Mineros de Zacatecas vs Leones Negros UDG — Liga de Expansión MX
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Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba·Zacatecas·Mexico·18,000
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Mineros de Zacatecas and Leones Negros UDG meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Mineros de Zacatecas have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.77 goals scored and 2.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Leones Negros UDG have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.64 for Leones Negros UDG. The models give Mineros de Zacatecas a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leones Negros UDG win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas—
Leones Negros UDG7º
Position
5º
1.67
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
2.33
2.00
Conceded / game
1.67
54%
BTTS %
60%
15%
Clean sheet %
20%
77%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mineros de Zacatecas
Home (2)
—
Leones Negros UDG
Away (2)
2.00
PPG
3.00
50%
Win %
100%
3.00
Goals / game
3.00
2.00
Conceded / game
1.00
67%
BTTS %
60%
17%
Clean sheet %
20%
67%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mineros de | Home | Away | Leones Negros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 83% | 57% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 67% | 43% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 50% | 14% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 17% | 43% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Mineros de | Home | Away | Leones Negros | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 62% | 33% | 86% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 54% | 33% | 71% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mineros de | Leones Negros | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 69% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 10% |
| BTTS | 54% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mineros de | Leones Negros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 60% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 10% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 80% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 55% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 73% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 70% |
Recent Venue Form
Mineros de (H)L
Monarcas0–1
Monarcas0–1W
CDS Tampico Madero2–0
CDS Tampico Madero2–0W
Venados FC5–1
Venados FC5–1W
Tlaxcala3–1
Tlaxcala3–1D
Correcaminos Uat3–3
Correcaminos Uat3–3L
FC Juarez1–3
FC Juarez1–3Leones Negros (A)LMonarcas0–2
Monarcas0–2W
Tapatío3–1
Tapatío3–1W
Durango2–1
Durango2–1W
Cancún2–0
Cancún2–0WTlaxcala4–2
Tlaxcala4–2LVenados FC1–2
Venados FC1–2Head to Head · 24 matches
12
Mineros de
50%
5
Draws
21%
7
Leones Negros
29%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
58%
Over 2.5
14/24
38%
Over 3.5
9/24
54%
BTTS
13/24
22/03/26Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
1–3Mineros de Zacatecas12/10/25Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–0Leones Negros UDG26/01/25Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
0–0Leones Negros UDG10/11/24Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
3–1Mineros de Zacatecas07/11/24Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–2Leones Negros UDG11/08/24Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
1–0Mineros de Zacatecas29/04/24Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
3–0Mineros de Zacatecas26/04/24Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
0–0Leones Negros UDG02/02/24Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
0–1Leones Negros UDG02/10/23Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
3–2Mineros de Zacatecas28/02/23Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–1Leones Negros UDG24/08/22Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
3–2Mineros de Zacatecas05/02/22Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
2–3Mineros de Zacatecas04/08/21Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–1Leones Negros UDG29/03/21Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
1–0Leones Negros UDG31/08/20Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
1–1Mineros de Zacatecas15/03/20Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
2–2Mineros de Zacatecas19/10/19Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–1Leones Negros UDG09/03/19Leones Negros UDG
Mineros de Zacatecas
2–0Leones Negros UDG07/10/18Mineros de Zacatecas
Leones Negros UDG
3–2Mineros de Zacatecas| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarcas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 |  CA La Paz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Leones Negros UDG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Piratas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Dorados | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 | Correcaminos Uat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Cancún | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | CDS Tampico Madero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
Mineros de- ●Mineros de Zacatecas failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●72% of Mineros de Zacatecas's goals have been scored at home.
Leones Negros- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Leones Negros UDG's points have been earned away.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Mineros deWATepatitlán1–0
Tepatitlán1–0LHMonarcas0–1
Monarcas0–1LACA La Paz0–3
CA La Paz0–3WHCDS Tampico Madero2–0
CDS Tampico Madero2–0LATapatío2–4
Tapatío2–4WHVenados FC5–1
Venados FC5–1–HPiratas25/09
Piratas25/09–ADurango04/10
Durango04/10–HCancún11/10
Cancún11/10Leones NegrosLAMonarcas0–2
Monarcas0–2DHCA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2WATapatío3–1
Tapatío3–1DHPiratas1–1
Piratas1–1WADurango2–1
Durango2–1WHCDS Tampico Madero4–0
CDS Tampico Madero4–0–ACruz Azul Hidalgo26/09
Cruz Azul Hidalgo26/09–HDorados03/10
Dorados03/10–AVenados FC10/10
Venados FC10/10Top Scorers
Mineros deE. Carballo3 ⚽
J. Avila3 ⚽
O. Mazatan2 ⚽
C. A. Flores Sanchez1 ⚽
J. Cano1 ⚽
A. Villalobos1 ⚽
Leones NegrosO. Gil3 ⚽
S. A. Hernandez2 ⚽
J. Brigido2 ⚽
J. Marchand2 ⚽
K. Loera2 ⚽
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago2 ⚽
Cards Given
Mineros deJ. Cano5 🟨
J. Esquivel5 🟨
O. Mazatan4 🟨
L. Hernandez4 🟨
E. Carballo3 🟨
L. Cervantes2 🟨
Leones NegrosJ. Aguayo6 🟨
U. Torres6 🟨
J. Escalante5 🟨
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago4 🟨
O. Gonzalez3 🟨
M. Valenzuela2 🟨