Lipno Stęszew vs Gedania Gdansk — III Liga - Group 2
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Lipno Stęszew and Gedania Gdansk meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Lipno Stęszew have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Gedania Gdansk have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 2.08 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Lipno Stęszew and 2.01 for Gedania Gdansk. The models give Lipno Stęszew a 38% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Gedania Gdansk win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Lipno StęszewGedania GdanskHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Gedania Gdansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 83% | 67% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 50% | 11% | 58% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 17% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Gedania Gdansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 83% | 89% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 56% | 67% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 67% | 22% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lipno Stęszew | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS | 60% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lipno Stęszew | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 10% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 73% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 80% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Lipno Stęszew (H)
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1
Flota Świnoujście1–3
Polonia Środa2–3
Kluczevia Stargard1–4
Kotwica Kórnik3–0
Unia Swarzędz4–3Gedania Gdansk (A)Flota Świnoujście1–1Polonia Środa3–4Kluczevia Stargard2–2
Elana Toruń2–2
Olimpia Elbląg0–4Olimpia Elbląg0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Luzino | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 2 | Polonia Środa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +13 | 22 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Flota Świnoujście | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 |  Kalisz | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Kotwica Kórnik | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Gedania Gdansk | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Unia Swarzędz | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Elana Toruń | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 |  Victoria Września | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Lipno Stęszew- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Gedania Gdansk- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Gedania Gdansk's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Lipno StęszewBałtyk Koszalin2–1Kotwica Kórnik1–4Flota Świnoujście1–3Luzino1–2Polonia Środa2–3Lech Poznań II0–1Victoria Września26/09Chemik Bydgoszcz03/10Stargard Szczeciński10/10Gedania GdanskKotwica Kórnik6–1Flota Świnoujście1–1Luzino0–4Polonia Środa3–4Lech Poznań II2–3Kluczevia Stargard2–2Bałtyk Koszalin26/09Victoria Września03/10Chemik Bydgoszcz10/10Top Scorers
Lipno StęszewGedania GdanskCards Given
Lipno StęszewGedania Gdansk