Lipno Stęszew vs Elana Toruń — III Liga - Group 2
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Lipno Stęszew and Elana Toruń meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Lipno Stęszew have recorded 6 wins from 19 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Elana Toruń have won 33% of their 18 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 89%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Lipno Stęszew and 1.68 for Elana Toruń. The models give Lipno Stęszew a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Elana Toruń win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Lipno Stęszew—
Elana Toruń17º
Position
11º
0.85
PPG
1.23
23%
Win %
31%
1.23
Goals / game
1.54
2.00
Conceded / game
1.77
58%
BTTS %
89%
16%
Clean sheet %
11%
63%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Lipno Stęszew
Home (6)
—
Elana Toruń
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
0.80
33%
Win %
20%
1.17
Goals / game
1.40
2.00
Conceded / game
2.60
50%
BTTS %
100%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Elana Toruń | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 75% | 73% | 94% | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 38% | 18% | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 13% | 9% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 25% | 27% | 6% | 10% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Lipno Stęszew | Home | Away | Elana Toruń | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 75% | 91% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 50% | 55% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 50% | 27% | 28% | 10% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 25% | 9% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lipno Stęszew | Elana Toruń | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS | 58% | 89% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 78% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lipno Stęszew | Elana Toruń | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 32% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 76% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Lipno Stęszew (H)W
Kalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0L
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1W
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1L
Flota Świnoujście1–3
Flota Świnoujście1–3L
Polonia Środa2–3
Polonia Środa2–3L
Kluczevia Stargard1–4
Kluczevia Stargard1–4Elana Toruń (A)DPolonia Środa2–2
Polonia Środa2–2LKluczevia Stargard1–2
Kluczevia Stargard1–2LKalisz1–5
Kalisz1–5L
Noteć Czarnków1–3
Noteć Czarnków1–3W
Grom Nowy Staw2–1
Grom Nowy Staw2–1W
Warta Sieradz4–3
Warta Sieradz4–3Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Lipno Stęszew
0%
3
Draws
100%
0
Elana Toruń
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
01/08/26Lipno Stęszew
Elana Toruń
1–1Lipno Stęszew11/04/26Lipno Stęszew
Elana Toruń
1–1Lipno Stęszew20/09/25Elana Toruń
Lipno Stęszew
2–2Elana Toruń| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 33 |
| 2 |  Luzino | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +20 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 24 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 22 |
| 5 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 7 |  Lech Poznań II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Noteć Czarnków | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | Kalisz | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Grom Nowy Staw | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |  Unia Swarzędz | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 |  Gedania Gdansk | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Flota Świnoujście | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 |  Victoria Września | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 11 |
Team Insights
Lipno Stęszew- ●Lipno Stęszew have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Elana Toruń- ●Elana Toruń have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Elana Toruń failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Elana Toruń failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Elana Toruń's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Elana Toruń's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Lipno StęszewWHKalisz1–0
Kalisz1–0WAStargard Szczeciński4–3
Stargard Szczeciński4–3LHChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz0–1DAVictoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1WHBałtyk Koszalin2–1
Bałtyk Koszalin2–1LAKotwica Kórnik1–4
Kotwica Kórnik1–4–HGedania Gdansk24/10
Gedania Gdansk24/10–AGrom Nowy Staw31/10
Grom Nowy Staw31/10–HUnia Swarzędz07/11
Unia Swarzędz07/11Elana ToruńWHKotwica Kórnik3–1
Kotwica Kórnik3–1WHFlota Świnoujście1–0
Flota Świnoujście1–0WHLuzino3–1
Luzino3–1DAPolonia Środa2–2
Polonia Środa2–2DHLech Poznań II0–0
Lech Poznań II0–0LAKluczevia Stargard1–2
Kluczevia Stargard1–2–ABałtyk Koszalin24/10
Bałtyk Koszalin24/10–HVictoria Września31/10
Victoria Września31/10–AChemik Bydgoszcz07/11
Chemik Bydgoszcz07/11Top Scorers
Lipno StęszewK. Kulczak3 ⚽
K. Rutowski2 ⚽
D. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
J. Wajman1 ⚽
S. Kaptur1 ⚽
Elana ToruńK. Woroniecki6 ⚽
M. Roznowski5 ⚽
A. Orzel3 ⚽
K. Karbownik2 ⚽
A. Korpalski1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Lipno StęszewJ. Wajman1 🟨
K. Rutowski1 🟨
1 🟨
Elana Toruń