Bałtyk Koszalin vs Luzino — III Liga - Group 2
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Bałtyk Koszalin and Luzino meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Bałtyk Koszalin have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Luzino have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 2.28 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Bałtyk Koszalin and 2.02 for Luzino. The models give Bałtyk Koszalin a 28% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Luzino win at 49%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Bałtyk Koszalin—
Luzino8º
Position
2º
1.36
PPG
2.00
36%
Win %
64%
1.50
Goals / game
2.71
1.36
Conceded / game
1.43
67%
BTTS %
67%
20%
Clean sheet %
22%
60%
Over 2.5 %
72%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bałtyk Koszalin
Home (8)
—
Luzino
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
1.71
25%
Win %
57%
1.25
Goals / game
2.86
1.63
Conceded / game
1.71
63%
BTTS %
75%
13%
Clean sheet %
13%
50%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Home | Away | Luzino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 75% | 100% | 89% | 90% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 38% | 57% | 67% | 70% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 13% | 29% | 39% | 30% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 10% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Home | Away | Luzino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 88% | 71% | 78% | 70% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 50% | 29% | 44% | 30% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 13% | 29% | 22% | 30% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Luzino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 28% |
| BTTS | 67% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Luzino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 18% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 12% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Bałtyk Koszalin (H)L
Elana Toruń2–3
Elana Toruń2–3D
Unia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1W
Gedania Gdansk3–1
Gedania Gdansk3–1L
Stargard Szczeciński0–2
Stargard Szczeciński0–2W
Victoria Września2–0
Victoria Września2–0D
Kalisz1–1
Kalisz1–1Luzino (A)L
Kluczevia Stargard2–3
Kluczevia Stargard2–3LElana Toruń1–3
Elana Toruń1–3WUnia Swarzędz3–1
Unia Swarzędz3–1WGedania Gdansk4–0
Gedania Gdansk4–0LStargard Szczeciński1–2
Stargard Szczeciński1–2WVictoria Września3–1
Victoria Września3–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Bałtyk Koszalin
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Luzino
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
09/08/26Bałtyk Koszalin
Luzino
1–1Bałtyk Koszalin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Luzino | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 |  Wda Świecie | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Kluczevia Stargard | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Stargard Szczeciński | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +9 | 22 |
| 6 |  Lech Poznań II | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |  Noteć Czarnków | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | +1 | 20 |
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 9 | Elana Toruń | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzędz | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Kalisz | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 |  Flota Świnoujście | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -9 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 17 |  Lipno Stęszew | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -18 | 11 |
Team Insights
Bałtyk Koszalin- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have lost 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Bałtyk Koszalin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Luzino- ●Luzino have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Luzino have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Luzino have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Luzino have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Luzino have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Luzino failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luzino have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luzino failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luzino have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luzino have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luzino have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Bałtyk KoszalinLHElana Toruń2–3
Elana Toruń2–3WANoteć Czarnków3–0
Noteć Czarnków3–0DHUnia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1WAGrom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1WHGedania Gdansk3–1
Gedania Gdansk3–1LALipno Stęszew1–2
Lipno Stęszew1–2–AWda Świecie31/10
Wda Świecie31/10–HKluczevia Stargard07/11
Kluczevia Stargard07/11–ALech Poznań II14/11
Lech Poznań II14/11LuzinoLHLech Poznań II2–4
Lech Poznań II2–4LAKluczevia Stargard2–3
Kluczevia Stargard2–3WHWda Świecie3–0
Wda Świecie3–0LAElana Toruń1–3
Elana Toruń1–3WHNoteć Czarnków2–0
Noteć Czarnków2–0WAUnia Swarzędz3–1
Unia Swarzędz3–1–APolonia Środa31/10
Polonia Środa31/10–AKalisz07/11
Kalisz07/11–HFlota Świnoujście14/11
Flota Świnoujście14/11Top Scorers
Bałtyk KoszalinA. Krauze5 ⚽
B. Mariusz2 ⚽
M. Palaszewski2 ⚽
M. Stepnik2 ⚽
O. Albinski2 ⚽
M. Wiewiora1 ⚽
LuzinoF. Sosnowski7 ⚽
P. Kurbiel6 ⚽
J. Krefft5 ⚽
S. Skurat3 ⚽
R. Zietarski3 ⚽
W. Sawicki3 ⚽
Cards Given
Bałtyk KoszalinLuzino1 🟨