Victoria Września vs Flota Świnoujście — III Liga - Group 2
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Victoria Września and Flota Świnoujście meet in the III Liga - Group 2 2026 season on 6 March 2027. Victoria Września have recorded 3 wins from 18 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 39% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Flota Świnoujście have won 26% of their 23 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Victoria Września and 1.49 for Flota Świnoujście. The models give Victoria Września a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Flota Świnoujście win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 67%.
Season Statistics
Victoria Września—
Flota Świnoujście17º
Position
15º
0.88
PPG
1.13
13%
Win %
31%
0.94
Goals / game
1.19
1.69
Conceded / game
2.00
39%
BTTS %
52%
39%
Clean sheet %
13%
33%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Victoria Września
Home (9)
—
Flota Świnoujście
Away (9)
1.11
PPG
0.89
22%
Win %
22%
1.56
Goals / game
1.00
2.00
Conceded / game
2.56
55%
BTTS %
57%
36%
Clean sheet %
0%
45%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Victoria Września | Home | Away | Flota Świnoujście | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 82% | 14% | 65% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 45% | 0% | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 18% | 0% | 13% | 22% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 18% | 86% | 35% | 22% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Victoria Września | Home | Away | Flota Świnoujście | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 64% | 57% | 87% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 45% | 29% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 28% | 36% | 14% | 30% | 11% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 36% | 43% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Victoria Września | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS | 39% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Victoria Września | Flota Świnoujście | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Victoria Września (H)D
Wda Świecie3–3
Wda Świecie3–3L
Noteć Czarnków0–1
Noteć Czarnków0–1W
Grom Nowy Staw1–0
Grom Nowy Staw1–0D
Lipno Stęszew1–1
Lipno Stęszew1–1D
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2
Chemik Bydgoszcz2–2D
Kalisz3–3
Kalisz3–3Flota Świnoujście (A)L
Lech Poznań II1–8
Lech Poznań II1–8D
Kluczevia Stargard2–2
Kluczevia Stargard2–2LWda Świecie0–1
Wda Świecie0–1L
Elana Toruń0–1
Elana Toruń0–1LNoteć Czarnków0–3
Noteć Czarnków0–3LGrom Nowy Staw0–5
Grom Nowy Staw0–5Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Victoria Września
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
Flota Świnoujście
100%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
19/08/26Victoria Września
Flota Świnoujście
5–0Victoria Września14/03/26Victoria Września
Flota Świnoujście
2–1Victoria Września27/08/25Flota Świnoujście
Victoria Września
1–2Flota Świnoujście| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Polonia Środa | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | +22 | 37 |
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 30 |
| 3 |  Luzino | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wda Świecie | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 29 |
| 5 | Lech Poznań II | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |  Stargard Szczeciński | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 24 |
| 7 |  Unia Swarzędz | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Bałtyk Koszalin | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 | Noteć Czarnków | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Kalisz | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Elana Toruń | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 |  Gedania Gdansk | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 15 | Flota Świnoujście | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 18 |
| 16 | Lipno Stęszew | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -11 | 14 |
| 17 | Victoria Września | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 |  Kotwica Kórnik | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -22 | 11 |
Team Insights
Victoria Września- ●Victoria Września have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Victoria Września have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Victoria Września have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Victoria Września failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Victoria Września have scored in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Victoria Września have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●93% of Victoria Września's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Victoria Września's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Flota Świnoujście- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Flota Świnoujście failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 9 away matches.
- ●72% of Flota Świnoujście's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Victoria WrześniaDHWda Świecie3–3
Wda Świecie3–3DAElana Toruń0–0
Elana Toruń0–0LHNoteć Czarnków0–1
Noteć Czarnków0–1DAUnia Swarzędz0–0
Unia Swarzędz0–0WHGrom Nowy Staw1–0
Grom Nowy Staw1–0DAGedania Gdansk0–0
Gedania Gdansk0–0–AKluczevia Stargard14/11
Kluczevia Stargard14/11–ALech Poznań II21/11
Lech Poznań II21/11–HPolonia Środa28/11
Polonia Środa28/11Flota ŚwinoujścieWHPolonia Środa1–0
Polonia Środa1–0LALech Poznań II1–8
Lech Poznań II1–8DAKluczevia Stargard2–2
Kluczevia Stargard2–2LAWda Świecie0–1
Wda Świecie0–1LAElana Toruń0–1
Elana Toruń0–1LANoteć Czarnków0–3
Noteć Czarnków0–3–ALuzino14/11
Luzino14/11–AKalisz21/11
Kalisz21/11–AKotwica Kórnik29/11
Kotwica Kórnik29/11Top Scorers
Victoria WrześniaJ. Bartkowski3 ⚽
J. Gielda2 ⚽
J. Lutostanski2 ⚽
O. Niklas2 ⚽
K. Dalek1 ⚽
K. Kanior1 ⚽
Flota ŚwinoujścieD. Chrominski3 ⚽
S. Cybulski3 ⚽
O. Kalenik2 ⚽
H. Szulc2 ⚽
O. Nowak2 ⚽
M. Rzonca1 ⚽
Cards Given
Victoria WrześniaA. Borucki1 🟨
M. Weclawek1 🟨
Flota ŚwinoujścieO. Szkamelski2 🟨