Tlaxcala vs Correcaminos Uat — Liga de Expansión MX
← Back
vs
–
–
Estadio Tlahuicole·Tlaxcala·Mexico·10,000
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Tlaxcala and Correcaminos Uat meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Tlaxcala have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 89% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Correcaminos Uat have won 27% of their 11 matches, with 1.91 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Tlaxcala and 1.81 for Correcaminos Uat. The models give Tlaxcala a 42% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Correcaminos Uat win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Tlaxcala—
Correcaminos Uat15º
Position
1º
0.00
PPG
2.33
0%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
3.00
Conceded / game
1.67
89%
BTTS %
82%
0%
Clean sheet %
18%
78%
Over 2.5 %
82%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tlaxcala
Home (2)
—
Correcaminos Uat
Away (2)
0.00
PPG
2.00
0%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
3.00
3.00
Conceded / game
2.00
75%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tlaxcala | Home | Away | Correcaminos Uat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 75% | 83% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 33% | 64% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 25% | 17% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Tlaxcala | Home | Away | Correcaminos Uat | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 50% | 83% | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 25% | 67% | 45% | 33% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tlaxcala | Correcaminos Uat | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 80% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 36% |
| BTTS | 80% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 82% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tlaxcala | Correcaminos Uat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 56% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 89% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Tlaxcala (H)W
CDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
Venados FC3–1
Venados FC3–1L
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–2L
Leones Negros UDG2–4
Leones Negros UDG2–4DVenados FC2–2
Venados FC2–2W
Dorados2–0
Dorados2–0Correcaminos Uat (A)L
CA La Paz1–3
CA La Paz1–3L
Piratas1–4
Piratas1–4W
Monarcas3–1
Monarcas3–1WLeones Negros UDG3–1
Leones Negros UDG3–1D
Mineros de Zacatecas3–3
Mineros de Zacatecas3–3LMineros de Zacatecas1–3
Mineros de Zacatecas1–3Head to Head · 12 matches
5
Tlaxcala
42%
4
Draws
33%
3
Correcaminos Uat
25%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
31/01/26Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
2–1Tlaxcala24/08/25Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
0–2Correcaminos Uat17/01/25Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
1–1Tlaxcala04/08/24Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
3–2Correcaminos Uat01/03/24Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
1–1Tlaxcala01/11/23Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
0–1Correcaminos Uat21/04/23Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
0–0Correcaminos Uat24/08/22Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
0–2Tlaxcala24/03/22Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
4–0Correcaminos Uat02/09/21Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
1–1Tlaxcala18/03/21Tlaxcala
Correcaminos Uat
0–1Tlaxcala19/10/20Correcaminos Uat
Tlaxcala
1–0Correcaminos Uat| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarcas | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA La Paz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Leones Negros UDG | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Piratas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Cancún | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Dorados | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 | Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Correcaminos Uat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 |  Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | CDS Tampico Madero | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
Tlaxcala- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Tlaxcala have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tlaxcala failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Tlaxcala's points have been earned at home.
Correcaminos Uat- ●Correcaminos Uat have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Correcaminos Uat have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Correcaminos Uat's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
TlaxcalaLATapatío0–4
Tapatío0–4WHCDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1DADurango1–1
Durango1–1WHVenados FC3–1
Venados FC3–1LATepatitlán2–3
Tepatitlán2–3DADorados2–2
Dorados2–2–HCancún26/09
Cancún26/09–AMonarcas04/10
Monarcas04/10–HPiratas10/10
Piratas10/10Correcaminos UatLACA La Paz1–3
CA La Paz1–3DHCancún2–2
Cancún2–2LAPiratas1–4
Piratas1–4DHDurango0–0
Durango0–0WAMonarcas3–1
Monarcas3–1LHTapatío2–3
Tapatío2–3–HCDS Tampico Madero26/09
CDS Tampico Madero26/09–HCruz Azul Hidalgo03/10
Cruz Azul Hidalgo03/10–AAlebrijes de Oaxaca09/10
Alebrijes de Oaxaca09/10Top Scorers
TlaxcalaD. Alvarez4 ⚽
I. Govea3 ⚽
Christian2 ⚽
E. Robles1 ⚽
B. Flores1 ⚽
R. E. Camacho Lastra1 ⚽
Correcaminos UatB. Mendoza4 ⚽
D. Mina3 ⚽
O. Islas2 ⚽
J. Estopier2 ⚽
T. Sandoval1 ⚽
A. Ruiz1 ⚽
Cards Given
TlaxcalaC. Gonzalez5 🟨
E. Garcia4 🟨
B. Vazquez3 🟨
Christian3 🟨
B. Flores3 🟨
I. Govea3 🟨
Correcaminos UatW. Ortega4 🟨
O. Perez3 🟨
D. Mina3 🟨
E. Torres2 🟨
D. Torres2 🟨
G. Moreno2 🟨