HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb — HNL
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Stadion HNK Rijeka·Rijeka·Croatia·8,279
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HNK Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb meet in the HNL 2026 season on 3 December 2026. HNK Rijeka have recorded 14 wins from 23 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Dinamo Zagreb have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.21 for HNK Rijeka and 1.72 for Dinamo Zagreb. The models give HNK Rijeka a 42% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Dinamo Zagreb win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
HNK Rijeka—
Dinamo Zagreb5º
Position
2º
1.89
PPG
2.11
56%
Win %
67%
1.78
Goals / game
2.56
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
48%
BTTS %
56%
39%
Clean sheet %
44%
52%
Over 2.5 %
76%
5.8
Avg corners
6.0
15.1
Avg shots
17.8
6.1
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
12.3
Avg fouls
13.6
57.5%
Avg possession
58.0%
Home vs Away
HNK Rijeka
Home (4)
—
Dinamo Zagreb
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
25%
3.00
Goals / game
2.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.25
50%
BTTS %
58%
40%
Clean sheet %
42%
60%
Over 2.5 %
83%
5.8
Avg corners
6.0
15.1
Avg shots
17.8
6.1
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
57.5%
Avg possession
58.0%
Goals Scored
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 77% | 92% | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 46% | 68% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 23% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 23% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 60% | 62% | 56% | 54% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 30% | 23% | 40% | 46% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 8% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 40% | 38% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 32% |
| BTTS | 48% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
HNK Rijeka (H)L
Union Berlin0–1
Union Berlin0–1W
HNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0W
NK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1L
FC Midtjylland1–4
FC Midtjylland1–4W
Istra 19613–2
Istra 19613–2W
Ilves1–0
Ilves1–0Dinamo Zagreb (A)W
NK Slaven Belupo5–1
NK Slaven Belupo5–1LHNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2W
Vukovar4–0
Vukovar4–0D
Hapoel Beer Sheva0–0
Hapoel Beer Sheva0–0LNK Osijek2–4
NK Osijek2–4W
Bedem Ivankovo4–0
Bedem Ivankovo4–0Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.4
47 games
9.5
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 88% | 85% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 76% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 47% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 41% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 41% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 29% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 18% | 15% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 11% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 77% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 62% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 15% | 24% |
Head to Head · 46 matches
10
HNK Rijeka
22%
13
Draws
28%
23
Dinamo Zagreb
50%
78%
Over 1.5
36/46
54%
Over 2.5
25/46
41%
Over 3.5
19/46
54%
BTTS
25/46
13/05/26HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2–0HNK Rijeka18/04/26HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2–2HNK Rijeka08/02/26Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0–0Dinamo Zagreb01/11/25HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2–1HNK Rijeka16/08/25Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
0–2Dinamo Zagreb27/04/25HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0HNK Rijeka22/02/25Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
4–0Dinamo Zagreb23/11/24HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0–0HNK Rijeka01/09/24Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1–1Dinamo Zagreb22/05/24Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1–3Dinamo Zagreb15/05/24HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
0–0HNK Rijeka05/05/24Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1–2Dinamo Zagreb25/02/24HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0HNK Rijeka12/11/23Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2–2Dinamo Zagreb27/08/23HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
2–1HNK Rijeka21/05/23Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1–2Dinamo Zagreb19/03/23HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0HNK Rijeka13/11/22Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
2–7Dinamo Zagreb02/09/22HNK Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb
3–1HNK Rijeka10/04/22Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
1–2Dinamo Zagreb| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 10 |
| 9 |  Rudes | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 6 |
Team Insights
HNK Rijeka- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of HNK Rijeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Zagreb- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Dinamo Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Dinamo Zagreb's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
HNK RijekaWARudes2–1
Rudes2–1LANK Slaven Belupo1–4
NK Slaven Belupo1–4WHHNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0DANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1WHNK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1DAHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0–HNK Varazdin31/10
NK Varazdin31/10–AIstra 196107/11
Istra 196107/11–HHNK Gorica21/11
HNK Gorica21/11Dinamo ZagrebWANK Slaven Belupo5–1
NK Slaven Belupo5–1LAHNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2WHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2LANK Osijek2–4
NK Osijek2–4WHHNK Gorica1–0
HNK Gorica1–0DAIstra 19612–2
Istra 19612–2–ARudes31/10
Rudes31/10–ANK Varazdin07/11
NK Varazdin07/11–HIstra 196121/11
Istra 196121/11Top Scorers
HNK RijekaD. Adu Adjei7 ⚽
J. Puljic5 ⚽
T. Fruk3 ⚽
A. Gojak3 ⚽
D. Adu-Adjei2 ⚽
A. Barco2 ⚽
Dinamo ZagrebD. Beljo12 ⚽
Dion Drena Beljo7 ⚽
L. Kacavenda5 ⚽
L. Stojkovic3 ⚽
L. Ivanusec3 ⚽
S. Prevljak3 ⚽
Cards Given
HNK RijekaJ. Lasickas2 🟨
A. Barco2 🟨
A. Majstorovic2 🟨
I. Cubelic2 🟨
B. Pavic2 🟨
J. Puljic2 🟨
Dinamo ZagrebJ. Misic3 🟨
Matteo Perez Vinlöf2 🟨
Dion Drena Beljo2 🟨
L. Kacavenda2 🟨
M. Zajc2 🟨
S. McKenna2 🟨