Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka — HNL
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Istra 1961 and HNK Rijeka meet in the HNL 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Istra 1961 have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.53 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 84%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. HNK Rijeka have won 57% of their 21 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Istra 1961 and 1.24 for HNK Rijeka. The models give Istra 1961 a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an HNK Rijeka win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Istra 1961—
HNK Rijeka6º
Position
5º
1.33
PPG
1.75
33%
Win %
50%
1.89
Goals / game
1.75
1.56
Conceded / game
1.38
74%
BTTS %
43%
21%
Clean sheet %
43%
84%
Over 2.5 %
48%
4.5
Avg corners
6.0
12.8
Avg shots
15.7
4.4
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.6
Avg fouls
12.5
45.3%
Avg possession
56.4%
Home vs Away
Istra 1961
Home (5)
—
HNK Rijeka
Away (4)
1.40
PPG
0.50
40%
Win %
0%
2.00
Goals / game
0.50
1.60
Conceded / game
1.75
73%
BTTS %
36%
18%
Clean sheet %
45%
91%
Over 2.5 %
36%
4.5
Avg corners
6.0
12.8
Avg shots
15.7
4.4
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.6
Avg yellow cards
1.7
45.3%
Avg possession
56.4%
Goals Scored
| Istra 1961 | Home | Away | HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 91% | 88% | 81% | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 84% | 91% | 75% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 55% | 25% | 24% | 30% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 10% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Istra 1961 | Home | Away | HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 82% | 75% | 57% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 45% | 50% | 29% | 30% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 10% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 18% | 25% | 43% | 40% | 45% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Istra 1961 | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 84% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 68% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 24% |
| BTTS | 74% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 68% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Istra 1961 | HNK Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 52% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 83% | 62% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 72% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Istra 1961 (H)L
HNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1W
Rudes3–2
Rudes3–2D
Dinamo Zagreb2–2
Dinamo Zagreb2–2W
NK Slaven Belupo3–0
NK Slaven Belupo3–0L
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2–3W
Orijent 19195–2
Orijent 19195–2HNK Rijeka (A)LNK Slaven Belupo1–4
NK Slaven Belupo1–4W
Vrbovec6–0
Vrbovec6–0DNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1DHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0L
FC Midtjylland0–2
FC Midtjylland0–2L
NK Varazdin0–2
NK Varazdin0–2Number of Corners
10.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.3
42 games
9.2
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | Istra 1961 | HNK Rijeka | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 83% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 9 | 75% | 58% | 52% |
| Over 10 | 63% | 25% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 8% | 19% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 8% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 0% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Istra 1961 | HNK Rijeka |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 88% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 17% |
Head to Head · 44 matches
6
Istra 1961
14%
8
Draws
18%
30
HNK Rijeka
68%
77%
Over 1.5
34/44
45%
Over 2.5
20/44
30%
Over 3.5
13/44
41%
BTTS
18/44
23/08/26Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
3–2Istra 196117/05/26HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0–0HNK Rijeka15/03/26Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0–2Istra 196120/01/26HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
1–2HNK Rijeka27/09/25Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0–0Istra 196119/04/25HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
2–0HNK Rijeka02/04/25Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
1–0Istra 196109/02/25Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0–1Istra 196103/11/24HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0–1HNK Rijeka18/08/24Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
4–0Istra 196114/04/24HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0–2HNK Rijeka04/02/24Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
3–0Istra 196122/10/23HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
1–1HNK Rijeka06/08/23Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
6–0Istra 196106/05/23Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
2–2Istra 196103/03/23HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0–2HNK Rijeka29/10/22Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
0–1Istra 196121/08/22HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
1–1HNK Rijeka02/04/22HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
0–2HNK Rijeka18/12/21Istra 1961
HNK Rijeka
1–0Istra 1961| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 | NK Varazdin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 | Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 |  NK Osijek | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 10 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Rudes | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 7 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 5 |
Team Insights
Istra 1961- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
HNK Rijeka- ●HNK Rijeka have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●86% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of HNK Rijeka's points have been earned at home.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Istra 1961WANK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1LHHNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1WHRudes3–2
Rudes3–2DANK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0DHDinamo Zagreb2–2
Dinamo Zagreb2–2LAHNK Rijeka2–3
HNK Rijeka2–3–ANK Lokomotiva Zagreb17/10
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb17/10–ANK Slaven Belupo31/10
NK Slaven Belupo31/10–HHNK Rijeka07/11
HNK Rijeka07/11HNK RijekaLANK Slaven Belupo1–4
NK Slaven Belupo1–4WHHNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0DANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1WHNK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1DAHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0WHIstra 19613–2
Istra 19613–2–ARudes16/10
Rudes16/10–HNK Varazdin31/10
NK Varazdin31/10–AIstra 196107/11
Istra 196107/11Top Scorers
Istra 1961E. Frederiksen7 ⚽
H. Jaganjac6 ⚽
D. Ahmeti4 ⚽
Isaac3 ⚽
Emil Frederiksen3 ⚽
S. Bangura3 ⚽
HNK RijekaJ. Puljic5 ⚽
D. Adu Adjei4 ⚽
T. Fruk3 ⚽
A. Gojak3 ⚽
D. Adu-Adjei2 ⚽
A. Barco2 ⚽
Cards Given
Istra 1961J. Cabello2 🟨
hamza jaganjac2 🟨
Dukan Ahmeti2 🟨
D. Doumbia2 🟨
H. Jaganjac2 🟨
Demirel hodzic1 🟨
HNK RijekaJ. Lasickas2 🟨
A. Barco2 🟨
A. Majstorovic2 🟨
I. Cubelic2 🟨
B. Pavic2 🟨
J. Puljic2 🟨