Smiltene vs Mārupe — 1. Liga
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Smiltene and Mārupe meet in the 1. Liga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Smiltene have recorded 7 wins from 27 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 2.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Mārupe have won 43% of their 28 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Smiltene and 1.88 for Mārupe. The models give Smiltene a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Mārupe win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Smiltene | Home | Away | Mārupe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 77% | 71% | 68% | 67% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 54% | 50% | 46% | 47% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 31% | 21% | 21% | 27% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 23% | 29% | 32% | 33% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Smiltene | Home | Away | Mārupe | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 85% | 93% | 71% | 73% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 77% | 57% | 46% | 47% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 54% | 36% | 25% | 27% | 23% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 15% | 7% | 29% | 27% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Smiltene | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 52% | 29% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Smiltene | Mārupe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 81% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | +80 | 63 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | +40 | 56 | |
| 3 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | +29 | 53 | |
| 4 | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | +20 | 53 | |
| 5 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 44 | |
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 33 | |
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -2 | 33 | |
| 8 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 29 | |
| 9 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | -4 | 26 | |
| 10 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -25 | 23 | |
| 11 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -37 | 19 | |
| 12 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -31 | 18 | |
| 13 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -27 | 16 | |
| 14 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | -58 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Smiltene have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Smiltene have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Smiltene have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Smiltene have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Smiltene failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Smiltene have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Smiltene have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Smiltene have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Smiltene failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Smiltene have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Smiltene failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Mārupe failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Mārupe have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Mārupe have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Mārupe have scored in 8 of their 11 away matches.

