Tukums II vs Riga FC II — 1. Liga
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Tukums II and Riga FC II meet in the 1. Liga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Tukums II have recorded 5 wins from 24 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 2.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Riga FC II have won 38% of their 24 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Tukums II and 1.58 for Riga FC II. The models give Tukums II a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Riga FC II win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Tukums II—
Riga FC II12º
Position
8º
0.85
PPG
1.46
23%
Win %
46%
1.38
Goals / game
1.62
2.38
Conceded / game
1.77
67%
BTTS %
58%
13%
Clean sheet %
21%
75%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tukums II
Home (7)
—
Riga FC II
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
0.67
29%
Win %
17%
1.29
Goals / game
1.33
1.86
Conceded / game
2.00
58%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
9%
58%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tukums II | Home | Away | Riga FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 83% | 75% | 75% | 92% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 54% | 69% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 8% | 8% | 21% | 31% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 8% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Tukums II | Home | Away | Riga FC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 79% | 69% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 50% | 92% | 58% | 46% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 54% | 42% | 67% | 21% | 23% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 21% | 31% | 9% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tukums II | Riga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS | 67% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tukums II | Riga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 54% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Tukums II (H)L
Super Nova 20–3
Super Nova 20–3W
JFK Ventspils1–0
JFK Ventspils1–0W
Rēzekne FA3–1
Rēzekne FA3–1L
Leevon / PPK0–3
Leevon / PPK0–3D
JDFS Alberts1–1
JDFS Alberts1–1W
Rīgas FS II2–0
Rīgas FS II2–0Riga FC (A)D
Smiltene2–2
Smiltene2–2D
Mārupe0–0
Mārupe0–0DJFK Ventspils1–1
JFK Ventspils1–1LJDFS Alberts0–2
JDFS Alberts0–2L
Valmiera / BSS0–3
Valmiera / BSS0–3WRīgas FS II3–1
Rīgas FS II3–1Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Tukums II
11%
0
Draws
0%
8
Riga FC
89%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
04/07/26Tukums II
Riga FC II
2–0Tukums II01/11/25Riga FC II
Tukums II
2–1Riga FC II07/07/25Tukums II
Riga FC II
1–0Tukums II27/09/24Tukums II
Riga FC II
9–0Tukums II26/05/24Riga FC II
Tukums II
0–7Riga FC II04/11/23Riga FC II
Tukums II
0–3Riga FC II22/07/23Tukums II
Riga FC II
3–2Tukums II09/10/22Tukums II
Riga FC II
2–1Tukums II28/05/22Riga FC II
Tukums II
1–6Riga FC II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | +80 | 63 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | +40 | 56 |
| 3 |  Riga Mariners | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | +29 | 53 |
| 4 | Leevon / PPK | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | +20 | 53 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 44 |
| 6 | Riga FC II | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Mārupe | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Super Nova 2 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 29 |
| 9 |  Skanste | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | -4 | 26 |
| 10 | Smiltene | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -25 | 23 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -37 | 19 |
| 12 | Rīgas FS II | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -31 | 18 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -27 | 16 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 24 | 1 | 3 | 20 | -58 | 6 |
Team Insights
Tukums II- ●Tukums II have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Tukums II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tukums II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Tukums II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Tukums II failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Tukums II have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Tukums II failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Tukums II have lost 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Tukums II have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●69% of Tukums II's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Tukums II have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Riga FC- ●Riga FC II have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Riga FC II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Riga FC II have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Riga FC II have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Riga FC II have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Riga FC II have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Riga FC II failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Riga FC II have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Riga FC II failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●72% of Riga FC II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Riga FC II's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Tukums IILHSuper Nova 20–3
Super Nova 20–3DAValmiera / BSS2–2
Valmiera / BSS2–2LASmiltene2–3
Smiltene2–3WHJFK Ventspils1–0
JFK Ventspils1–0WHRēzekne FA3–1
Rēzekne FA3–1LAMārupe0–5
Mārupe0–5–HRiga FC II31/10
Riga FC II31/10–ARīgas FS II07/11
Rīgas FS II07/11Riga FCWHRīgas FS II3–0
Rīgas FS II3–0DASmiltene2–2
Smiltene2–2WHRēzekne FA5–0
Rēzekne FA5–0DAMārupe0–0
Mārupe0–0DHLeevon / PPK1–1
Leevon / PPK1–1WHSkanste3–2
Skanste3–2–ATukums II31/10
Tukums II31/10–ASuper Nova 207/11
Super Nova 207/11Top Scorers
Tukums IIY. Koki5 ⚽
D. Kaira3 ⚽
I. Atligins3 ⚽
E. Sprukts2 ⚽
K. Shigema2 ⚽
M. Derkach2 ⚽
Riga FCN. Prudchenko10 ⚽
N. Voitiskis6 ⚽
A. Mandeke5 ⚽
B. Pena4 ⚽
D. Nazarovs3 ⚽
D. Putrans2 ⚽
Cards Given
Tukums IIM. Susts1 🟨
Riga FCA. Sylla1 🟨
Abner1 🟨
M. Kazainis1 🟨