Ashton United vs Warrington Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Ashton United and Warrington Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Ashton United have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Warrington Town have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Ashton United and 1.47 for Warrington Town. The models give Ashton United a 36% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Warrington Town win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Ashton United—
Warrington Town16º
Position
7º
1.08
PPG
1.77
23%
Win %
46%
1.15
Goals / game
1.85
1.15
Conceded / game
1.46
58%
BTTS %
65%
16%
Clean sheet %
22%
47%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ashton United
Home (7)
—
Warrington Town
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
2.29
29%
Win %
71%
1.29
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.14
63%
BTTS %
70%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
70%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ashton United | Home | Away | Warrington Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 75% | 64% | 87% | 85% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 25% | 45% | 61% | 69% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 23% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 32% | 25% | 36% | 13% | 15% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Ashton United | Home | Away | Warrington Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 75% | 91% | 78% | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 55% | 57% | 69% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 15% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 25% | 9% | 22% | 23% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ashton United | Warrington Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 96% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS | 58% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ashton United | Warrington Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Ashton United (H)L
Redcar Athletic1–2
Redcar Athletic1–2D
Alfreton Town0–0
Alfreton Town0–0L
Cleethorpes Town0–1
Cleethorpes Town0–1L
Gainsborough Trinity1–2
Gainsborough Trinity1–2D
Ilkeston Town1–1
Ilkeston Town1–1W
Whitby Town2–0
Whitby Town2–0Warrington Town (A)DAlfreton Town1–1
Alfreton Town1–1W
Bamber Bridge1–0
Bamber Bridge1–0L
Marine0–2
Marine0–2L
United of Manchester1–4
United of Manchester1–4D
Shildon AFC2–2
Shildon AFC2–2W
Leek Town2–1
Leek Town2–1Head to Head · 12 matches
4
Ashton United
33%
4
Draws
33%
4
Warrington Town
33%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
26/09/26Ashton United
Warrington Town
2–2Ashton United07/02/26Warrington Town
Ashton United
1–0Warrington Town28/10/25Ashton United
Warrington Town
2–1Ashton United26/07/24Warrington Town
Ashton United
0–1Warrington Town08/04/23Ashton United
Warrington Town
3–0Ashton United27/08/22Warrington Town
Ashton United
2–1Warrington Town19/03/22Ashton United
Warrington Town
1–3Ashton United02/10/21Warrington Town
Ashton United
0–1Warrington Town03/03/20Warrington Town
Ashton United
1–1Warrington Town26/10/19Ashton United
Warrington Town
0–1Ashton United14/11/17Warrington Town
Ashton United
4–4Warrington Town11/11/17Ashton United
Warrington Town
1–1Ashton United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 |  Avro | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 | Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 | Ashton United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
Ashton United- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ashton United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Warrington Town- ●Warrington Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Warrington Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Warrington Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Warrington Town have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Warrington Town's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Ashton UnitedLHRedcar Athletic1–2
Redcar Athletic1–2DHAlfreton Town0–0
Alfreton Town0–0DALeek Town2–2
Leek Town2–2DAQuorn2–2
Quorn2–2LHCleethorpes Town0–1
Cleethorpes Town0–1LACurzon Ashton0–2
Curzon Ashton0–2–AAvro21/10
Avro21/10–HRylands31/10
Rylands31/10–HWarrington Town03/11
Warrington Town03/11Warrington TownDAAlfreton Town1–1
Alfreton Town1–1WABamber Bridge1–0
Bamber Bridge1–0DHLancaster City2–2
Lancaster City2–2DHWorkington2–2
Workington2–2LAUnited of Manchester1–4
United of Manchester1–4WALeek Town2–1
Leek Town2–1–HGainsborough Trinity24/10
Gainsborough Trinity24/10–AQuorn31/10
Quorn31/10–AAshton United03/11
Ashton United03/11Top Scorers
Ashton UnitedJ. Hardy3 ⚽
N. Okome2 ⚽
D. Turner2 ⚽
J. Johnson2 ⚽
K. Willoughby2 ⚽
Trialist F1 ⚽
Warrington TownR. Daly6 ⚽
E. Bange4 ⚽
C. Edwards3 ⚽
L. Earl3 ⚽
J. Goodwin2 ⚽
S. Butler2 ⚽
Cards Given
Ashton UnitedC. Spooner1 🟨
Warrington TownR. Daly2 🟨