Lech Poznań II vs Polonia Środa — III Liga - Group 2
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Lech Poznań II and Polonia Środa meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Lech Poznań II have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Polonia Środa have won 59% of their 17 matches, with 2.41 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Lech Poznań II and 2.08 for Polonia Środa. The models give Lech Poznań II a 31% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Polonia Środa win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 74% and BTTS at 72%.
Season Statistics
Lech Poznań II—
Polonia Środa6º
Position
1º
1.75
PPG
2.75
50%
Win %
88%
2.13
Goals / game
3.38
1.88
Conceded / game
1.75
75%
BTTS %
65%
17%
Clean sheet %
24%
67%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lech Poznań II
Home (4)
—
Polonia Środa
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
2.50
50%
Win %
75%
1.50
Goals / game
3.50
1.50
Conceded / game
1.75
60%
BTTS %
64%
40%
Clean sheet %
27%
60%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lech Poznań | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 82% | 83% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 60% | 57% | 71% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 29% | 59% | 67% | 55% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Lech Poznań | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 60% | 100% | 76% | 83% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 20% | 71% | 53% | 67% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 29% | 29% | 50% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 40% | 0% | 24% | 17% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lech Poznań | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 47% |
| BTTS | 75% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 41% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lech Poznań | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 89% | 59% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 78% | 53% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 67% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Lech Poznań (H)W
Noteć Czarnków2–1
Noteć Czarnków2–1L
Grom Nowy Staw2–4
Grom Nowy Staw2–4W
Lipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0D
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1W
Zagłębie Lubin II3–0
Zagłębie Lubin II3–0L
Victoria Września1–2
Victoria Września1–2Polonia Środa (A)DGrom Nowy Staw4–4
Grom Nowy Staw4–4WLipno Stęszew3–2
Lipno Stęszew3–2WChemik Bydgoszcz4–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz4–1W
Bałtyk Koszalin3–0
Bałtyk Koszalin3–0L
Warta Sieradz1–2
Warta Sieradz1–2L
Zawisza Bydgoszcz0–1
Zawisza Bydgoszcz0–1Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Lech Poznań
60%
2
Draws
40%
0
Polonia Środa
0%
80%
Over 1.5
4/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
21/03/26Polonia Środa
Lech Poznań II
1–1Polonia Środa31/08/25Lech Poznań II
Polonia Środa
1–4Lech Poznań II02/05/25Polonia Środa
Lech Poznań II
1–1Polonia Środa04/10/24Lech Poznań II
Polonia Środa
1–3Lech Poznań II14/02/24Polonia Środa
Lech Poznań II
1–0Polonia Środa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 |  Flota Świnoujście | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 |  Kalisz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Unia Swarzędz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Elana Toruń | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Lech Poznań- ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●65% of Lech Poznań II's goals have been scored away.
- ●Lech Poznań II have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Polonia Środa- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
Lech PoznańWHNoteć Czarnków2–1
Noteć Czarnków2–1DAUnia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1LHGrom Nowy Staw2–4
Grom Nowy Staw2–4WAGedania Gdansk3–2
Gedania Gdansk3–2WHLipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0LAStargard Szczeciński2–4
Stargard Szczeciński2–4–AElana Toruń19/09
Elana Toruń19/09–HWda Świecie26/09
Wda Świecie26/09–AKluczevia Stargard03/10
Kluczevia Stargard03/10Polonia ŚrodaWHUnia Swarzędz4–3
Unia Swarzędz4–3DAGrom Nowy Staw4–4
Grom Nowy Staw4–4WHGedania Gdansk4–3
Gedania Gdansk4–3WALipno Stęszew3–2
Lipno Stęszew3–2WHStargard Szczeciński4–1
Stargard Szczeciński4–1WAChemik Bydgoszcz4–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz4–1–ANoteć Czarnków19/09
Noteć Czarnków19/09–HElana Toruń25/09
Elana Toruń25/09–AWda Świecie03/10
Wda Świecie03/10Top Scorers
Lech PoznańW. Szymczak4 ⚽
F. Tokar2 ⚽
M. Dziuba2 ⚽
S. Bakhno2 ⚽
M. Cegielka1 ⚽
A. Majewski1 ⚽
Polonia ŚrodaJ. Wilczynski8 ⚽
P. Mikita8 ⚽
B. Bartkowiak4 ⚽
P. Ratajczak3 ⚽
P. Skrobosinski2 ⚽
F. Karmanski2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lech PoznańPolonia ŚrodaS. Kubiak1 🟨