Stargard Szczeciński vs Noteć Czarnków — III Liga - Group 2
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Stargard Szczeciński and Noteć Czarnków meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Stargard Szczeciński have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.47 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 73% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Noteć Czarnków have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for Stargard Szczeciński and 1.61 for Noteć Czarnków. The models give Stargard Szczeciński a 46% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Noteć Czarnków win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Stargard Szczeciński—
Noteć Czarnków4º
Position
7º
1.50
PPG
1.42
42%
Win %
42%
2.50
Goals / game
1.58
1.92
Conceded / game
1.33
73%
BTTS %
43%
27%
Clean sheet %
29%
73%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stargard Szczeciński
Home (7)
—
Noteć Czarnków
Away (7)
1.57
PPG
1.00
43%
Win %
29%
2.57
Goals / game
1.43
1.86
Conceded / game
1.71
78%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
22%
78%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stargard Szczeciński | Home | Away | Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 64% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 78% | 50% | 36% | 60% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 44% | 33% | 36% | 60% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 36% | 40% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Stargard Szczeciński | Home | Away | Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 78% | 67% | 71% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 22% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 22% | 33% | 29% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stargard Szczeciński | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 47% | 7% |
| BTTS | 73% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stargard Szczeciński | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 15% |
Recent Venue Form
Stargard Szczeciński (H)L
Lipno Stęszew3–4
Lipno Stęszew3–4W
Kalisz5–0
Kalisz5–0D
Victoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1L
Kotwica Kórnik2–4
Kotwica Kórnik2–4W
Luzino2–1
Luzino2–1W
Lech Poznań II4–2
Lech Poznań II4–2Noteć Czarnków (A)DKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1LLuzino0–2
Luzino0–2LLech Poznań II1–2
Lech Poznań II1–2L
Wda Świecie1–2
Wda Świecie1–2WKalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0W
Unia Swarzędz3–0
Unia Swarzędz3–0Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Stargard Szczeciński
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Noteć Czarnków
33%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
83%
Over 2.5
5/6
83%
Over 3.5
5/6
100%
BTTS
6/6
17/05/26Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński
1–1Noteć Czarnków02/11/25Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
3–1Stargard Szczeciński25/05/25Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński
5–1Noteć Czarnków02/11/24Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
1–4Stargard Szczeciński01/06/24Noteć Czarnków
Stargard Szczeciński
2–4Noteć Czarnków11/11/23Stargard Szczeciński
Noteć Czarnków
1–4Stargard Szczeciński| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 28 |
| 3 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 4 | Stargard Szczeciński | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Świecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Flota Świnoujście | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 |  Elana Toruń | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kórnik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 8 |
Team Insights
Stargard Szczeciński- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Noteć Czarnków- ●Noteć Czarnków have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●75% of Noteć Czarnków's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Stargard SzczecińskiLHLipno Stęszew3–4
Lipno Stęszew3–4WHKalisz5–0
Kalisz5–0DAChemik Bydgoszcz3–3
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–3DHVictoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1WABałtyk Koszalin2–0
Bałtyk Koszalin2–0LHKotwica Kórnik2–4
Kotwica Kórnik2–4–AGedania Gdansk17/10
Gedania Gdansk17/10–HGrom Nowy Staw23/10
Grom Nowy Staw23/10–AUnia Swarzędz31/10
Unia Swarzędz31/10Noteć CzarnkówDAKotwica Kórnik1–1
Kotwica Kórnik1–1WHFlota Świnoujście3–0
Flota Świnoujście3–0LALuzino0–2
Luzino0–2DHPolonia Środa0–0
Polonia Środa0–0LALech Poznań II1–2
Lech Poznań II1–2WHKluczevia Stargard3–1
Kluczevia Stargard3–1–HBałtyk Koszalin17/10
Bałtyk Koszalin17/10–AVictoria Września24/10
Victoria Września24/10–HChemik Bydgoszcz31/10
Chemik Bydgoszcz31/10Top Scorers
Stargard SzczecińskiW. Fadecki7 ⚽
B. Starzycki6 ⚽
S. Krocz5 ⚽
D. Kroczek3 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Lis2 ⚽
Noteć CzarnkówS. Piekarski6 ⚽
P. Kot4 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
K. Milachowski1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Stargard SzczecińskiM. Liskiewicz1 🟨
Noteć Czarnków