Mladost Ždralovi vs Kustosija — First NL
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Mladost Ždralovi and Kustosija meet in the First NL 2026 season on 20 February 2027. Mladost Ždralovi have recorded 14 wins from 24 matches this season (58% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Kustosija have won 42% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Mladost Ždralovi and 1.03 for Kustosija. The models give Mladost Ždralovi a 40% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Kustosija win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Mladost Ždralovi—
Kustosija1º
Position
4º
1.92
PPG
1.58
58%
Win %
42%
1.17
Goals / game
1.08
0.83
Conceded / game
0.83
46%
BTTS %
63%
46%
Clean sheet %
26%
42%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Mladost Ždralovi
Home (7)
—
Kustosija
Away (8)
2.29
PPG
1.63
71%
Win %
38%
1.14
Goals / game
1.13
0.71
Conceded / game
0.88
54%
BTTS %
64%
46%
Clean sheet %
27%
38%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Mladost Ždralovi | Home | Away | Kustosija | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 73% | 79% | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 54% | 46% | 64% | 32% | 38% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 25% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Mladost Ždralovi | Home | Away | Kustosija | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 54% | 55% | 74% | 75% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 23% | 18% | 26% | 38% | 18% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 9% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 46% | 45% | 26% | 25% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mladost Ždralovi | Kustosija | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 46% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mladost Ždralovi | Kustosija | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
Mladost Ždralovi (H)W
Hrvace1–0
Hrvace1–0W
NK Slaven Belupo2–0
NK Slaven Belupo2–0W
Jadran LP1–0
Jadran LP1–0W
HNK Cibalia2–1
HNK Cibalia2–1L
Segesta Sisak1–3
Segesta Sisak1–3W
Karlovac 19191–0
Karlovac 19191–0Kustosija (A)W
Bsk Bijelo Brdo3–2
Bsk Bijelo Brdo3–2W
Dubrava Zagreb2–1
Dubrava Zagreb2–1WHrvace2–1
Hrvace2–1D
Opatija1–1
Opatija1–1LJadran LP0–1
Jadran LP0–1DHNK Cibalia0–0
HNK Cibalia0–0Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Mladost Ždralovi
22%
4
Draws
44%
3
Kustosija
33%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
78%
BTTS
7/9
30/08/26Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija
1–2Mladost Ždralovi29/05/26Kustosija
Mladost Ždralovi
3–3Kustosija29/11/25Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija
1–2Mladost Ždralovi04/04/25Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija
2–1Mladost Ždralovi04/10/24Kustosija
Mladost Ždralovi
1–1Kustosija10/08/24Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija
2–0Mladost Ždralovi15/03/24Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija
1–1Mladost Ždralovi09/09/23Kustosija
Mladost Ždralovi
0–0Kustosija08/08/20Mladost Ždralovi
Kustosija
4–1Mladost Ždralovi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mladost Ždralovi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 2 |  Croatia Zmijavci | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 | Jadran LP | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | Kustosija | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | HNK Cibalia | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 | Segesta Sisak | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Orijent 1919 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Bsk Bijelo Brdo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 9 | Opatija | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 |  Sesvete | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Zagreb U21 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 |  Vukovar | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Karlovac 1919 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Dubrava Zagreb | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 |
| 15 |  Dugopolje | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Hrvace | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 11 |
Team Insights
Mladost Ždralovi- ●Mladost Ždralovi have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Mladost Ždralovi have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
Kustosija- ●Kustosija have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Kustosija have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kustosija have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Kustosija have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kustosija have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Kustosija have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kustosija failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kustosija have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Kustosija have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Kustosija failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Kustosija have won 3 of their 8 away matches.
- ●69% of Kustosija's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Kustosija's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●68% of Kustosija's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Mladost ŽdraloviWHHrvace1–0
Hrvace1–0WAOpatija3–0
Opatija3–0WHJadran LP1–0
Jadran LP1–0LACroatia Zmijavci1–3
Croatia Zmijavci1–3WHHNK Cibalia2–1
HNK Cibalia2–1LADinamo Zagreb U210–1
Dinamo Zagreb U210–1–ADubrava Zagreb21/11
Dubrava Zagreb21/11–HBsk Bijelo Brdo28/11
Bsk Bijelo Brdo28/11–AOrijent 191905/12
Orijent 191905/12KustosijaWHOrijent 19192–0
Orijent 19192–0WABsk Bijelo Brdo3–2
Bsk Bijelo Brdo3–2WADubrava Zagreb2–1
Dubrava Zagreb2–1WAHrvace2–1
Hrvace2–1DAOpatija1–1
Opatija1–1LAJadran LP0–1
Jadran LP0–1–AVukovar21/11
Vukovar21/11–AKarlovac 191928/11
Karlovac 191928/11–HSesvete05/12
Sesvete05/12Top Scorers
Mladost ŽdraloviD. Pavkovic6 ⚽
M. Nikolic4 ⚽
F. Ozobic3 ⚽
3 ⚽
L. Raljic2 ⚽
A. Azinovic2 ⚽
KustosijaD. Zabec6 ⚽
M. Vuckovic3 ⚽
T. Krizmanic2 ⚽
A. Soudani El2 ⚽
M. Gashi2 ⚽
Jean Belinho1 ⚽
Cards Given
Mladost ŽdraloviP. Balen6 🟨
T. Brezina6 🟨
B. K. Tyongi4 🟨
J. Simetic3 🟨
A. Azinovic3 🟨
N. Stjepanovic2 🟨
Kustosija8 🟨
L. Jurak4 🟨
J. Dolezal3 🟨
D. Zabec2 🟨
D. Begonja2 🟨
M. Zalazar2 🟨