87%

Draws

Istaravshan

87%

Over 1.5

20/23

61%

Over 2.5

14/23

39%

Over 3.5

9/23

35%

BTTS

8/23

14/06/26

Istaravshan

1–2

Istiqlol

12/12/25

Istaravshan

1–4

Istiqlol

14/08/25

Istiqlol

6–0

Istaravshan

14/08/24

Istaravshan

0–2

Istiqlol

07/04/24

Istiqlol

3–1

Istaravshan

02/10/22

Istaravshan

1–1

Istiqlol

31/08/22

Istiqlol

3–0

Istaravshan

26/09/21

Istaravshan

0–1

Istiqlol

21/08/21

Istiqlol

2–0

Istaravshan

07/07/21

Istaravshan

2–1

Istiqlol

24/08/20

Istaravshan

1–2

Istiqlol

20/06/20

Istiqlol

8–0

Istaravshan

22/09/19

Istiqlol

2–0

Istaravshan

09/08/19

Istaravshan

0–1

Istiqlol

26/04/19

Istiqlol

4–0

Istaravshan

11/09/15

Istiqlol

4–0

Istaravshan

18/05/15

Istaravshan

0–1

Istiqlol

12/11/14

Istiqlol

1–1

Istaravshan

19/04/14

Istaravshan

0–3

Istiqlol

14/09/13

Istaravshan

1–3

Istiqlol

Vysshaya Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Regar-TadAZ	20	12	6	2	+16	42
2	Istiqlol	19	12	5	2	+18	41
3	Khosilot Farkhor	20	10	6	4	+14	36
4	Ravshan	21	8	6	7	+6	30
5	Barki Tajik	20	8	5	7	0	29
6	Khujand	20	7	8	5	+4	29
7	CSKA Pomir	20	8	4	8	-3	28
8	Khatlon	20	6	9	5	+5	27
9	Eskhata	20	5	7	8	-10	22
10	Parvoz	21	4	5	12	-20	17
11	Sardor Tursunzoda	20	3	8	9	-6	17
12	Istaravshan	21	0	7	14	-24	7

Team Insights

Istiqlol

●Istiqlol have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
●Istiqlol have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
●Istiqlol have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
●Istiqlol have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 10 away matches.
●Istiqlol have won 6 of their 10 away matches.
●Istiqlol have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.

Istaravshan

●Istaravshan have failed to win in their last 20 matches.
●Istaravshan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 18 matches.
●Istaravshan have failed to win in their last 11 home matches.
●Istaravshan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
●Istaravshan have lost their last 2 away matches.
●Istaravshan failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Istaravshan failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
●Istaravshan have lost 6 of their 11 home matches.
●Istaravshan failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
●Istaravshan have lost 7 of their 9 away matches.
●Istaravshan have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.