Leones Negros UDG vs Tepatitlán — Liga de Expansión MX
← Back
vs
–
–
Estadio Jalisco·Guadalajara·Mexico·56,713
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Leones Negros UDG and Tepatitlán meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Leones Negros UDG have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.15 goals scored and 1.54 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Tepatitlán have won 18% of their 11 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 2.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Leones Negros UDG and 1.37 for Tepatitlán. The models give Leones Negros UDG a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tepatitlán win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Leones Negros UDG—
Tepatitlán5º
Position
16º
2.00
PPG
0.00
67%
Win %
0%
2.33
Goals / game
0.33
1.67
Conceded / game
3.00
69%
BTTS %
45%
15%
Clean sheet %
0%
69%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Leones Negros UDG
Home (1)
—
Tepatitlán
Away (1)
0.00
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
1.00
Goals / game
1.00
3.00
Conceded / game
3.00
67%
BTTS %
25%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Leones Negros | Home | Away | Tepatitlán | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 83% | 86% | 45% | 57% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 50% | 71% | 18% | 29% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 31% | 33% | 29% | 18% | 29% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 17% | 14% | 55% | 43% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Leones Negros | Home | Away | Tepatitlán | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 83% | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 67% | 29% | 55% | 43% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 50% | 0% | 45% | 29% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leones Negros | Tepatitlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 46% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 45% |
| BTTS | 69% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leones Negros | Tepatitlán | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 54% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 15% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 69% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 9% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 82% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 18% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 92% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Leones Negros (H)W
Dorados6–3
Dorados6–3D
CA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2D
Piratas1–1
Piratas1–1W
CDS Tampico Madero4–0
CDS Tampico Madero4–0L
Correcaminos Uat1–3
Correcaminos Uat1–3L
Cancún1–2
Cancún1–2Tepatitlán (A)L
Venados FC0–5
Venados FC0–5L
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–6
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–6L
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca0–1LCorrecaminos Uat1–3
Correcaminos Uat1–3LCDS Tampico Madero0–2
CDS Tampico Madero0–2DCDS Tampico Madero0–0
CDS Tampico Madero0–0Head to Head · 16 matches
7
Leones Negros
44%
5
Draws
31%
4
Tepatitlán
25%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
19%
Over 3.5
3/16
63%
BTTS
10/16
15/02/26Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
0–0Tepatitlán07/09/25Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
1–1Leones Negros UDG27/04/25Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
2–1Tepatitlán25/04/25Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
2–1Leones Negros UDG01/03/25Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
1–1Leones Negros UDG15/09/24Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
1–0Tepatitlán11/04/24Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
3–2Tepatitlán13/08/23Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
0–0Leones Negros UDG15/07/23Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
3–1Tepatitlán28/04/23Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
0–1Leones Negros UDG19/02/23Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
1–1Leones Negros UDG11/07/22Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
3–0Tepatitlán09/03/22Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
2–1Tepatitlán18/11/21Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
2–1Leones Negros UDG15/03/21Tepatitlán
Leones Negros UDG
0–1Tepatitlán17/11/20Leones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
3–2Leones Negros UDG| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 | CA La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 |  Monarcas | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancún | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos Uat | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 |  Tapatío | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 7 |
Team Insights
Leones Negros- ●Leones Negros UDG have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Leones Negros UDG's points have been earned away.
- ●Leones Negros UDG have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Tepatitlán- ●Tepatitlán failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Tepatitlán failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Tepatitlán have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tepatitlán failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Tepatitlán have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●89% of Tepatitlán's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Tepatitlán's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Leones NegrosDAVenados FC1–1
Venados FC1–1WHDorados6–3
Dorados6–3WACruz Azul Hidalgo2–1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo2–1LAMonarcas0–2
Monarcas0–2DHCA La Paz2–2
CA La Paz2–2WATapatío3–1
Tapatío3–1–HAlebrijes de Oaxaca18/10
Alebrijes de Oaxaca18/10–AMineros de Zacatecas25/10
Mineros de Zacatecas25/10–HTepatitlán01/11
Tepatitlán01/11TepatitlánDHMonarcas1–1
Monarcas1–1WHCDS Tampico Madero3–1
CDS Tampico Madero3–1LHMineros de Zacatecas0–1
Mineros de Zacatecas0–1LAVenados FC0–5
Venados FC0–5LHDorados1–4
Dorados1–4LACruz Azul Hidalgo0–6
Cruz Azul Hidalgo0–6–ATapatío13/10
Tapatío13/10–APiratas18/10
Piratas18/10–HCancún24/10
Cancún24/10Top Scorers
Leones NegrosL. Razo5 ⚽
O. Gil5 ⚽
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago3 ⚽
J. Marchand3 ⚽
S. A. Hernandez3 ⚽
K. Loera2 ⚽
TepatitlánA. Moreno1 ⚽
B. Casas1 ⚽
F. Sanguinetti1 ⚽
G. Olvera1 ⚽
J. Cruz1 ⚽
J. Sanchez1 ⚽
Cards Given
Leones NegrosJ. Aguayo7 🟨
U. Torres6 🟨
J. Escalante6 🟨
A. De Jesus Bravo Santiago4 🟨
O. Gonzalez3 🟨
J. Perez2 🟨
TepatitlánG. Olvera5 🟨
G. Baez4 🟨
S. Castaneda3 🟨
E. Martinez3 🟨
F. Sanguinetti3 🟨
D. Villalpando2 🟨