Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzędz — III Liga - Group 2
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Chemik Bydgoszcz and Unia Swarzędz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Chemik Bydgoszcz have recorded 3 wins from 13 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 77% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Unia Swarzędz have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 2.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for Chemik Bydgoszcz and 1.80 for Unia Swarzędz. The models give Chemik Bydgoszcz a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Unia Swarzędz win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Chemik Bydgoszcz—
Unia Swarzędz14º
Position
15º
0.88
PPG
0.78
13%
Win %
22%
1.50
Goals / game
1.22
2.13
Conceded / game
2.11
77%
BTTS %
57%
15%
Clean sheet %
14%
69%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Home (4)
—
Unia Swarzędz
Away (5)
1.25
PPG
1.20
25%
Win %
40%
1.75
Goals / game
1.80
1.75
Conceded / game
2.20
83%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 83% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 43% | 50% | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 17% | 14% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 17% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 100% | 71% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 57% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 43% | 29% | 38% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 0% | 29% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 36% |
| BTTS | 77% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 54% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 85% | 69% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Chemik Bydgoszcz (H)D
Kalisz1–1
Kalisz1–1D
Bałtyk Koszalin2–2
Bałtyk Koszalin2–2L
Piast Gliwice0–3
Piast Gliwice0–3D
Flota Świnoujście1–1
Flota Świnoujście1–1L
Polonia Środa1–4
Polonia Środa1–4W
Stomil Olsztyn3–1
Stomil Olsztyn3–1Unia Swarzędz (A)LPolonia Środa3–4
Polonia Środa3–4L
Kluczevia Stargard0–2
Kluczevia Stargard0–2W
Elana Toruń3–2
Elana Toruń3–2LKalisz0–1
Kalisz0–1W
Grom Nowy Staw3–2
Grom Nowy Staw3–2W
Kotwica Kórnik2–1
Kotwica Kórnik2–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Luzino | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 2 | Polonia Środa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Flota Świnoujście | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 | Grom Nowy Staw | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Kotwica Kórnik | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  Gedania Gdansk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Unia Swarzędz | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Elana Toruń | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 |  Lipno Stęszew | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Chemik Bydgoszcz- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Unia Swarzędz- ●Unia Swarzędz have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●82% of Unia Swarzędz's goals have been scored away.
- ●86% of Unia Swarzędz's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Chemik BydgoszczDHKalisz1–1
Kalisz1–1DAVictoria Września2–2
Victoria Września2–2DHBałtyk Koszalin2–2
Bałtyk Koszalin2–2LAKotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4DHFlota Świnoujście1–1
Flota Świnoujście1–1LALuzino1–3
Luzino1–3–HStargard Szczeciński26/09
Stargard Szczeciński26/09–ALipno Stęszew03/10
Lipno Stęszew03/10–HGedania Gdansk10/10
Gedania Gdansk10/10Unia SwarzędzLHLuzino1–3
Luzino1–3LAPolonia Środa3–4
Polonia Środa3–4DHLech Poznań II1–1
Lech Poznań II1–1LAKluczevia Stargard0–2
Kluczevia Stargard0–2LHWda Świecie0–1
Wda Świecie0–1WAElana Toruń3–2
Elana Toruń3–2–AFlota Świnoujście26/09
Flota Świnoujście26/09–HKotwica Kórnik03/10
Kotwica Kórnik03/10–ABałtyk Koszalin10/10
Bałtyk Koszalin10/10Top Scorers
Chemik BydgoszczP. Perlinski3 ⚽
D. Zagorski3 ⚽
O. Grzelak2 ⚽
J. Jarosz2 ⚽
W. Bednarek2 ⚽
H. Jaskula1 ⚽
Unia SwarzędzD. Zaborniak3 ⚽
M. Deppe3 ⚽
G. Gozdzik3 ⚽
W. Slowinski2 ⚽
M. Matuszewski1 ⚽
T. Dejewski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chemik BydgoszczA. Karbowski1 🟨
H. Jaskula1 🟨
Unia Swarzędz