Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo — Liga de Expansión MX
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Cruz Azul Hidalgo meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.78 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Cruz Azul Hidalgo have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.10 for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. The models give Alebrijes de Oaxaca a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cruz Azul Hidalgo win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alebrijes de | Home | Away | Cruz Azul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 75% | 60% | 56% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 25% | 40% | 44% | 0% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Alebrijes de | Home | Away | Cruz Azul | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 25% | 80% | 44% | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 60% | 22% | 0% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 20% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alebrijes de | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS | 33% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alebrijes de | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 11% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●80% of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Cruz Azul Hidalgo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cruz Azul Hidalgo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cruz Azul Hidalgo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Cruz Azul Hidalgo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●90% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Cruz Azul Hidalgo's goals conceded were conceded away.