Lech Poznań II vs Flota Świnoujście — III Liga - Group 2
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Lech Poznań II and Flota Świnoujście meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Lech Poznań II have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Flota Świnoujście have won 29% of their 17 matches, with 1.41 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Lech Poznań II and 1.57 for Flota Świnoujście. The models give Lech Poznań II a 47% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Flota Świnoujście win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Lech Poznań II—
Flota Świnoujście7º
Position
8º
1.67
PPG
1.40
44%
Win %
40%
1.89
Goals / game
1.50
1.67
Conceded / game
1.70
69%
BTTS %
59%
23%
Clean sheet %
12%
62%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lech Poznań II
Home (4)
—
Flota Świnoujście
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
1.75
50%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lech Poznań | Home | Away | Flota Świnoujście | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 100% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 60% | 50% | 35% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 20% | 25% | 18% | 25% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 0% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Lech Poznań | Home | Away | Flota Świnoujście | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 60% | 88% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 20% | 63% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 20% | 25% | 29% | 13% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 40% | 13% | 12% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lech Poznań | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS | 69% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lech Poznań | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 80% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Lech Poznań (H)W
Noteć Czarnków2–1
Noteć Czarnków2–1L
Grom Nowy Staw2–4
Grom Nowy Staw2–4W
Lipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0D
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1W
Zagłębie Lubin II3–0
Zagłębie Lubin II3–0L
Victoria Września1–2
Victoria Września1–2Flota Świnoujście (A)LGrom Nowy Staw0–5
Grom Nowy Staw0–5WLipno Stęszew3–1
Lipno Stęszew3–1DChemik Bydgoszcz1–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1W
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1D
Warta Gorzów1–1
Warta Gorzów1–1L
Stargard Szczeciński0–4
Stargard Szczeciński0–4Head to Head · 4 matches
4
Lech Poznań
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Flota Świnoujście
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
75%
Over 3.5
3/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
19/04/26Flota Świnoujście
Lech Poznań II
3–1Flota Świnoujście28/09/25Lech Poznań II
Flota Świnoujście
1–2Lech Poznań II25/05/25Flota Świnoujście
Lech Poznań II
3–1Flota Świnoujście02/11/24Lech Poznań II
Flota Świnoujście
2–5Lech Poznań II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Luzino | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 |  Polonia Środa | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kalisz | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 | Stargard Szczeciński | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Flota Świnoujście | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Grom Nowy Staw | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Noteć Czarnków | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |  Unia Swarzędz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 |  Elana Toruń | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Lech Poznań- ●Lech Poznań II have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lech Poznań II have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lech Poznań II failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Lech Poznań II's goals have been scored away.
- ●Lech Poznań II have scored 76% of their goals in the first half.
Flota Świnoujście- ●Flota Świnoujście have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Lech PoznańDAElana Toruń0–0
Elana Toruń0–0WHNoteć Czarnków2–1
Noteć Czarnków2–1DAUnia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1LHGrom Nowy Staw2–4
Grom Nowy Staw2–4WAGedania Gdansk3–2
Gedania Gdansk3–2WHLipno Stęszew1–0
Lipno Stęszew1–0–HWda Świecie26/09
Wda Świecie26/09–AKluczevia Stargard03/10
Kluczevia Stargard03/10–AKalisz10/10
Kalisz10/10Flota ŚwinoujścieLHUnia Swarzędz0–2
Unia Swarzędz0–2LAGrom Nowy Staw0–5
Grom Nowy Staw0–5DHGedania Gdansk1–1
Gedania Gdansk1–1WALipno Stęszew3–1
Lipno Stęszew3–1LHStargard Szczeciński1–5
Stargard Szczeciński1–5DAChemik Bydgoszcz1–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–1–ANoteć Czarnków03/10
Noteć Czarnków03/10–HElana Toruń10/10
Elana Toruń10/10–AWda Świecie17/10
Wda Świecie17/10Top Scorers
Lech PoznańW. Szymczak4 ⚽
F. Tokar2 ⚽
M. Dziuba2 ⚽
S. Bakhno2 ⚽
M. Cegielka1 ⚽
A. Majewski1 ⚽
Flota ŚwinoujścieS. Cybulski3 ⚽
H. Szulc2 ⚽
D. Chrominski2 ⚽
O. Nowak1 ⚽
O. Szkamelski1 ⚽
R. Dziuba1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lech PoznańFlota ŚwinoujścieO. Szkamelski2 🟨