CDS Tampico Madero vs CA La Paz — Liga de Expansión MX
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CDS Tampico Madero and CA La Paz meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. CDS Tampico Madero have recorded 4 wins from 11 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. CA La Paz have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for CDS Tampico Madero and 1.41 for CA La Paz. The models give CDS Tampico Madero a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an CA La Paz win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| CDS Tampico | Home | Away | CA La | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 55% | 71% | 25% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 57% | 0% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 29% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 45% | 29% | 75% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| CDS Tampico | Home | Away | CA La | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 71% | 100% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 29% | 75% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 14% | 50% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 29% | 0% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| CDS Tampico | CA La | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 20% |
| BTTS | 45% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| CDS Tampico | CA La | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 | |
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 | |
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 | |
| 15 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●CDS Tampico Madero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●CDS Tampico Madero have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●CDS Tampico Madero have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CDS Tampico Madero have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●CDS Tampico Madero have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●91% of CDS Tampico Madero's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of CDS Tampico Madero's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of CDS Tampico Madero's points have been earned at home.
- ●CDS Tampico Madero have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
- ●CA La Paz have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●CA La Paz have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●CA La Paz have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●CA La Paz have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of CA La Paz's goals conceded were conceded away.