Lipno Stęszew vs Unia Swarzędz — III Liga - Group 2
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Lipno Stęszew and Unia Swarzędz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Lipno Stęszew have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Unia Swarzędz have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Lipno Stęszew and 1.86 for Unia Swarzędz. The models give Lipno Stęszew a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Unia Swarzędz win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Lipno Stęszew—
Unia Swarzędz18º
Position
10º
0.67
PPG
1.17
17%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.75
2.17
Conceded / game
1.67
61%
BTTS %
53%
11%
Clean sheet %
24%
67%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lipno Stęszew
Home (5)
—
Unia Swarzędz
Away (7)
0.60
PPG
1.43
20%
Win %
43%
1.20
Goals / game
1.71
2.40
Conceded / game
1.71
57%
BTTS %
63%
14%
Clean sheet %
13%
86%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 71% | 73% | 76% | 78% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 43% | 18% | 53% | 44% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 14% | 9% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 29% | 27% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 86% | 91% | 76% | 67% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 57% | 55% | 47% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 39% | 57% | 27% | 24% | 33% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 14% | 9% | 24% | 33% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lipno Stęszew | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 35% |
| BTTS | 61% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lipno Stęszew | Unia Swarzędz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 72% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Lipno Stęszew (H)L
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1W
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1L
Flota Świnoujście1–3
Flota Świnoujście1–3L
Polonia Środa2–3
Polonia Środa2–3L
Kluczevia Stargard1–4
Kluczevia Stargard1–4W
Kotwica Kórnik3–0
Kotwica Kórnik3–0Unia Swarzędz (A)DBałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WFlota Świnoujście2–0
Flota Świnoujście2–0LPolonia Środa3–4
Polonia Środa3–4LKluczevia Stargard0–2
Kluczevia Stargard0–2W
Elana Toruń3–2
Elana Toruń3–2L
Kalisz0–1
Kalisz0–1Head to Head · 3 matches
2
Lipno Stęszew
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Unia Swarzędz
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
15/07/26Lipno Stęszew
Unia Swarzędz
3–0Lipno Stęszew30/05/26Unia Swarzędz
Lipno Stęszew
4–3Unia Swarzędz15/11/25Lipno Stęszew
Unia Swarzędz
0–2Lipno Stęszew| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 30 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +21 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 4 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 |
| 6 |  Wda Świecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |  Noteć Czarnków | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Flota Świnoujście | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Toruń | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 16 |  Victoria Września | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kórnik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Stęszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 8 |
Team Insights
Lipno Stęszew- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Lipno Stęszew's points have been earned away.
Unia Swarzędz- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Unia Swarzędz's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Lipno StęszewWAStargard Szczeciński4–3
Stargard Szczeciński4–3LHChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1DAVictoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1WHBałtyk Koszalin2–1
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1LAKotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4LHFlota Świnoujście1–3
Flota Świnoujście1–3–HKalisz17/10
Kalisz17/10–HGedania Gdansk24/10
Gedania Gdansk24/10–AGrom Nowy Staw31/10
Grom Nowy Staw31/10Unia SwarzędzDABałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WHKotwica Kórnik7–0
Kotwica Kórnik7–0WAFlota Świnoujście2–0
Flota Świnoujście2–0LHLuzino1–3
Luzino1–3LAPolonia Środa3–4
Polonia Środa3–4DHLech Poznań II1–1
Lech Poznań II1–1–HVictoria Września17/10
Victoria Września17/10–AChemik Bydgoszcz24/10
Chemik Bydgoszcz24/10–HStargard Szczeciński31/10
Stargard Szczeciński31/10Top Scorers
Lipno StęszewK. Kulczak3 ⚽
K. Rutowski2 ⚽
D. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
J. Wajman1 ⚽
S. Kaptur1 ⚽
Unia SwarzędzD. Zaborniak6 ⚽
M. Deppe3 ⚽
G. Gozdzik3 ⚽
J. Piotrowski3 ⚽
B. Luczak2 ⚽
M. Matuszewski2 ⚽
Cards Given
Lipno StęszewJ. Wajman1 🟨
K. Rutowski1 🟨
1 🟨
Unia Swarzędz