Lipno Stęszew vs Kalisz — III Liga - Group 2
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Lipno Stęszew and Kalisz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Lipno Stęszew have recorded 3 wins from 14 matches this season (21% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Kalisz have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Lipno Stęszew and 2.01 for Kalisz. The models give Lipno Stęszew a 33% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Kalisz win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Lipno Stęszew—
Kalisz18º
Position
7º
0.13
PPG
1.63
0%
Win %
38%
1.00
Goals / game
1.75
2.50
Conceded / game
1.13
57%
BTTS %
60%
14%
Clean sheet %
20%
71%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lipno Stęszew
Home (3)
—
Kalisz
Away (4)
0.00
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
25%
1.33
Goals / game
1.75
3.33
Conceded / game
1.50
60%
BTTS %
63%
20%
Clean sheet %
13%
100%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Kalisz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 80% | 67% | 80% | 86% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 40% | 11% | 40% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 14% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Kalisz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 80% | 89% | 80% | 71% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 64% | 80% | 56% | 53% | 29% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 80% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 29% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lipno Stęszew | Kalisz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 20% |
| BTTS | 57% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lipno Stęszew | Kalisz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Lipno Stęszew (H)L
Flota Świnoujście1–3
Flota Świnoujście1–3L
Polonia Środa2–3
Polonia Środa2–3L
Kluczevia Stargard1–4
Kluczevia Stargard1–4W
Kotwica Kórnik3–0
Kotwica Kórnik3–0W
Unia Swarzędz4–3
Unia Swarzędz4–3L
Luzino0–5
Luzino0–5Kalisz (A)D
Victoria Września3–3
Victoria Września3–3D
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1DKotwica Kórnik2–2
Kotwica Kórnik2–2L
Górnik Łęczna0–2
Górnik Łęczna0–2WFlota Świnoujście1–0
Flota Świnoujście1–0L
Unia Skierniewice0–4
Unia Skierniewice0–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 | Luzino | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lech Poznań II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | Kalisz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Kotwica Kórnik | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Unia Swarzędz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Elana Toruń | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Lipno Stęszew- ●Lipno Stęszew have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost their last 7 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Kalisz- ●Kalisz have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Kalisz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Kalisz have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kalisz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Kalisz's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Kalisz have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lipno StęszewLAKotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4LHFlota Świnoujście1–3
Flota Świnoujście1–3LALuzino1–2
Luzino1–2LHPolonia Środa2–3
Polonia Środa2–3LALech Poznań II0–1
Lech Poznań II0–1LHKluczevia Stargard1–4
Kluczevia Stargard1–4–HBałtyk Koszalin19/09
Bałtyk Koszalin19/09–AVictoria Września26/09
Victoria Września26/09–HChemik Bydgoszcz03/10
Chemik Bydgoszcz03/10KaliszDHWda Świecie1–1
Wda Świecie1–1DAVictoria Września3–3
Victoria Września3–3WHElana Toruń5–1
Elana Toruń5–1DABałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1LHNoteć Czarnków0–1
Noteć Czarnków0–1DAKotwica Kórnik2–2
Kotwica Kórnik2–2–AChemik Bydgoszcz19/09
Chemik Bydgoszcz19/09–HKluczevia Stargard26/09
Kluczevia Stargard26/09–AStargard Szczeciński03/10
Stargard Szczeciński03/10Top Scorers
Lipno StęszewD. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
D. Domagalski1 ⚽
A. Kuznik1 ⚽
K. Kulczak1 ⚽
J. Rasiak1 ⚽
Kalisz5 ⚽
B. Putno2 ⚽
M. Machala2 ⚽
I. Kuchta1 ⚽
R. Zajac1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lipno StęszewJ. Wajman1 🟨
KaliszM. Biskup2 🟨