HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin — HNL
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Stadion HNK Rijeka·Rijeka·Croatia·8,279
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HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin meet in the HNL 2026 season on 31 October 2026. HNK Rijeka have recorded 12 wins from 19 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. NK Varazdin have won 63% of their 24 matches, with 2.04 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for HNK Rijeka and 1.72 for NK Varazdin. The models give HNK Rijeka a 48% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an NK Varazdin win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
HNK Rijeka—
NK Varazdin5º
Position
3º
1.83
PPG
1.88
50%
Win %
50%
1.67
Goals / game
1.63
1.17
Conceded / game
0.88
42%
BTTS %
50%
47%
Clean sheet %
42%
47%
Over 2.5 %
58%
6.5
Avg corners
4.6
16.8
Avg shots
13.8
6.6
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
12.5
Avg fouls
11.5
57.7%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
HNK Rijeka
Home (3)
—
NK Varazdin
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.33
100%
Win %
33%
3.00
Goals / game
2.33
1.33
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
55%
44%
Clean sheet %
27%
67%
Over 2.5 %
82%
6.5
Avg corners
4.6
16.8
Avg shots
13.8
6.6
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
57.7%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 100% | 70% | 79% | 77% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 56% | 40% | 58% | 62% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 23% | 45% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 0% | 30% | 21% | 23% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 56% | 50% | 58% | 46% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 15% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 11% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 44% | 50% | 42% | 54% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 32% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 58% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 21% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 55% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
HNK Rijeka (H)W
HNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0W
NK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1L
FC Midtjylland1–4
FC Midtjylland1–4W
Istra 19613–2
Istra 19613–2W
Ilves1–0
Ilves1–0W
Rudes2–1
Rudes2–1NK Varazdin (A)D
HNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2W
Zagora4–0
Zagora4–0L
Dinamo Zagreb1–3
Dinamo Zagreb1–3W
NK Slaven Belupo4–1
NK Slaven Belupo4–1L
FK Jablonec0–2
FK Jablonec0–2W
Bihor Oradea3–1
Bihor Oradea3–1Number of Corners
9.6
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.2
35 games
8.5
Corners / Match
8 games
| Match Corners | HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 90% | 75% | 86% |
| Over 7 | 90% | 63% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 80% | 63% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 50% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 38% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 80% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 38% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
15
HNK Rijeka
54%
4
Draws
14%
9
NK Varazdin
32%
79%
Over 1.5
22/28
54%
Over 2.5
15/28
21%
Over 3.5
6/28
54%
BTTS
15/28
16/08/26HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–0HNK Rijeka22/04/26HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1–0HNK Rijeka14/02/26NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3–1NK Varazdin09/11/25HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1–0HNK Rijeka24/08/25NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–2NK Varazdin13/04/25NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–0NK Varazdin01/02/25HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1–0HNK Rijeka26/10/24NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–1NK Varazdin11/08/24HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0–0HNK Rijeka11/05/24HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3–1HNK Rijeka03/03/24NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2–0NK Varazdin25/11/23HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0–2HNK Rijeka03/09/23NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2–2NK Varazdin14/05/23HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–0HNK Rijeka12/03/23NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3–1NK Varazdin06/11/22HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0–3HNK Rijeka27/08/22NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–2NK Varazdin16/05/21HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–3HNK Rijeka21/03/21NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2–0NK Varazdin23/01/21HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–1HNK Rijeka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 | NK Osijek | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Dinamo Zagreb | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 5 |
| 10 | Rudes | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 4 |
Team Insights
HNK Rijeka- ●HNK Rijeka have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●92% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of HNK Rijeka's points have been earned at home.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
NK Varazdin- ●NK Varazdin have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Season Schedule
HNK RijekaWHHNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0DANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1WHNK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1DAHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0WHIstra 19613–2
Istra 19613–2LANK Varazdin0–2
NK Varazdin0–2–ANK Slaven Belupo10/10
NK Slaven Belupo10/10–ARudes17/10
Rudes17/10–ADinamo Zagreb24/10
Dinamo Zagreb24/10NK VarazdinDHNK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek0–0DAHNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2DHIstra 19610–0
Istra 19610–0WHRudes2–0
Rudes2–0LADinamo Zagreb1–3
Dinamo Zagreb1–3WHHNK Rijeka2–0
HNK Rijeka2–0–ANK Lokomotiva Zagreb10/10
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb10/10–AHNK Hajduk Split17/10
HNK Hajduk Split17/10–HNK Slaven Belupo24/10
NK Slaven Belupo24/10Top Scorers
HNK RijekaJ. Puljic5 ⚽
D. Adu Adjei4 ⚽
T. Fruk3 ⚽
A. Gojak3 ⚽
D. Adu-Adjei2 ⚽
A. Barco2 ⚽
NK VarazdinL. Mamic6 ⚽
S. Juric4 ⚽
I. Canjuga4 ⚽
A. Latkovic4 ⚽
I. Mamut4 ⚽
M. Mladenovski3 ⚽
Cards Given
HNK RijekaJ. Lasickas2 🟨
A. Barco2 🟨
A. Majstorovic2 🟨
I. Cubelic2 🟨
B. Pavic2 🟨
J. Puljic2 🟨
NK VarazdinG. Sikosek2 🟨
F. Maglica2 🟨
Gregor Sikošek1 🟨
Frane Maglica1 🟨
Aleksa Latković1 🟨
A. Latkovic1 🟨