Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Mineros de Zacatecas — Liga de Expansión MX
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca and Mineros de Zacatecas meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.83 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Mineros de Zacatecas have won 31% of their 16 matches, with 1.88 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 81%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca and 1.43 for Mineros de Zacatecas. The models give Alebrijes de Oaxaca a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mineros de Zacatecas win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alebrijes de | Home | Away | Mineros de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 83% | 50% | 75% | 88% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 31% | 50% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 17% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Alebrijes de | Home | Away | Mineros de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 67% | 83% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 33% | 83% | 63% | 38% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 17% | 67% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 33% | 17% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alebrijes de | Mineros de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 31% |
| BTTS | 42% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alebrijes de | Mineros de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 8% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 8% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 22 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 | |
| 2 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +13 | 23 | |
| 3 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 23 | |
| 4 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 | |
| 6 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 | |
| 7 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 | |
| 8 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 | |
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | |
| 10 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 12 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 | |
| 13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 13 | |
| 14 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 15 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Alebrijes de Oaxaca have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●77% of Alebrijes de Oaxaca's points have been earned at home.
- ●Mineros de Zacatecas have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mineros de Zacatecas failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Mineros de Zacatecas have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Mineros de Zacatecas failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●72% of Mineros de Zacatecas's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Mineros de Zacatecas's points have been earned at home.