Warrington Town vs Gainsborough Trinity — Non League Premier - Northern
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Warrington Town and Gainsborough Trinity meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Warrington Town have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 65% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Gainsborough Trinity have won 45% of their 22 matches, with 2.05 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Warrington Town and 1.96 for Gainsborough Trinity. The models give Warrington Town a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Gainsborough Trinity win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Warrington Town | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 85% | 90% | 77% | 58% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 61% | 69% | 50% | 64% | 58% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 23% | 10% | 36% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 15% | 10% | 23% | 42% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Warrington Town | Home | Away | Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 77% | 80% | 77% | 67% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 69% | 40% | 45% | 42% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 15% | 10% | 18% | 25% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 23% | 20% | 23% | 33% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Warrington Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS | 65% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 35% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Warrington Town | Gainsborough Trinity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 74% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 8 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 | |
| 2 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 | |
| 3 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 | |
| 4 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 25 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 25 | |
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 | |
| 9 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 | |
| 10 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 | |
| 11 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 20 | |
| 12 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 19 | |
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 | |
| 15 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 | |
| 18 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 | |
| 19 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 | |
| 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 | |
| 21 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 | |
| 22 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●Warrington Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Warrington Town's points have been earned away.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.