Noteć Czarnków vs Gedania Gdansk — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Gedania Gdansk meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Gedania Gdansk have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 1.94 goals scored and 2.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 6%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.55 for Gedania Gdansk. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Gedania Gdansk win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Gedania Gdansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 22% | 56% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 22% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 50% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Gedania Gdansk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 78% | 94% | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 33% | 67% | 69% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 17% | 11% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 22% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 31% |
| BTTS | 40% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Gedania Gdansk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 33 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +20 | 28 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 24 | |
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 19 | |
| 6 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 17 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 17 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | +1 | 16 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 14 | |
| 15 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | |
| 16 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -11 | 12 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -16 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gedania Gdansk have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.