Gainsborough Trinity vs Curzon Ashton — Non League Premier - Northern
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Gainsborough Trinity and Curzon Ashton meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Gainsborough Trinity have recorded 10 wins from 22 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 2.05 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Curzon Ashton have won 47% of their 17 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.49 for Curzon Ashton. The models give Gainsborough Trinity a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Curzon Ashton win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Gainsborough Trinity—
Curzon Ashton4º
Position
9º
1.92
PPG
1.69
62%
Win %
54%
2.23
Goals / game
1.85
1.23
Conceded / game
1.31
59%
BTTS %
59%
23%
Clean sheet %
29%
68%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gainsborough Trinity
Home (7)
—
Curzon Ashton
Away (7)
1.71
PPG
1.29
57%
Win %
43%
1.86
Goals / game
1.86
1.14
Conceded / game
1.71
33%
BTTS %
57%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
58%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 58% | 100% | 88% | 90% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 58% | 70% | 53% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 33% | 40% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 42% | 0% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Gainsborough Trinity | Home | Away | Curzon Ashton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 67% | 90% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 42% | 50% | 35% | 30% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 25% | 10% | 12% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 33% | 10% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gainsborough Trinity | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 12% |
| BTTS | 59% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gainsborough Trinity | Curzon Ashton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Gainsborough Trinity (H)W
Hyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0W
Ilkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1L
Anstey Nomads2–3
Anstey Nomads2–3W
Leamington3–0
Leamington3–0L
Avro0–2
Avro0–2L
Cleethorpes Town0–3
Cleethorpes Town0–3Curzon Ashton (A)L
Whitby Town0–1
Whitby Town0–1L
Rylands1–5
Rylands1–5W
Lancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0WCleethorpes Town3–1
Cleethorpes Town3–1W
Warrington Town4–0
Warrington Town4–0L
AFC Emley1–2
AFC Emley1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | +23 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley AFC | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 | Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 | Avro | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 | Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 | Whitby Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 |  Ashton United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 21 | Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
Gainsborough Trinity- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Gainsborough Trinity have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Curzon Ashton- ●Curzon Ashton have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Curzon Ashton have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Curzon Ashton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Gainsborough TrinityWHHyde United4–0
Hyde United4–0WHIlkeston Town3–1
Ilkeston Town3–1WAAFC Emley2–1
AFC Emley2–1WAWhitby Town6–2
Whitby Town6–2LHAvro0–2
Avro0–2LHCleethorpes Town0–3
Cleethorpes Town0–3–AWarrington Town24/10
Warrington Town24/10–HCurzon Ashton27/10
Curzon Ashton27/10–HBamber Bridge31/10
Bamber Bridge31/10Curzon AshtonLAWhitby Town0–1
Whitby Town0–1LARylands1–5
Rylands1–5WHHyde United2–0
Hyde United2–0WHRedcar Athletic3–1
Redcar Athletic3–1WALancaster City2–0
Lancaster City2–0WHAshton United2–0
Ashton United2–0–HUnited of Manchester20/10
United of Manchester20/10–AGainsborough Trinity27/10
Gainsborough Trinity27/10–HLeek Town31/10
Leek Town31/10Top Scorers
Gainsborough TrinityC. Brown4 ⚽
O. Ashton4 ⚽
F. Preston4 ⚽
H. Beeden3 ⚽
B. Blythe2 ⚽
J. Clarke2 ⚽
Curzon AshtonA. Curran7 ⚽
B. Holmes6 ⚽
T. Weston3 ⚽
H. Robertson2 ⚽
O. Lawal2 ⚽
W. Hayhurst1 ⚽