Bałtyk Koszalin vs Kotwica Kórnik — III Liga - Group 2
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Bałtyk Koszalin and Kotwica Kórnik meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Bałtyk Koszalin have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Kotwica Kórnik have won 20% of their 20 matches, with 1.45 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.97 for Bałtyk Koszalin and 1.27 for Kotwica Kórnik. The models give Bałtyk Koszalin a 56% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Kotwica Kórnik win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Bałtyk Koszalin—
Kotwica Kórnik8º
Position
18º
1.31
PPG
0.69
31%
Win %
19%
1.38
Goals / game
1.31
1.25
Conceded / game
2.69
65%
BTTS %
65%
24%
Clean sheet %
0%
53%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bałtyk Koszalin
Home (9)
—
Kotwica Kórnik
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
0.43
22%
Win %
14%
1.11
Goals / game
0.86
1.44
Conceded / game
3.14
56%
BTTS %
38%
22%
Clean sheet %
0%
44%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Home | Away | Kotwica Kórnik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 67% | 100% | 65% | 83% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 33% | 50% | 30% | 42% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 11% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 33% | 0% | 35% | 17% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Home | Away | Kotwica Kórnik | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 78% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 44% | 25% | 65% | 58% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 22% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 22% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Kotwica Kórnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 40% |
| BTTS | 65% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bałtyk Koszalin | Kotwica Kórnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 6% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 78% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 28% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 89% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Bałtyk Koszalin (H)D
Kluczevia Stargard0–0
Kluczevia Stargard0–0L
Elana Toruń2–3
Elana Toruń2–3D
Unia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1W
Gedania Gdansk3–1
Gedania Gdansk3–1L
Stargard Szczeciński0–2
Stargard Szczeciński0–2W
Victoria Września2–0
Victoria Września2–0Kotwica Kórnik (A)LKluczevia Stargard0–1
Kluczevia Stargard0–1LElana Toruń1–3
Elana Toruń1–3LUnia Swarzędz0–7
Unia Swarzędz0–7LGedania Gdansk1–6
Gedania Gdansk1–6WStargard Szczeciński4–2
Stargard Szczeciński4–2LVictoria Września0–1
Victoria Września0–1Head to Head · 1 matches
1
Bałtyk Koszalin
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Kotwica Kórnik
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
19/08/26Bałtyk Koszalin
Kotwica Kórnik
0–1Bałtyk Koszalin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Lech Poznań II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 | Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 | Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |  Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 11 |
Team Insights
Bałtyk Koszalin- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bałtyk Koszalin have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Bałtyk Koszalin's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Kotwica Kórnik- ●Kotwica Kórnik have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik have lost 5 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Kotwica Kórnik's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Kotwica Kórnik have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Bałtyk KoszalinDHKluczevia Stargard0–0
Kluczevia Stargard0–0DAWda Świecie1–1
Wda Świecie1–1LHElana Toruń2–3
Elana Toruń2–3WANoteć Czarnków3–0
Noteć Czarnków3–0DHUnia Swarzędz1–1
Unia Swarzędz1–1WAGrom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1–ALech Poznań II14/11
Lech Poznań II14/11–APolonia Środa21/11
Polonia Środa21/11–HLuzino29/11
Luzino29/11Kotwica KórnikLHLech Poznań II1–4
Lech Poznań II1–4LAKluczevia Stargard0–1
Kluczevia Stargard0–1LHWda Świecie0–2
Wda Świecie0–2LAElana Toruń1–3
Elana Toruń1–3DHNoteć Czarnków1–1
Noteć Czarnków1–1LAUnia Swarzędz0–7
Unia Swarzędz0–7–APolonia Środa14/11
Polonia Środa14/11–ALuzino21/11
Luzino21/11–HFlota Świnoujście29/11
Flota Świnoujście29/11Top Scorers
Bałtyk KoszalinA. Krauze6 ⚽
O. Albinski3 ⚽
M. Palaszewski2 ⚽
M. Stepnik2 ⚽
B. Mariusz2 ⚽
M. Wiewiora2 ⚽
Kotwica KórnikK. Chilinski7 ⚽
G. Hyl4 ⚽
A. Strawa3 ⚽
O. Fogt2 ⚽
I. Sarnowski2 ⚽
Trialist1 ⚽
Cards Given
Bałtyk Koszalin1 🟨
Kotwica Kórnik