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Smiltene vs Mārupe — 1. Liga

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Smiltene
Smiltene
13º · 0.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
vs
–
–
Mārupe
Mārupe
6º · 1.57 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 23h
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Smiltene and Mārupe meet in the 1. Liga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Smiltene have recorded 7 wins from 27 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 2.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Mārupe have won 43% of their 28 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Smiltene and 1.88 for Mārupe. The models give Smiltene a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Mārupe win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Smiltene
—
Mārupe
13º
Position
6º
0.50
PPG
1.57
7%
Win %
50%
1.14
Goals / game
1.71
2.71
Conceded / game
1.43
67%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
29%
74%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Smiltene
Home (7)
—
Mārupe
Away (7)
0.71
PPG
1.86
14%
Win %
57%
1.57
Goals / game
1.43
2.43
Conceded / game
0.86
69%
BTTS %
54%
15%
Clean sheet %
31%
77%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

SmilteneHomeAwayMārupeHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored74%77%71%68%67%69%
Over 1.5 Scored52%54%50%46%47%46%
Over 2.5 Scored26%31%21%21%27%15%
Failed To Score26%23%29%32%33%31%

Goals Conceded

SmilteneHomeAwayMārupeHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%85%93%71%73%69%
Over 1.5 Conceded67%77%57%46%47%46%
Over 2.5 Conceded44%54%36%25%27%23%
Clean Sheets11%15%7%29%27%31%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

SmilteneMārupe
Over 0.596%89%
Over 1.589%79%
Over 2.574%71%
Over 3.563%46%
Over 4.552%29%
BTTS67%50%
BTTS & Win19%25%
BTTS & Draw15%0%
BTTS & Over 2.563%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.511%21%

1st Half / 2nd Half

SmilteneMārupe
Win 1st Half26%14%
Draw 1st Half26%39%
Loss 1st Half48%46%
Scored 1st Half48%25%
Conceded 1st Half63%50%
Win 2nd Half26%36%
Draw 2nd Half26%21%
Loss 2nd Half48%43%
Scored 2nd Half52%57%
Conceded 2nd Half74%54%
Over 0.5 HT81%64%
Over 1.5 HT52%36%

Recent Venue Form

Smiltene (H)
DRiga FC II2–2
WTukums II3–2
WRiga Mariners4–1
LMetta / LU0–6
LValmiera / BSS1–4
LRīgas FS II3–5
Mārupe (A)
DJFK Ventspils0–0
WRīgas FS II3–2
LValmiera / BSS1–4
LSkanste2–4
WRēzekne FA2–1
LRiga Mariners0–2

Head to Head · 7 matches

1
Smiltene
14%
2
Draws
29%
4
Mārupe
57%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
04/07/26
Mārupe
2–1
Smiltene
23/08/25
Mārupe
0–3
Smiltene
19/04/25
Smiltene
1–2
Mārupe
06/10/24
Mārupe
0–0
Smiltene
22/06/24
Mārupe
3–1
Smiltene
15/06/24
Smiltene
0–1
Mārupe
11/06/22
Mārupe
3–3
Smiltene
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU242031+8063
2Valmiera / BSS241752+4056
3Riga Mariners241653+2953
4Leevon / PPK241653+2053
5JDFS Alberts241356+1844
6Riga FC II24969033
7Mārupe2410311-233
8Super Nova 224789-329
9Skanste248214-426
10Smiltene246513-2523
11Tukums II245415-3719
12Rīgas FS II245316-3118
13JFK Ventspils243714-2716
14Rēzekne FA241320-586

Team Insights

Smiltene
  • ●Smiltene have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Smiltene have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Smiltene have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Smiltene have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Smiltene failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Smiltene have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Smiltene have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Smiltene have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Smiltene failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●Smiltene have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
  • ●Smiltene failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
Mārupe
  • ●Mārupe failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Mārupe have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Mārupe have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
  • ●Mārupe have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.
WASkanste9º3–1
WASkanste9º3–1
DHRiga FC II8º2–2
DHRiga FC II6º2–2
WHTukums II12º3–2
WHTukums II11º3–2
WASuper Nova 27º2–0
WASuper Nova 28º2–0
WHRiga Mariners4º4–1
WHRiga Mariners3º4–1
LHRiga Mariners4º1–6
LHRiga Mariners3º1–6
DAJFK Ventspils11º0–0
DAJFK Ventspils13º0–0
WARīgas FS II10º3–2
WARīgas FS II12º3–2
DHRiga FC II8º0–0
DHRiga FC II6º0–0
WHTukums II12º5–0
WHTukums II11º5–0

Season Schedule

Smiltene
WASkanste3–1
DHRiga FC II2–2
WHTukums II3–2
WASuper Nova 22–0
WHRiga Mariners4–1
LAJDFS Alberts2–3
–HMārupe31/10
–ARēzekne FA07/11
Mārupe
LHRiga Mariners1–6
DAJFK Ventspils0–0
WARīgas FS II3–2
DHRiga FC II0–0
WHTukums II5–0
LHJDFS Alberts0–2
–ASmiltene31/10
–AMetta / LU07/11

Top Scorers

Smiltene
V. Gaismins14 ⚽
R. Rams5 ⚽
E. Dumins4 ⚽
E. Jansons4 ⚽
M. Hills3 ⚽
R. Lakis2 ⚽
Mārupe
R. Penka5 ⚽
R. Krievins4 ⚽
A. Minasyan4 ⚽
K. Korsaks4 ⚽
M. Oliynyk4 ⚽
R. Speks4 ⚽

Cards Given

Smiltene
E. Jansons2 🟨
A. Fezui1 🟨
B. Cakurs1 🟨
R. Klots1 🟨
Mārupe
R. Sadovnikovs2 🟨
A. Minasyan1 🟨
R. Cevers1 🟨
R. Zengis1 🟨