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Ashton United vs Alfreton Town — Non League Premier - Northern

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England · Non League Premier - Northern · Regular Season - 14
Ashton United
Ashton United
13º · 1.22 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 4h
vs
–
–
Alfreton Town
Alfreton Town
11º · 1.33 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 31d 4h
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Ashton United and Alfreton Town meet in the Non League Premier - Northern 2026 season on 13 October 2026. Ashton United have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Alfreton Town have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Ashton United and 1.24 for Alfreton Town. The models give Ashton United a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Alfreton Town win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Ashton United
—
Alfreton Town
13º
Position
11º
1.22
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
44%
1.11
Goals / game
1.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.11
54%
BTTS %
31%
15%
Clean sheet %
19%
38%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ashton United
Home (5)
—
Alfreton Town
Away (5)
1.40
PPG
0.60
40%
Win %
20%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
67%
BTTS %
40%
17%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Ashton UnitedHomeAwayAlfreton TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored69%83%57%44%45%40%
Over 1.5 Scored31%33%29%25%27%20%
Over 2.5 Scored23%17%29%19%18%20%
Failed To Score31%17%43%56%55%60%

Goals Conceded

Ashton UnitedHomeAwayAlfreton TownHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded85%83%86%81%73%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%33%43%50%55%40%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%13%18%0%
Clean Sheets15%17%14%19%27%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Ashton UnitedAlfreton Town
Over 0.5100%94%
Over 1.569%75%
Over 2.538%56%
Over 3.523%25%
Over 4.523%13%
BTTS54%31%
BTTS & Win23%13%
BTTS & Draw15%0%
BTTS & Over 2.538%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%25%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Ashton UnitedAlfreton Town
Win 1st Half23%38%
Draw 1st Half54%25%
Loss 1st Half23%38%
Scored 1st Half38%44%
Conceded 1st Half38%44%
Win 2nd Half38%19%
Draw 2nd Half31%25%
Loss 2nd Half31%56%
Scored 2nd Half54%25%
Conceded 2nd Half54%69%
Over 0.5 HT62%81%
Over 1.5 HT46%38%

Recent Venue Form

Ashton United (H)
LCleethorpes Town0–1
LGainsborough Trinity1–2
DIlkeston Town1–1
WWhitby Town2–0
WLancaster City4–1
LStalybridge Celtic1–2
Alfreton Town (A)
LBamber Bridge0–1
WWhitby Town4–1
LStockton Town0–2
LCleethorpes Town1–2
LCurzon Ashton0–1
WMarine3–2
Non League Premier - Northern
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Cleethorpes Town9711+1922
2Avro9711+1222
3Redcar Athletic9630+1221
4Guiseley AFC9612+1219
5Warrington Town9522+417
6Bury9513+1116
7Curzon Ashton9513+816
8Workington9513+216
9Gainsborough Trinity9414+213
10Rylands9414-113
11Alfreton Town9405+512
12Whitby Town9405-1012
13Ashton United9324+111
14Hyde United9324-711
15AFC Emley9243-710
16Lancaster City9315-810
17Bamber Bridge9234-109
18Ilkeston Town9216-157
19Leek Town9135-26
20Quorn9135-116
21United of Manchester9126-75
22Stockton Town9126-105

Team Insights

Ashton United
  • ●Ashton United have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
  • ●Ashton United have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Ashton United failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●80% of Ashton United's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Ashton United have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Alfreton Town
  • ●Alfreton Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Alfreton Town have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●67% of Alfreton Town's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●70% of Alfreton Town's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●75% of Alfreton Town's points have been earned at home.
Ashton UnitedAshton United
LHCleethorpes Town1º0–1
WAWhitby Town5–2
LACurzon Ashton7º0–2
LHGainsborough Trinity9º1–2
DHIlkeston Town18º1–1
DAAFC Emley15º1–1
WHWhitby Town12º2–0
LABamber Bridge17º0–1
WAStockton Town22º1–0
WHLancaster City16º4–1
Alfreton TownAlfreton Town
LABamber Bridge17º0–1
LHStratford Town0–2
WAWhitby Town12º4–1
LHRylands10º1–2
WHHyde United14º4–0
LAStockton Town22º0–2
LACleethorpes Town1º1–2
WHAvro2º3–0
WHGainsborough Trinity9º2–1
LACurzon Ashton7º0–1

Season Schedule

Ashton United
LHCleethorpes Town0–1
LACurzon Ashton0–2
LHGainsborough Trinity1–2
DHIlkeston Town1–1
DAAFC Emley1–1
WHWhitby Town2–0
–HWarrington Town03/10
–AQuorn06/10
–ALeek Town10/10
Alfreton Town
LABamber Bridge0–1
WAWhitby Town4–1
LHRylands1–2
WHHyde United4–0
LAStockton Town0–2
LACleethorpes Town1–2
–ARedcar Athletic03/10
–HUnited of Manchester06/10
–HBury10/10

Top Scorers

Ashton United
J. Hardy2 ⚽
D. Turner2 ⚽
K. Willoughby2 ⚽
R. Kendall1 ⚽
D. Coghill1 ⚽
Trialist F1 ⚽
Alfreton Town
S. Ligendza5 ⚽
D. Youmbi4 ⚽
J. Kruszynski3 ⚽
S. R. Parker2 ⚽
C. Finney1 ⚽
D. Odunaiya1 ⚽

Cards Given

Ashton United
C. Spooner1 🟨
Alfreton Town
K. Williams2 🟨