Tepatitlán vs Cancún — Liga de Expansión MX
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Tepatitlán and Cancún meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Tepatitlán have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 0.56 goals scored and 3.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Cancún have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Tepatitlán and 1.52 for Cancún. The models give Tepatitlán a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cancún win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Tepatitlán—
Cancún16º
Position
14º
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.33
Goals / game
0.50
3.00
Conceded / game
3.00
33%
BTTS %
42%
0%
Clean sheet %
42%
67%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tepatitlán
Home (2)
—
Cancún
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.00
Goals / game
1.00
3.00
Conceded / game
4.00
40%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tepatitlán | Home | Away | Cancún | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 38% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 67% | 60% | 75% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Tepatitlán | Home | Away | Cancún | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 56% | 40% | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tepatitlán | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 56% | 25% |
| BTTS | 33% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tepatitlán | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 89% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 11% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 100% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Tepatitlán (H)L
Mineros de Zacatecas0–1
Mineros de Zacatecas0–1L
Dorados1–4
Dorados1–4W
Tlaxcala3–2
Tlaxcala3–2L
CA La Paz0–5
CA La Paz0–5L
Durango0–1
Durango0–1W
CDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1Cancún (A)DDorados1–1
Dorados1–1D
Correcaminos Uat2–2
Correcaminos Uat2–2W
Piratas1–0
Piratas1–0L
Monarcas1–4
Monarcas1–4LCDS Tampico Madero1–2
CDS Tampico Madero1–2D
Tapatío1–1
Tapatío1–1Head to Head · 13 matches
3
Tepatitlán
23%
3
Draws
23%
7
Cancún
54%
85%
Over 1.5
11/13
62%
Over 2.5
8/13
23%
Over 3.5
3/13
62%
BTTS
8/13
29/03/26Tepatitlán
Cancún
2–2Tepatitlán18/10/25Cancún
Tepatitlán
1–2Cancún18/01/25Cancún
Tepatitlán
1–1Cancún03/08/24Tepatitlán
Cancún
2–0Tepatitlán19/03/24Tepatitlán
Cancún
2–0Tepatitlán30/08/23Cancún
Tepatitlán
3–0Cancún21/03/23Cancún
Tepatitlán
1–0Cancún12/10/22Tepatitlán
Cancún
1–2Tepatitlán22/04/22Tepatitlán
Cancún
2–2Tepatitlán08/02/22Tepatitlán
Cancún
2–1Tepatitlán16/09/21Cancún
Tepatitlán
1–2Cancún28/03/21Tepatitlán
Cancún
5–1Tepatitlán05/11/20Cancún
Tepatitlán
0–1Cancún| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarcas | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA La Paz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  Leones Negros UDG | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Piratas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Cancún | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Dorados | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Correcaminos Uat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | CDS Tampico Madero | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
Tepatitlán- ●Tepatitlán have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Tepatitlán have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Tepatitlán failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Tepatitlán failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tepatitlán have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tepatitlán failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Tepatitlán have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
Cancún- ●Cancún have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cancún have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Cancún have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cancún have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cancún have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Cancún have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cancún have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cancún have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●71% of Cancún's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Cancún have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
TepatitlánLHMineros de Zacatecas0–1
Mineros de Zacatecas0–1LAVenados FC0–5
Venados FC0–5LHDorados1–4
Dorados1–4LACruz Azul Hidalgo0–6
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–6WHTlaxcala3–2
Tlaxcala3–2LAAlebrijes de Oaxaca0–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–1–HCDS Tampico Madero03/10
CDS Tampico Madero03/10–HMonarcas10/10
Monarcas10/10–ATapatío13/10
Tapatío13/10CancúnWHAlebrijes de Oaxaca3–0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca3–0DADorados1–1
Dorados1–1DACorrecaminos Uat2–2
Correcaminos Uat2–2WHCruz Azul Hidalgo6–0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo6–0LHCA La Paz1–2
CA La Paz1–2WAPiratas1–0
Piratas1–0–ATlaxcala26/09
Tlaxcala26/09–HTapatío04/10
Tapatío04/10–AMineros de Zacatecas11/10
Mineros de Zacatecas11/10Top Scorers
TepatitlánA. Moreno1 ⚽
B. Casas1 ⚽
F. Sanguinetti1 ⚽
G. Olvera1 ⚽
T. Arevalo1 ⚽
CancúnC. Trejo7 ⚽
J. Rodriguez7 ⚽
K. Campos2 ⚽
2 ⚽
C. Vela1 ⚽
Cards Given
TepatitlánG. Olvera4 🟨
F. Sanguinetti3 🟨
E. Martinez3 🟨
S. Castaneda3 🟨
D. Villalpando2 🟨
M. Lopez2 🟨
CancúnD. Guillen4 🟨
J. Rodriguez3 🟨
L. Ruiz2 🟨
F. Melendre2 🟨
C. Trejo2 🟨
P. Uscanga2 🟨