Noteć Czarnków vs Kalisz — III Liga - Group 2
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Noteć Czarnków and Kalisz meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Noteć Czarnków have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Kalisz have won 17% of their 23 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Noteć Czarnków and 1.33 for Kalisz. The models give Noteć Czarnków a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Kalisz win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Kalisz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 57% | 64% | 65% | 80% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 43% | 18% | 26% | 40% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 43% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 43% | 36% | 35% | 20% | 46% |
Goals Conceded
| Noteć Czarnków | Home | Away | Kalisz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 71% | 64% | 78% | 70% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 43% | 55% | 48% | 30% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 29% | 9% | 26% | 10% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 29% | 36% | 22% | 30% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Noteć Czarnków | Kalisz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS | 39% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 6% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Noteć Czarnków | Kalisz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +22 | 37 | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 30 | |
| 3 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +15 | 29 | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 | |
| 5 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 27 | |
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 24 | |
| 7 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 | |
| 12 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 | |
| 13 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -1 | 19 | |
| 14 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 18 | |
| 15 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 18 | |
| 16 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 14 | |
| 17 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -12 | 14 | |
| 18 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 11 |
Team Insights
- ●Noteć Czarnków have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Noteć Czarnków have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Kalisz have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Kalisz failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Kalisz have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.