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Noteć Czarnków vs Lipno Stęszew — III Liga - Group 2

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Poland · III Liga - Group 2 · Group II - 17
Noteć Czarnków
Noteć Czarnków
7º · 1.42 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 3h
vs
–
–
Lipno Stęszew
Lipno Stęszew
18º · 0.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 4h
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Noteć Czarnków and Lipno Stęszew meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Lipno Stęszew have won 28% of their 18 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.26 for Lipno Stęszew. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Lipno Stęszew win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Noteć Czarnków
—
Lipno Stęszew
7º
Position
18º
1.42
PPG
0.67
42%
Win %
17%
1.58
Goals / game
1.25
1.33
Conceded / game
2.17
43%
BTTS %
61%
29%
Clean sheet %
11%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Noteć Czarnków
Home (5)
—
Lipno Stęszew
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
0.71
60%
Win %
14%
1.80
Goals / game
1.29
0.80
Conceded / game
2.00
40%
BTTS %
64%
40%
Clean sheet %
9%
60%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Noteć CzarnkówHomeAwayLipno StęszewHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%60%67%72%71%73%
Over 1.5 Scored36%60%22%28%43%18%
Over 2.5 Scored36%60%22%11%14%9%
Failed To Score36%40%33%28%29%27%

Goals Conceded

Noteć CzarnkówHomeAwayLipno StęszewHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%60%78%89%86%91%
Over 1.5 Conceded50%20%67%56%57%55%
Over 2.5 Conceded7%0%11%39%57%27%
Clean Sheets29%40%22%11%14%9%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Noteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.586%83%
Over 2.550%67%
Over 3.521%28%
Over 4.57%22%
BTTS43%61%
BTTS & Win14%17%
BTTS & Draw7%11%
BTTS & Over 2.536%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Noteć CzarnkówLipno Stęszew
Win 1st Half31%11%
Draw 1st Half46%39%
Loss 1st Half23%50%
Scored 1st Half46%33%
Conceded 1st Half31%72%
Win 2nd Half38%28%
Draw 2nd Half23%33%
Loss 2nd Half38%39%
Scored 2nd Half62%61%
Conceded 2nd Half62%67%
Over 0.5 HT62%83%
Over 1.5 HT15%44%

Recent Venue Form

Noteć Czarnków (H)
WFlota Świnoujście3–0
DPolonia Środa0–0
WKluczevia Stargard3–1
WElana Toruń3–1
LGrom Nowy Staw0–2
WPolonia Środa2–0
Lipno Stęszew (A)
WStargard Szczeciński4–3
DVictoria Września1–1
LKotwica Kórnik1–4
LLuzino1–2
LLech Poznań II0–1
LWda Świecie1–2

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Noteć Czarnków
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Lipno Stęszew
50%
50%
Over 1.5
1/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
01/05/26
Lipno Stęszew
1–0
Noteć Czarnków
12/10/25
Noteć Czarnków
3–1
Lipno Stęszew
III Liga - Group 2
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa12930+1930
2Luzino12912+2128
3Kluczevia Stargard11614+119
4Stargard Szczeciński12534+718
5Lech Poznań II10532+418
6Wda Świecie11533-218
7Noteć Czarnków12525+317
8Kalisz12453-117
9Bałtyk Koszalin12444016
10Unia Swarzędz12426+114
11Gedania Gdansk12354014
12Flota Świnoujście12426-614
13Grom Nowy Staw12417-113
14Elana Toruń12345-513
15Chemik Bydgoszcz12264-512
16Victoria Września12255-1111
17Kotwica Kórnik12327-1411
18Lipno Stęszew12228-118

Team Insights

Noteć Czarnków
  • ●Noteć Czarnków have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Noteć Czarnków have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●75% of Noteć Czarnków's goals conceded were conceded away.
Lipno Stęszew
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●63% of Lipno Stęszew's points have been earned away.
Noteć CzarnkówNoteć Czarnków
DAKotwica Kórnik17º1–1
WHFlota Świnoujście12º3–0
LALuzino2º0–2
DHPolonia Środa1º0–0
LALech Poznań II5º1–2
WHKluczevia Stargard3º3–1
LAWda Świecie6º1–2
WHElana Toruń14º3–1
WAKalisz8º1–0
WAUnia Swarzędz10º3–0
Lipno StęszewLipno Stęszew
WAStargard Szczeciński4º4–3
LHChemik Bydgoszcz15º0–1
DAVictoria Września16º1–1
WHBałtyk Koszalin9º2–1
LAKotwica Kórnik17º1–4
LHFlota Świnoujście12º1–3
LALuzino2º1–2
LHPolonia Środa1º2–3
LALech Poznań II5º0–1
LHKluczevia Stargard3º1–4

Season Schedule

Noteć Czarnków
DAKotwica Kórnik1–1
WHFlota Świnoujście3–0
LALuzino0–2
DHPolonia Środa0–0
LALech Poznań II1–2
WHKluczevia Stargard3–1
–HBałtyk Koszalin17/10
–AVictoria Września24/10
–HChemik Bydgoszcz31/10
Lipno Stęszew
WAStargard Szczeciński4–3
LHChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
DAVictoria Września1–1
WHBałtyk Koszalin2–1
LAKotwica Kórnik1–4
LHFlota Świnoujście1–3
–HKalisz17/10
–HGedania Gdansk24/10
–AGrom Nowy Staw31/10

Top Scorers

Noteć Czarnków
S. Piekarski6 ⚽
P. Kot4 ⚽
A. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
K. Magdziarz1 ⚽
K. Milachowski1 ⚽
M. Kuskowski1 ⚽
Lipno Stęszew
K. Kulczak3 ⚽
K. Rutowski2 ⚽
D. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
J. Wajman1 ⚽
S. Kaptur1 ⚽

Cards Given

Noteć Czarnków
Lipno Stęszew
J. Wajman1 🟨
K. Rutowski1 🟨
1 🟨