MatchPulse

Lipno Stęszew vs Lech Poznań II — III Liga - Group 2

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Lipno Stęszew
Lipno Stęszew
16º · 0.88 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 119d 5h
vs
–
–
Lech Poznań II
Lech Poznań II
5º · 1.69 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 119d 5h
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Lipno Stęszew and Lech Poznań II meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Lipno Stęszew have recorded 7 wins from 22 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Lech Poznań II have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 2.45 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 15%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Lipno Stęszew and 2.19 for Lech Poznań II. The models give Lipno Stęszew a 31% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Lech Poznań II win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.

Season Statistics

Lipno Stęszew
—
Lech Poznań II
16º
Position
5º
0.88
PPG
1.69
25%
Win %
50%
1.25
Goals / game
2.69
1.94
Conceded / game
2.00
64%
BTTS %
80%
14%
Clean sheet %
15%
68%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Lipno Stęszew
Home (8)
—
Lech Poznań II
Away (9)
0.75
PPG
1.89
25%
Win %
56%
1.13
Goals / game
2.89
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
60%
BTTS %
83%
20%
Clean sheet %
8%
80%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Lipno StęszewHomeAwayLech PoznańHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored77%80%75%90%100%83%
Over 1.5 Scored27%30%25%65%63%67%
Over 2.5 Scored9%10%8%40%25%50%
Failed To Score23%20%25%10%0%17%

Goals Conceded

Lipno StęszewHomeAwayLech PoznańHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded86%80%92%85%75%92%
Over 1.5 Conceded55%60%50%55%38%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded32%40%25%30%38%25%
Clean Sheets14%20%8%15%25%8%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Lipno StęszewLech Poznań
Over 0.5100%95%
Over 1.582%85%
Over 2.568%75%
Over 3.523%65%
Over 4.518%60%
BTTS64%80%
BTTS & Win18%35%
BTTS & Draw9%15%
BTTS & Over 2.555%70%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%5%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Lipno StęszewLech Poznań
Win 1st Half14%53%
Draw 1st Half45%24%
Loss 1st Half41%24%
Scored 1st Half36%82%
Conceded 1st Half64%59%
Win 2nd Half27%18%
Draw 2nd Half32%53%
Loss 2nd Half41%29%
Scored 2nd Half64%53%
Conceded 2nd Half68%59%
Over 0.5 HT77%94%
Over 1.5 HT41%76%

Recent Venue Form

Lipno Stęszew (H)
LUnia Swarzędz1–2
LGedania Gdansk1–2
WKalisz1–0
LChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
WBałtyk Koszalin2–1
LFlota Świnoujście1–3
Lech Poznań (A)
WKotwica Kórnik4–1
LKluczevia Stargard3–4
WLuzino4–2
WKalisz4–2
DElana Toruń0–0
DUnia Swarzędz1–1

Head to Head · 3 matches

2
Lipno Stęszew
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Lech Poznań
33%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
19/08/26
Lech Poznań II
1–0
Lipno Stęszew
29/11/25
Lipno Stęszew
1–0
Lech Poznań II
09/08/25
Lech Poznań II
2–3
Lipno Stęszew
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Środa151140+2337
2Kluczevia Stargard16934+430
3Luzino16925+1529
4Wda Świecie15843+428
5Lech Poznań II16835+1127
6Stargard Szczeciński16664+924
7Unia Swarzędz16646+422
8Bałtyk Koszalin16565+221
9Noteć Czarnków16637-221
10Kalisz16484-220
11Elana Toruń16556-320
12Gedania Gdansk16475019
13Grom Nowy Staw16619-119
14Chemik Bydgoszcz16466-518
15Flota Świnoujście15438-1415
16Lipno Stęszew164210-1114
17Victoria Września15276-1213
18Kotwica Kórnik163211-2211

Team Insights

Lipno Stęszew
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have lost 6 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 8 away matches.
  • ●Lipno Stęszew have scored in 7 of their 8 away matches.
Lech Poznań
  • ●Lech Poznań II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have won 5 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored in 8 of their 9 away matches.
  • ●63% of Lech Poznań II's points have been earned away.
  • ●Lech Poznań II have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
WAKotwica Kórnik18º4–1
WALuzino3º4–2
LHPolonia Środa1º2–3
LHWda Świecie4º1–4
WAKalisz10º4–2
DAElana Toruń11º0–0
DAUnia Swarzędz7º1–1

Season Schedule

Lipno Stęszew
LHUnia Swarzędz1–2
WAGrom Nowy Staw2–1
LHGedania Gdansk1–2
WHKalisz1–0
WAStargard Szczeciński4–3
LHChemik Bydgoszcz0–1
–ANoteć Czarnków14/11
–HElana Toruń21/11
–HWda Świecie28/11
Lech Poznań
WAKotwica Kórnik4–1
LAKluczevia Stargard3–4
WHFlota Świnoujście8–1
WALuzino4–2
LHPolonia Środa2–3
LHWda Świecie1–4
–HBałtyk Koszalin14/11
–HVictoria Września21/11
–AChemik Bydgoszcz28/11

Top Scorers

Lipno Stęszew
K. Rutowski4 ⚽
K. Kulczak3 ⚽
A. Kuznik3 ⚽
H. Kaptur2 ⚽
S. Kaptur2 ⚽
D. Kaczmarek2 ⚽
Lech Poznań
W. Szymczak8 ⚽
K. Jakobczyk7 ⚽
M. Dziuba6 ⚽
I. Stankiewicz3 ⚽
S. Bakhno3 ⚽
F. Tokar2 ⚽

Cards Given

Lipno Stęszew
J. Wajman1 🟨
K. Rutowski1 🟨
1 🟨
Lech Poznań
M. Cegielka2 🟨
W. Szymczak1 🟨