Durango vs Tapatío — Liga de Expansión MX
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Durango and Tapatío meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Durango have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.50 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Tapatío have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Durango and 1.54 for Tapatío. The models give Durango a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tapatío win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Durango
TapatíoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Durango | Home | Away | Tapatío | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 40% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 33% | 60% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Durango | Home | Away | Tapatío | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 100% | 40% | 78% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 67% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 33% | 0% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 0% | 60% | 22% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Durango | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 44% |
| BTTS | 25% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 13% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Durango | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Durango (H)
Tlaxcala1–1
Leones Negros UDG1–2
Piratas0–3
Deportiva Venados0–0
Deportivo Zap2–1
Zacatepec 19481–1Tapatío (A)
Dorados1–3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–1
Correcaminos Uat3–2
Venados FC2–3
Leon2–4
Cancún0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
TapatíoDurango| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monarcas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 |  CA La Paz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Piratas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Correcaminos Uat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Dorados | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Cancún | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Durango | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -22 | 3 |
Team Insights
Durango- ●Durango have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Durango have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Durango's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●88% of Durango's points have been earned away.
- ●Durango have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Tapatío- ●Tapatío have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
DurangoAlebrijes de Oaxaca0–1Tlaxcala1–1Correcaminos Uat0–0Leones Negros UDG1–2Cancún0–2Piratas0–3Cruz Azul Hidalgo18/09Dorados27/09Mineros de Zacatecas04/10TapatíoDorados1–3Leones Negros UDG1–3Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–1Mineros de Zacatecas4–2Correcaminos Uat3–2Venados FC2–3Tlaxcala20/09Tepatitlán27/09Cancún04/10Top Scorers
DurangoTapatíoCards Given
DurangoTapatío