Piratas vs Tapatío — Liga de Expansión MX
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Piratas and Tapatío meet in the Liga de Expansión MX 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Piratas have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Tapatío have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.92 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.95 for Piratas and 1.21 for Tapatío. The models give Piratas a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tapatío win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Piratas
TapatíoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Piratas | Home | Away | Tapatío | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 57% | 83% | 83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 42% | 60% | 29% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 20% | 43% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Piratas | Home | Away | Tapatío | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 71% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 43% | 58% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 29% | 42% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 29% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Piratas | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 42% |
| BTTS | 42% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Piratas | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Piratas (H)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–0
Venados FC2–1
Correcaminos Uat4–1
Cancún0–1
Monarcas1–0Tapatío (A)Cancún0–1
Dorados1–3Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–1Correcaminos Uat3–2Venados FC2–3
Leon2–4| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leones Negros UDG | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |  CA La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +13 | 23 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancún | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 18 |
| 8 |  Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos Uat | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 |  Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 13 |
| 14 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -21 | 7 |
Team Insights
Piratas- ●Piratas have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Piratas have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Piratas failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Piratas failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●79% of Piratas's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Piratas have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Tapatío- ●Tapatío have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tapatío have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tapatío have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Tapatío failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●63% of Tapatío's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
PiratasTlaxcala2–4Alebrijes de Oaxaca4–0Mineros de Zacatecas0–3Venados FC2–1Cruz Azul Hidalgo1–1Correcaminos Uat4–1Tepatitlán18/10Dorados25/10Tapatío01/11TapatíoCA La Paz2–4Cancún0–1Tlaxcala4–0Dorados1–3Leones Negros UDG1–3Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–1Tepatitlán13/10Durango18/10Monarcas24/10Top Scorers
PiratasTapatíoCards Given
PiratasTapatío