Unia Swarzędz vs Elana Toruń — III Liga - Group 2
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Unia Swarzędz and Elana Toruń meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Unia Swarzędz have recorded 10 wins from 21 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.81 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Elana Toruń have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 86%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.84 for Unia Swarzędz and 1.45 for Elana Toruń. The models give Unia Swarzędz a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Elana Toruń win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Unia Swarzędz—
Elana Toruń7º
Position
11º
1.38
PPG
1.25
38%
Win %
31%
1.63
Goals / game
1.50
1.38
Conceded / game
1.69
52%
BTTS %
86%
29%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
76%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Unia Swarzędz
Home (7)
—
Elana Toruń
Away (7)
0.86
PPG
1.00
14%
Win %
29%
1.29
Goals / game
1.57
1.14
Conceded / game
2.43
36%
BTTS %
100%
45%
Clean sheet %
0%
55%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | Elana Toruń | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 64% | 80% | 90% | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 36% | 70% | 52% | 45% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 27% | 40% | 24% | 18% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 36% | 20% | 10% | 18% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Unia Swarzędz | Home | Away | Elana Toruń | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 55% | 90% | 86% | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 36% | 40% | 57% | 36% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 27% | 10% | 24% | 9% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 45% | 10% | 14% | 27% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Unia Swarzędz | Elana Toruń | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS | 52% | 86% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 76% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Unia Swarzędz | Elana Toruń | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Unia Swarzędz (H)D
Stargard Szczeciński0–0
Stargard Szczeciński0–0D
Victoria Września0–0
Victoria Września0–0W
Kotwica Kórnik7–0
Kotwica Kórnik7–0L
Luzino1–3
Luzino1–3D
Lech Poznań II1–1
Lech Poznań II1–1L
Wda Świecie0–1
Wda Świecie0–1Elana Toruń (A)L
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–2
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–2W
Bałtyk Koszalin3–2
Bałtyk Koszalin3–2D
Polonia Środa2–2
Polonia Środa2–2L
Kluczevia Stargard1–2
Kluczevia Stargard1–2L
Kalisz1–5
Kalisz1–5L
Noteć Czarnków1–3
Noteć Czarnków1–3Head to Head · 8 matches
2
Unia Swarzędz
25%
4
Draws
50%
2
Elana Toruń
25%
50%
Over 1.5
4/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
38%
Over 3.5
3/8
38%
BTTS
3/8
19/08/26Unia Swarzędz
Elana Toruń
2–3Unia Swarzędz17/05/26Unia Swarzędz
Elana Toruń
0–4Unia Swarzędz31/10/25Elana Toruń
Unia Swarzędz
0–1Elana Toruń21/05/25Elana Toruń
Unia Swarzędz
0–0Elana Toruń26/10/24Unia Swarzędz
Elana Toruń
1–1Unia Swarzędz11/05/24Unia Swarzędz
Elana Toruń
2–2Unia Swarzędz14/10/23Elana Toruń
Unia Swarzędz
0–0Elana Toruń13/03/21Unia Swarzędz
Elana Toruń
1–0Unia Swarzędz| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Środa | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +23 | 37 |
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 | Luzino | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wda Świecie | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 | Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 | Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 | Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 |  Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 |  Flota Świnoujście | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Lipno Stęszew | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 18 | Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 11 |
Team Insights
Unia Swarzędz- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have won 5 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Unia Swarzędz have scored in 7 of their 9 away matches.
- ●65% of Unia Swarzędz's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Unia Swarzędz's points have been earned away.
Elana Toruń- ●Elana Toruń have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Elana Toruń failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Elana Toruń failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Elana Toruń have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Unia SwarzędzWALipno Stęszew2–1
Lipno Stęszew2–1DHStargard Szczeciński0–0
Stargard Szczeciński0–0WAChemik Bydgoszcz3–1
Chemik Bydgoszcz3–1DHVictoria Września0–0
Victoria Września0–0DABałtyk Koszalin1–1
Bałtyk Koszalin1–1WHKotwica Kórnik7–0
Kotwica Kórnik7–0–HGedania Gdansk14/11
Gedania Gdansk14/11–HGrom Nowy Staw21/11
Grom Nowy Staw21/11–HKalisz28/11
Kalisz28/11Elana ToruńLAChemik Bydgoszcz1–2
Chemik Bydgoszcz1–2DHVictoria Września0–0
Victoria Września0–0WABałtyk Koszalin3–2
Bałtyk Koszalin3–2WHKotwica Kórnik3–1
Kotwica Kórnik3–1WHFlota Świnoujście1–0
Flota Świnoujście1–0WHLuzino3–1
Luzino3–1–HStargard Szczeciński14/11
Stargard Szczeciński14/11–ALipno Stęszew21/11
Lipno Stęszew21/11–AGedania Gdansk28/11
Gedania Gdansk28/11Top Scorers
Unia SwarzędzD. Zaborniak6 ⚽
B. Luczak4 ⚽
G. Gozdzik4 ⚽
J. Piotrowski3 ⚽
M. Deppe3 ⚽
M. Matuszewski2 ⚽
Elana ToruńK. Woroniecki6 ⚽
M. Roznowski5 ⚽
K. Karbownik3 ⚽
A. Orzel3 ⚽
D. Stolc2 ⚽
K. Skibicki2 ⚽
Cards Given
Unia SwarzędzElana ToruńA. Korpalski2 🟨