Guiseley AFC vs Leek Town — Non League Premier - Northern
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Guiseley AFC and Leek Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Guiseley AFC have recorded 18 wins from 25 matches this season (72% win rate), averaging 2.16 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Leek Town have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 85%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.98 for Guiseley AFC and 1.59 for Leek Town. The models give Guiseley AFC a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Leek Town win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Guiseley AFC—
Leek Town3º
Position
15º
2.15
PPG
1.08
69%
Win %
23%
2.08
Goals / game
2.00
0.92
Conceded / game
2.00
56%
BTTS %
85%
40%
Clean sheet %
15%
64%
Over 2.5 %
65%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
16.0
Avg shots
0.0
8.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
51.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Guiseley AFC
Home (6)
—
Leek Town
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
17%
2.33
Goals / game
2.00
1.33
Conceded / game
2.17
75%
BTTS %
73%
25%
Clean sheet %
27%
75%
Over 2.5 %
55%
7.0
Avg corners
0.0
16.0
Avg shots
0.0
8.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
51.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Guiseley AFC | Home | Away | Leek Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 96% | 100% | 92% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 62% | 77% | 50% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 38% | 31% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Guiseley AFC | Home | Away | Leek Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 77% | 46% | 85% | 100% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 46% | 15% | 45% | 56% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 11% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 23% | 54% | 15% | 0% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guiseley AFC | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 30% |
| BTTS | 58% | 85% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guiseley AFC | Leek Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 73% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 19% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 81% | 75% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 31% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Guiseley AFC (H)W
Cleethorpes Town2–1
Cleethorpes Town2–1W
Bradford (Park Avenue)1–0
Bradford (Park Avenue)1–0W
Bamber Bridge4–2
Bamber Bridge4–2W
Quorn4–1
Quorn4–1W
Stockton Town2–1
Stockton Town2–1L
Lancaster City1–2
Lancaster City1–2Leek Town (A)WLancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1W
Worcester City2–0
Worcester City2–0L
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2
Bromsgrove Sporting1–2L
Redcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3W
Sporting Khalsa5–0
Sporting Khalsa5–0L
Workington2–3
Workington2–3Team Corners
| Team Corners | Guiseley AFC | Leek Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 0% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Guiseley AFC
25%
2
Draws
50%
1
Leek Town
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
06/12/25Leek Town
Guiseley AFC
1–0Leek Town06/09/25Guiseley AFC
Leek Town
4–0Guiseley AFC22/02/25Guiseley AFC
Leek Town
2–2Guiseley AFC10/12/24Leek Town
Guiseley AFC
1–1Leek Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +13 | 25 |
| 5 |  Avro | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | +9 | 25 |
| 6 | Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Warrington Town | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 8 |  Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 |  Hyde United | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -14 | 15 |
| 15 | Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 16 |  Ashton United | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 | Quorn | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Emley | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 19 | Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 | Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -17 | 10 |
| 21 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -24 | 10 |
| 22 |  United of Manchester | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 7 |
Team Insights
Guiseley AFC- ●Guiseley AFC have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Guiseley AFC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Guiseley AFC have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Leek Town- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Leek Town have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Leek Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Leek Town have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
Guiseley AFCWHCleethorpes Town2–1
Cleethorpes Town2–1WAAvro1–0
Avro1–0WAIlkeston Town2–0
Ilkeston Town2–0LAAlfreton Town0–1
Alfreton Town0–1WHQuorn4–1
Quorn4–1WAAFC Emley4–0
AFC Emley4–0–ARedcar Athletic31/10
Redcar Athletic31/10–HLeek Town03/11
Leek Town03/11–HUnited of Manchester07/11
United of Manchester07/11Leek TownWALancaster City2–1
Lancaster City2–1DHAshton United2–2
Ashton United2–2DHRylands3–3
Rylands3–3WHHyde United2–1
Hyde United2–1LARedcar Athletic2–3
Redcar Athletic2–3LHWarrington Town1–2
Warrington Town1–2–ABury27/10
Bury27/10–ACurzon Ashton31/10
Curzon Ashton31/10–AGuiseley AFC03/11
Guiseley AFC03/11Top Scorers
Guiseley AFCC. Wilson8 ⚽
A. Martin7 ⚽
J. Thewlis6 ⚽
E. Owen4 ⚽
A. Berchil3 ⚽
L. Mbeka2 ⚽
Leek TownJ. Griffiths7 ⚽
C. Heath5 ⚽
H. Campbell3 ⚽
A. Hurst3 ⚽
A. Panter3 ⚽
3 ⚽
Cards Given
Guiseley AFC1 🟨
Leek TownA. Hurst1 🟨