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Bury vs Avro — Non League Premier - Northern

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England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 11
Bury
Bury
12º · 1.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
vs
–
–
Avro
Avro
4º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 13d 1h
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Bury and Avro meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Bury have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.43 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Avro have won 61% of their 18 matches, with 2.44 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Bury and 1.40 for Avro. The models give Bury a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Avro win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Bury
—
Avro
12º
Position
4º
1.73
PPG
2.00
55%
Win %
64%
2.00
Goals / game
2.64
1.00
Conceded / game
1.93
52%
BTTS %
61%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
43.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Bury
Home (5)
—
Avro
Away (7)
2.40
PPG
1.71
80%
Win %
57%
3.00
Goals / game
2.00
0.60
Conceded / game
1.71
50%
BTTS %
44%
42%
Clean sheet %
33%
75%
Over 2.5 %
56%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
6.0
Avg shots
0.0
5.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
43.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

BuryHomeAwayAvroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored81%92%67%78%78%78%
Over 1.5 Scored57%75%33%61%78%44%
Over 2.5 Scored43%67%11%44%67%22%
Failed To Score19%8%33%22%22%22%

Goals Conceded

BuryHomeAwayAvroHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded67%58%78%83%100%67%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%17%44%61%67%56%
Over 2.5 Conceded14%8%22%39%44%33%
Clean Sheets33%42%22%17%0%33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BuryAvro
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.571%89%
Over 2.567%67%
Over 3.552%50%
Over 4.533%44%
BTTS52%61%
BTTS & Win29%44%
BTTS & Draw10%6%
BTTS & Over 2.548%61%
BTTS No & Over 2.519%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BuryAvro
Win 1st Half45%33%
Draw 1st Half40%44%
Loss 1st Half15%22%
Scored 1st Half70%61%
Conceded 1st Half45%56%
Win 2nd Half35%44%
Draw 2nd Half35%28%
Loss 2nd Half30%28%
Scored 2nd Half60%61%
Conceded 2nd Half45%67%
Over 0.5 HT80%83%
Over 1.5 HT50%56%

Recent Venue Form

Bury (H)
DHarrogate Town1–1
WBromsgrove Sporting2–1
DGainsborough Trinity3–3
WWorkington5–1
WAFC Emley4–0
WWythenshawe Amateurs8–0
Avro (A)
LIlkeston Town0–2
LRedcar Athletic1–3
WDunston UTS2–0
WGainsborough Trinity2–0
WUnited of Manchester4–3
WHyde United1–0

Team Corners

Team CornersBuryAvro
Corners Earned / Match7.00.0
Corners Against / Match7.00.0
Over 2.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners For100%0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 3.5 Corners Against100%0%
Over 4.5 Corners Against100%0%

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Bury
33%
2
Draws
67%
0
Avro
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
10/01/26
Bury
1–1
Avro
13/08/25
Avro
1–1
Bury
17/08/24
Avro
1–2
Bury
Non League Premier - Northern
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic151041+2034
2Cleethorpes Town14932+2230
3Guiseley AFC13913+1528
4Avro14914+1028
5Gainsborough Trinity13814+1325
6Workington15735+124
7Warrington Town13652+523
8Rylands14725+423
9Curzon Ashton13715+722
10Alfreton Town15627+420
11Lancaster City15627-820
12Bury11614+1119
13Whitby Town14617-1319
14Hyde United15438-1415
15Leek Town13355014
16Ashton United14356-114
17Quorn13355-614
18AFC Emley14356-1114
19Stockton Town15339-1012
20Bamber Bridge14248-1710
21Ilkeston Town153111-2410
22United of Manchester12147-87

Team Insights

Bury
  • ●Bury have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Bury have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●68% of Bury's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●73% of Bury's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Bury have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Bury have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Avro
  • ●Avro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Avro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Avro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Avro have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Avro failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Avro have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Avro failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Avro have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Avro have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●62% of Avro's goals have been scored at home.
BuryBury
LAHarrogate Town1–3
DHHarrogate Town1–1
WAAlfreton Town10º3–2
LAStockton Town19º0–1
WHBromsgrove Sporting2–1
DHGainsborough Trinity3–3
WHWorkington5–1
WHAFC Emley18º4–0
WHWythenshawe Amateurs8–0
LAHyde United14º1–2
AvroAvro
WHAshton United16º3–2
LAIlkeston Town21º0–2
LARedcar Athletic1º1–3
LHGuiseley AFC3º0–1
WHLancaster City11º5–3
WADunston UTS2–0
WAGainsborough Trinity5º2–0
LHWitton Albion0–2
WAUnited of Manchester22º4–3
WHStockton Town19º5–3

Season Schedule

Bury
WAAlfreton Town3–2
LAStockton Town0–1
WHAFC Emley4–0
LAHyde United1–2
WHIlkeston Town7–0
LHLancaster City0–1
–HLeek Town27/10
–HWorkington31/10
–HAvro03/11
Avro
WHAshton United3–2
LAIlkeston Town0–2
LARedcar Athletic1–3
LHGuiseley AFC0–1
WHLancaster City5–3
WAGainsborough Trinity2–0
–ACleethorpes Town31/10
–ABury03/11
–HWarrington Town07/11

Top Scorers

Bury
T. Carr6 ⚽
K. Evans5 ⚽
O. Robinson3 ⚽
D. Pedro3 ⚽
M. Touray3 ⚽
L. Graham2 ⚽
Avro
B. Lowe9 ⚽
H. Salt9 ⚽
R. Smith5 ⚽
T. Dyson5 ⚽
J. Simms3 ⚽
3 ⚽

Cards Given

Bury
D. Pedro1 🟨
Avro
R. Smith2 🟨