Stargard Szczeciński vs Polonia Środa — III Liga - Group 2
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Stargard Szczeciński and Polonia Środa meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Stargard Szczeciński have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.21 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Polonia Środa have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Stargard Szczeciński and 1.90 for Polonia Środa. The models give Stargard Szczeciński a 31% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Polonia Środa win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Stargard Szczeciński—
Polonia Środa6º
Position
1º
1.50
PPG
2.47
38%
Win %
73%
2.19
Goals / game
2.87
1.63
Conceded / game
1.33
68%
BTTS %
60%
32%
Clean sheet %
32%
68%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stargard Szczeciński
Home (9)
—
Polonia Środa
Away (8)
1.67
PPG
2.25
44%
Win %
63%
2.33
Goals / game
2.63
1.56
Conceded / game
1.13
73%
BTTS %
53%
27%
Clean sheet %
40%
73%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stargard Szczeciński | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 91% | 88% | 80% | 90% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 73% | 50% | 72% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 45% | 25% | 56% | 60% | 53% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 10% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Stargard Szczeciński | Home | Away | Polonia Środa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 73% | 63% | 68% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 27% | 50% | 48% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 18% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 27% | 38% | 32% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stargard Szczeciński | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 40% |
| BTTS | 68% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stargard Szczeciński | Polonia Środa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 48% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 4% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Stargard Szczeciński (H)D
Noteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0W
Grom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1L
Lipno Stęszew3–4
Lipno Stęszew3–4W
Kalisz5–0
Kalisz5–0D
Victoria Września1–1
Victoria Września1–1L
Kotwica Kórnik2–4
Kotwica Kórnik2–4Polonia Środa (A)DKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0W
Lech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2W
Wda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DNoteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0DGrom Nowy Staw4–4
Grom Nowy Staw4–4WLipno Stęszew3–2
Lipno Stęszew3–2Head to Head · 11 matches
4
Stargard Szczeciński
36%
1
Draws
9%
6
Polonia Środa
55%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
73%
Over 2.5
8/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
19/08/26Stargard Szczeciński
Polonia Środa
4–1Stargard Szczeciński22/11/25Polonia Środa
Stargard Szczeciński
0–1Polonia Środa01/08/25Stargard Szczeciński
Polonia Środa
4–2Stargard Szczeciński28/03/25Stargard Szczeciński
Polonia Środa
0–0Stargard Szczeciński31/08/24Polonia Środa
Stargard Szczeciński
3–0Polonia Środa15/05/24Stargard Szczeciński
Polonia Środa
0–3Stargard Szczeciński21/10/23Polonia Środa
Stargard Szczeciński
1–3Polonia Środa28/05/23Stargard Szczeciński
Polonia Środa
0–3Stargard Szczeciński29/10/22Polonia Środa
Stargard Szczeciński
1–2Polonia Środa21/11/21Polonia Środa
Stargard Szczeciński
0–1Polonia Środa07/08/21Stargard Szczeciński
Polonia Środa
1–2Stargard Szczeciński| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 |  Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 | Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |  Elana Toruń | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 |  Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 11 |
Team Insights
Stargard Szczeciński- ●Stargard Szczeciński have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Stargard Szczeciński have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Polonia Środa- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 15 matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Polonia Środa have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
Season Schedule
Stargard SzczecińskiDHNoteć Czarnków0–0
Noteć Czarnków0–0DAUnia Swarzędz0–0
Unia Swarzędz0–0WHGrom Nowy Staw3–1
Grom Nowy Staw3–1DAGedania Gdansk2–2
Gedania Gdansk2–2LHLipno Stęszew3–4
Lipno Stęszew3–4WHKalisz5–0
Kalisz5–0–AElana Toruń14/11
Elana Toruń14/11–AWda Świecie21/11
Wda Świecie21/11–HKluczevia Stargard28/11
Kluczevia Stargard28/11Polonia ŚrodaWHLuzino5–2
Luzino5–2DAKalisz0–0
Kalisz0–0WALech Poznań II3–2
Lech Poznań II3–2WHKluczevia Stargard2–0
Kluczevia Stargard2–0WAWda Świecie4–0
Wda Świecie4–0DHElana Toruń2–2
Elana Toruń2–2–AFlota Świnoujście07/11
Flota Świnoujście07/11–HKotwica Kórnik14/11
Kotwica Kórnik14/11–HBałtyk Koszalin21/11
Bałtyk Koszalin21/11Top Scorers
Stargard SzczecińskiS. Krocz8 ⚽
W. Fadecki7 ⚽
B. Starzycki6 ⚽
D. Kroczek4 ⚽
2 ⚽
D. Lis2 ⚽
Polonia ŚrodaP. Mikita14 ⚽
J. Wilczynski9 ⚽
P. Ratajczak5 ⚽
B. Bartkowiak5 ⚽
F. Karmanski3 ⚽
P. Skrobosinski3 ⚽
Cards Given
Stargard SzczecińskiM. Liskiewicz1 🟨
Polonia Środa2 🟨
S. Kubiak1 🟨