FC Sochi vs Shinnik Yaroslavl — First League
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FC Sochi and Shinnik Yaroslavl meet in the First League 2026 season on 25 November 2026. FC Sochi have recorded 14 wins from 26 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.85 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 40% of their 20 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 35%, and clean sheets at 45%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for FC Sochi and 1.12 for Shinnik Yaroslavl. The models give FC Sochi a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Shinnik Yaroslavl win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
FC Sochi—
Shinnik Yaroslavl2º
Position
8º
2.07
PPG
1.43
64%
Win %
29%
1.64
Goals / game
1.29
1.00
Conceded / game
1.00
62%
BTTS %
40%
19%
Clean sheet %
45%
73%
Over 2.5 %
35%
5.0
Avg corners
6.9
7.3
Avg shots
5.1
2.5
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
50.8%
Avg possession
46.8%
Home vs Away
FC Sochi
Home (7)
—
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Away (6)
1.86
PPG
1.50
57%
Win %
33%
1.43
Goals / game
1.17
0.71
Conceded / game
1.00
56%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
33%
72%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.0
Avg corners
6.9
7.3
Avg shots
5.1
2.5
Avg shots on target
3.0
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
50.8%
Avg possession
46.8%
Goals Scored
| FC Sochi | Home | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 88% | 75% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 61% | 63% | 50% | 64% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 39% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 18% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Sochi | Home | Away | Shinnik Yaroslavl | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 78% | 88% | 55% | 45% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 56% | 50% | 25% | 27% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 22% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 22% | 13% | 45% | 55% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 35% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS | 62% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 15% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Sochi (H)W
FC UFA1–0
FC UFA1–0D
Ska-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1L
Nizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1W
Chelyabinsk2–1
Chelyabinsk2–1W
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0
Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
Arsenal Tula5–0
Arsenal Tula5–0Shinnik Yaroslavl (A)D
Veles1–1
Veles1–1LNizhny Novgorod0–4
Nizhny Novgorod0–4D
Enisey0–0
Enisey0–0WVolga Ulyanovsk3–1
Volga Ulyanovsk3–1W
FK Neftekhimik2–0
FK Neftekhimik2–0LNizhny Novgorod0–3
Nizhny Novgorod0–3Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.5
65 games
10.7
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | FC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 78% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 78% | 72% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 56% | 49% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 56% | 37% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 44% | 28% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 33% | 17% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 33% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Sochi | Shinnik Yaroslavl |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 6.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 88% | 78% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 22% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
2
FC Sochi
25%
5
Draws
63%
1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
13%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
50%
BTTS
4/8
12/07/26FC Sochi
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2FC Sochi23/03/25Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC Sochi
1–2Shinnik Yaroslavl04/08/24FC Sochi
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–2FC Sochi25/09/19FC Sochi
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–0FC Sochi19/05/19Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC Sochi
0–0Shinnik Yaroslavl28/10/18FC Sochi
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1FC Sochi31/03/18Shinnik Yaroslavl
FC Sochi
0–0Shinnik Yaroslavl06/09/17FC Sochi
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–2FC Sochi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | +28 | 37 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 29 |
| 3 |  Torpedo Moskva | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Spartak Kostroma | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 27 |
| 5 | Veles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 27 |
| 6 |  Ural | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 25 |
| 7 | FC UFA | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +4 | 20 |
| 9 |  Rotor Volgograd | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | +5 | 18 |
| 10 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Enisey | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 14 |  KAMAZ | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |  Leningradets | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | FK Neftekhimik | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |  Tekstilshchik | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Ska-khabarovsk | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
FC Sochi- ●FC Sochi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●FC Sochi failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●FC Sochi have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Shinnik Yaroslavl- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Shinnik Yaroslavl have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FC SochiWARotor Volgograd1–0
Rotor Volgograd1–0WHFC UFA1–0
FC UFA1–0DHSka-khabarovsk1–1
Ska-khabarovsk1–1WAVeles2–1
Veles2–1LHNizhny Novgorod0–1
Nizhny Novgorod0–1WHChelyabinsk2–1
Chelyabinsk2–1–ATekstilshchik24/10
Tekstilshchik24/10–HUral31/10
Ural31/10–AEnisey07/11
Enisey07/11Shinnik YaroslavlDAVeles1–1
Veles1–1WHTekstilshchik2–0
Tekstilshchik2–0DHSka-khabarovsk0–0
Ska-khabarovsk0–0LHKAMAZ0–1
KAMAZ0–1DHUral1–1
Ural1–1DHRotor Volgograd2–2
Rotor Volgograd2–2–HSpartak Kostroma24/10
Spartak Kostroma24/10–AChelyabinsk31/10
Chelyabinsk31/10–HFC UFA07/11
FC UFA07/11Top Scorers
FC SochiM. Ignatov7 ⚽
Z. Fedorov4 ⚽
Zakhar Fedorov3 ⚽
R. Magal2 ⚽
A. Osipov2 ⚽
P. Meleshin2 ⚽
Shinnik YaroslavlI. Azyavin5 ⚽
I. Porokhov4 ⚽
A. Gongapshev2 ⚽
Eduard Valiakhmetov2 ⚽
D. Mironov1 ⚽
D. Martovoy1 ⚽
Cards Given
FC SochiAleksandr Soldatenkov3 🟨
Maksim Kuzmin3 🟨
Aleksandr Metsiev3 🟨
Igor Kalinin3 🟨
A. Osipov2 🟨
Timofey Mitrov2 🟨
Shinnik YaroslavlEduard Valiakhmetov4 🟨
Artem Golubev3 🟨
Ilya Azyavin2 🟨
A. Golubev2 🟨
Artem Lavrenkov2 🟨
Maksim Karaev2 🟨