Noteć Czarnków vs Chemik Bydgoszcz — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Chemik Bydgoszcz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Chemik Bydgoszcz have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.47 for Chemik Bydgoszcz. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chemik Bydgoszcz win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Noteć Czarnków—
Chemik Bydgoszcz10º
Position
15º
1.30
PPG
0.90
40%
Win %
10%
1.50
Goals / game
1.60
1.50
Conceded / game
2.10
42%
BTTS %
79%
25%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Noteć Czarnków
Home (4)
—
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
0.50
50%
Win %
0%
1.50
Goals / game
1.25
1.00
Conceded / game
2.50
50%
BTTS %
71%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 50% | 63% | 93% | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 25% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 25% | 21% | 29% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 50% | 38% | 7% | 14% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 25% | 75% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 13% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Chemik Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 36% |
| BTTS | 42% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Chemik Bydgoszcz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 86% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 9% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Noteć Czarnków (H)D
Polonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0W
Kluczevia Stargard3–1
Kluczevia Stargard3–1W
Elana Toruń3–1
Elana Toruń3–1L
Grom Nowy Staw0–2
Grom Nowy Staw0–2WPolonia Środa2–0
Polonia Środa2–0L
Unia Swarzędz0–1
Unia Swarzędz0–1Chemik Bydgoszcz (A)D
Victoria Września2–2
Victoria Września2–2L
Kotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4L
Luzino1–3
Luzino1–3D
Lech Poznań II1–1
Lech Poznań II1–1W
Wikielec7–0
Wikielec7–0W
Wisła Płock II1–0
Wisła Płock II1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luzino | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 25 |
| 2 | Polonia Środa | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 24 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 5 |  Kalisz | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznań II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |  Flota Świnoujście | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Grom Nowy Staw | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 13 |
| 10 | Noteć Czarnków | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Unia Swarzędz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Kotwica Kórnik | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 9 |
| 16 | Elana Toruń | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 |  Lipno Stęszew | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 5 |
Team Insights
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Noteć Czarnków's goals conceded were conceded away.
Chemik Bydgoszcz- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of Chemik Bydgoszcz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Chemik Bydgoszcz have conceded 71% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Noteć CzarnkówLALuzino0–2
Luzino0–2DHPolonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0LALech Poznań II1–2
Lech Poznań II1–2WHKluczevia Stargard3–1
Kluczevia Stargard3–1LAWda Świecie1–2
Wda Świecie1–2WHElana Toruń3–1
Elana Toruń3–1–HFlota Świnoujście03/10
Flota Świnoujście03/10–AKotwica Kórnik10/10
Kotwica Kórnik10/10–HBałtyk Koszalin17/10
Bałtyk Koszalin17/10Chemik BydgoszczDHStargard Szczeciński3–3
Stargard Szczeciński3–3DHKalisz1–1
Kalisz1–1DAVictoria Września2–2
Victoria Września2–2DHBałtyk Koszalin2–2
Bałtyk Koszalin2–2LAKotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4DHFlota Świnoujście1–1
Flota Świnoujście1–1–ALipno Stęszew03/10
Lipno Stęszew03/10–HGedania Gdansk10/10
Gedania Gdansk10/10–AGrom Nowy Staw17/10
Grom Nowy Staw17/10Top Scorers
Noteć CzarnkówS. Piekarski5 ⚽
P. Kot3 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
K. Milachowski1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Chemik Bydgoszcz4 ⚽
D. Zagorski3 ⚽
P. Perlinski3 ⚽
O. Grzelak2 ⚽
J. Jarosz2 ⚽
W. Bednarek2 ⚽
Cards Given
Noteć CzarnkówChemik BydgoszczA. Karbowski1 🟨
H. Jaskula1 🟨