FC Sochi vs Ural — First League
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FC Sochi and Ural meet in the First League 2026 season on 31 October 2026. FC Sochi have recorded 12 wins from 24 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 79%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Ural have won 50% of their 20 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for FC Sochi and 1.29 for Ural. The models give FC Sochi a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Ural win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
FC Sochi—
Ural3º
Position
5º
1.92
PPG
2.00
58%
Win %
55%
1.75
Goals / game
1.64
1.17
Conceded / game
0.45
67%
BTTS %
40%
13%
Clean sheet %
50%
79%
Over 2.5 %
45%
5.0
Avg corners
4.7
7.6
Avg shots
6.5
2.8
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
53.3%
Avg possession
52.2%
Home vs Away
FC Sochi
Home (6)
—
Ural
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
1.33
0.83
Conceded / game
0.67
59%
BTTS %
57%
18%
Clean sheet %
43%
76%
Over 2.5 %
43%
5.0
Avg corners
4.7
7.6
Avg shots
6.5
2.8
Avg shots on target
2.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
53.3%
Avg possession
52.2%
Goals Scored
| FC Sochi | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 76% | 86% | 80% | 77% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 65% | 71% | 55% | 69% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 41% | 14% | 25% | 31% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 24% | 14% | 20% | 23% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Sochi | Home | Away | Ural | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 82% | 100% | 50% | 46% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 59% | 57% | 20% | 15% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 24% | 0% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 18% | 0% | 50% | 54% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Sochi | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 79% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 15% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS | 67% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Sochi | Ural | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 61% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 65% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Sochi (H)D
Ska-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1L
Nizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1W
Chelyabinsk2–1
Chelyabinsk2–1W
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
Arsenal Tula5–0
Arsenal Tula5–0L
Spartak Kostroma0–2
Spartak Kostroma0–2Ural (A)W
FK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0D
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1L
Luki-Energiya1–2
Luki-Energiya1–2DArsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2D
Rotor Volgograd1–1
Rotor Volgograd1–1WSka-khabarovsk3–0
Ska-khabarovsk3–0Number of Corners
10.0
Corners / Match
6 games
League Avg
9.4
41 games
8.3
Corners / Match
6 games
| Match Corners | FC Sochi | Ural | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 50% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 33% | 71% |
| Over 8 | 83% | 33% | 61% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 33% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 33% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 33% | 24% |
| Over 12 | 17% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 17% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Sochi | Ural |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 83% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
4
FC Sochi
29%
4
Draws
29%
6
Ural
43%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
36%
Over 3.5
5/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
09/03/25Ural
FC Sochi
1–0Ural14/07/24FC Sochi
Ural
2–0FC Sochi21/04/24Ural
FC Sochi
2–2Ural22/10/23FC Sochi
Ural
1–4FC Sochi03/06/23FC Sochi
Ural
1–0FC Sochi30/10/22Ural
FC Sochi
2–2Ural20/10/22Ural
FC Sochi
2–3Ural31/08/22FC Sochi
Ural
2–0FC Sochi27/11/21FC Sochi
Ural
1–1FC Sochi09/08/21Ural
FC Sochi
2–0Ural29/11/20FC Sochi
Ural
1–0FC Sochi30/08/20Ural
FC Sochi
0–0Ural08/03/20Ural
FC Sochi
2–0Ural26/08/19FC Sochi
Ural
3–1FC Sochi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 | Spartak Kostroma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 24 |
| 3 | FC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 |  Veles | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 23 |
| 5 | Ural | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 22 |
| 6 |  Torpedo Moskva | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Rotor Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Enisey | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | FK Neftekhimik | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Chelyabinsk | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 |  KAMAZ | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 |  Tekstilshchik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 5 |
Team Insights
FC Sochi- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Ural- ●Ural have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ural have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ural have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Ural have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Ural have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC SochiDHSka-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1WAVeles2–1
Veles2–1LHNizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1WHChelyabinsk2–1
Chelyabinsk2–1WAKAMAZ3–2
KAMAZ3–2WAFK Neftekhimik2–1
FK Neftekhimik2–1–HFC UFA10/10
FC UFA10/10–ARotor Volgograd17/10
Rotor Volgograd17/10–ATekstilshchik24/10
Tekstilshchik24/10UralWAFK Neftekhimik1–0
FK Neftekhimik1–0DAShinnik Yaroslavl1–1
Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1WHKAMAZ2–0
KAMAZ2–0DAArsenal Tula2–2
Arsenal Tula2–2WHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DARotor Volgograd1–1
Rotor Volgograd1–1–ASpartak Kostroma26/09
Spartak Kostroma26/09–HVeles10/10
Veles10/10–HNizhny Novgorod17/10
Nizhny Novgorod17/10Top Scorers
FC SochiM. Ignatov7 ⚽
Z. Fedorov4 ⚽
R. Magal2 ⚽
A. Osipov2 ⚽
P. Meleshin2 ⚽
Zakhar Fedorov2 ⚽
UralM. Sekulic5 ⚽
I. Ishkov4 ⚽
D. Bokov3 ⚽
R. Akbashev2 ⚽
Martin Sekulic2 ⚽
V. Malkevich2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC SochiAleksandr Soldatenkov3 🟨
Igor Kalinin3 🟨
Maksim Kuzmin2 🟨
A. Osipov2 🟨
Aleksandr Metsiev2 🟨
Vyacheslav Litvinov2 🟨
UralMartin Sekulic2 🟨
2 🟨
Italo2 🟨
M. Sekulic2 🟨
Fanil Sungatulin1 🟨
D. Tikhiy1 🟨