Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków — III Liga - Group 2
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Victoria Września and Noteć Czarnków meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Victoria Września have recorded 2 wins from 11 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Noteć Czarnków have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Victoria Września and 1.92 for Noteć Czarnków. The models give Victoria Września a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Noteć Czarnków win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Victoria WrześniaNoteć CzarnkówHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Victoria Września | Home | Away | Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 64% | 86% | 25% | 64% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 57% | 0% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 14% | 0% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 36% | 14% | 75% | 36% | 50% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Victoria Września | Home | Away | Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 57% | 100% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 55% | 57% | 50% | 55% | 25% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 43% | 25% | 9% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 43% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Victoria Września | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 9% |
| BTTS | 45% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Victoria Września | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 64% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 9% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 70% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Victoria Września (H)
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2
Kalisz3–3
Kotwica Kórnik1–0
Luzino1–3
Lech Poznań II2–5
Lipno Stęszew2–0Noteć Czarnków (A)Lech Poznań II1–2
Wda Świecie1–2Kalisz1–0
Unia Swarzędz3–0
Gedania Gdansk3–5
Górnik Polkowice0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Noteć CzarnkówVictoria Września| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 23 |
| 2 | Luzino | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Wda Świecie | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | Kalisz | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Flota Świnoujście | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Gedania Gdansk | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Kotwica Kórnik | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Unia Swarzędz | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Elana Toruń | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
Team Insights
Victoria Września- ●Victoria Września have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Victoria Września have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Victoria Września have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Victoria Września failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●90% of Victoria Września's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Victoria Września's points have been earned at home.
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Noteć Czarnków's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Victoria WrześniaStargard Szczeciński1–1Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2Kalisz3–3Bałtyk Koszalin0–2Kotwica Kórnik1–0Flota Świnoujście0–5Lipno Stęszew26/09Gedania Gdansk03/10Grom Nowy Staw10/10Noteć CzarnkówPolonia Środa0–0Lech Poznań II1–2Kluczevia Stargard3–1Wda Świecie1–2Elana Toruń3–1Kalisz1–0Luzino26/09Flota Świnoujście03/10Kotwica Kórnik10/10Top Scorers
Victoria WrześniaNoteć CzarnkówCards Given
Victoria WrześniaNoteć Czarnków