Dorados vs Piratas — Liga de Expansión MX
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Dorados and Piratas meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Dorados have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Piratas have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Dorados and 1.36 for Piratas. The models give Dorados a 37% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Piratas win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Dorados
PiratasHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Dorados | Home | Away | Piratas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Dorados | Home | Away | Piratas | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 75% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dorados | Piratas | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS | 78% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dorados | Piratas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Dorados (H)
Cancún1–1
Tapatío3–1
Monarcas0–1
Tlaxcala2–2
Mineros de Zacatecas2–2Tapatío3–1Piratas (A)
Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1
Leones Negros UDG1–1
CA La Paz0–2
Durango3–0
CDS Tampico Madero0–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monarcas | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA La Paz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Leones Negros UDG | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Piratas | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Cancún | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Tapatío | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Dorados | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 |  Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Correcaminos Uat | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | CDS Tampico Madero | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Team Insights
Dorados- ●Dorados have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dorados have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dorados failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dorados have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Piratas- ●Piratas have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Piratas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Piratas have won their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
DoradosCDS Tampico Madero1–1Cancún1–1Tapatío3–1Tepatitlán4–1Monarcas0–1Venados FC2–4Durango27/09Leones Negros UDG03/10Cruz Azul Hidalgo11/10PiratasVenados FC2–1Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1Correcaminos Uat4–1Leones Negros UDG1–1Cancún0–1CA La Paz0–2Mineros de Zacatecas25/09Alebrijes de Oaxaca04/10Tlaxcala10/10Top Scorers
DoradosPiratasCards Given
DoradosPiratas