Tapatío vs Monarcas — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio AKRON·Zapopan·Mexico·46,609
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Tapatío and Monarcas meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Tapatío have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Monarcas have won 64% of their 11 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Tapatío and 1.05 for Monarcas. The models give Tapatío a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Monarcas win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Tapatío—
Monarcas10º
Position
4º
1.33
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
2.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
78%
BTTS %
55%
22%
Clean sheet %
27%
67%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tapatío
Home (2)
—
Monarcas
Away (1)
2.00
PPG
0.00
50%
Win %
0%
0.50
Goals / game
0.00
0.00
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
20%
50%
Clean sheet %
40%
50%
Over 2.5 %
20%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tapatío | Home | Away | Monarcas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 82% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 25% | 60% | 55% | 83% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 36% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Tapatío | Home | Away | Monarcas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 50% | 100% | 73% | 83% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 50% | 0% | 27% | 17% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tapatío | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 36% |
| BTTS | 78% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 36% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tapatío | Monarcas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 11% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Tapatío (H)L
Leones Negros UDG1–3
Leones Negros UDG1–3W
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2W
CDS Tampico Madero1–0
CDS Tampico Madero1–0D
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–0D
Cancún1–1
Cancún1–1L
Irapuato1–2
Irapuato1–2Monarcas (A)WMineros de Zacatecas1–0
Mineros de Zacatecas1–0W
Dorados1–0
Dorados1–0WCruz Azul Hidalgo2–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1L
Piratas0–1
Piratas0–1L
Necaxa0–1
Necaxa0–1LMineros de Zacatecas0–3
Mineros de Zacatecas0–3Head to Head · 14 matches
6
Tapatío
43%
5
Draws
36%
3
Monarcas
21%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
22/03/26Monarcas
Tapatío
2–1Monarcas12/10/25Tapatío
Monarcas
0–0Tapatío18/01/25Monarcas
Tapatío
1–0Monarcas02/08/24Tapatío
Monarcas
1–4Tapatío17/02/24Monarcas
Tapatío
0–0Monarcas17/09/23Tapatío
Monarcas
0–0Tapatío21/05/23Monarcas
Tapatío
2–2Monarcas18/05/23Tapatío
Monarcas
1–2Tapatío10/02/23Tapatío
Monarcas
2–0Tapatío15/07/22Monarcas
Tapatío
2–0Monarcas04/02/22Tapatío
Monarcas
1–2Tapatío19/08/21Monarcas
Tapatío
0–3Monarcas05/04/21Tapatío
Monarcas
2–0Tapatío02/09/20Monarcas
Tapatío
3–3Monarcas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarcas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 |  CA La Paz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Leones Negros UDG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Piratas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Dorados | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Correcaminos Uat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Cancún | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | CDS Tampico Madero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
Tapatío- ●Tapatío have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Monarcas- ●Monarcas have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Monarcas have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Monarcas have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Monarcas have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Monarcas have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Monarcas failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●79% of Monarcas's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Monarcas's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
TapatíoLADorados1–3
Dorados1–3LHLeones Negros UDG1–3
Leones Negros UDG1–3DAAlebrijes de Oaxaca1–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–1WHMineros de Zacatecas4–2
Mineros de Zacatecas4–2WACorrecaminos Uat3–2
Correcaminos Uat3–2LAVenados FC2–3
Venados FC2–3–HTlaxcala20/09
Tlaxcala20/09–ACancún04/10
Cancún04/10–HCA La Paz09/10
CA La Paz09/10MonarcasWHLeones Negros UDG2–0
Leones Negros UDG2–0WAMineros de Zacatecas1–0
Mineros de Zacatecas1–0WHAlebrijes de Oaxaca4–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–1WADorados1–0
Dorados1–0LHCorrecaminos Uat1–3
Correcaminos Uat1–3WACruz Azul Hidalgo2–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1–AVenados FC26/09
Venados FC26/09–HTlaxcala04/10
Tlaxcala04/10–ATepatitlán10/10
Tepatitlán10/10Top Scorers
TapatíoD. Villaseca3 ⚽
J. Hernandez2 ⚽
C. Medina2 ⚽
G. Garcia1 ⚽
L. Ledesma1 ⚽
M. Cendejas1 ⚽
MonarcasR. del Campo6 ⚽
A. Flores4 ⚽
M. Rodriguez3 ⚽
R. Lopez Aburto2 ⚽
M. Nambo1 ⚽
D. Zamora1 ⚽
Cards Given
TapatíoL. Jimenez2 🟨
R. Parra2 🟨
A. Chavez2 🟨
J. Hernandez2 🟨
D. Villaseca1 🟨
B. Tellez1 🟨
MonarcasS. Hernandez3 🟨
D. Aguilar3 🟨
D. De Buen3 🟨
R. del Campo3 🟨
J. Martinez3 🟨
D. Zamora1 🟨